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Playing & Trading Strategy

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m {nm}

Posted by: MattW on Aug 18, 08:47 in response to MattW's post General thoughts on 2022

General thoughts on 2022 MattW Jan 13, 20:09

Update MattW Mar 27, 17:28

April coming in right at 550, 67% MattW Apr 27, 18:16

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean MattW May 27, 14:50

A lot changed in the last few days, May 785 is 77% of 2012-2019 avg, 80% of 2016-2019 avg MattW Jun 02, 11:11

June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average. MattW Jun 28, 23:10

I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average. MattW Jul 28, 14:01

August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new releases, 285 from holdovers. {nm} MattW Aug 30, 18:51

192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers {nm} MattW Sep 06, 20:14

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m MattW Aug 18, 08:47

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 {nm} MattW Sep 07, 14:59

~330 {nm} MattW Sep 24, 17:22

319, a few movies disappointed more than I was thinking at the end there {nm} MattW Oct 05, 14:50

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range. MattW Oct 24, 22:54

Nov still think about 700 {nm} MattW Nov 11, 22:33

Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:33

December here we come {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:34

$850m MattW Dec 01, 10:19

Overestimated all december releases by quite a bit. Will be around $660-670m {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:07

The year as a whole will be about $7355m, 64.4% of the 2016-2019 yearly average. {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:11

2024 predictions month by month MattW Mar 25, 16:26

Geez, already too low for march, gonna be like 750m {nm} MattW Mar 30, 09:59

April now looks like it'll end up around 450. May right now to me looks like under 600 MattW Apr 21, 15:17





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The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 12998 117.86 (+0.92)          Alpha Gang (ALPHG) 49999 3.21 (+3.08)          Alpha Gang (ALPHG) 49999 3.21 (+3.08)          Alpha Gang (ALPHG) 49999 3.21 (+3.08)          Karate Kid (KKID2) 150000 104.86 (+1.39)          Karate Kid (KKID2) 150000 104.86 (+1.39)          Eternity (ETERN) 50000 16.91 (-1.59)          Sound Of Hope: The Story Of Poss (PSMTR) 150000 19.30 (+0.81)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 30.57 (-0.52)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 150000 117.86 (+0.92)          Jeanne Du Barry (JEANB) 149999 0.62 (-0.03)          Firebrand (FRBRN) 150000 3.64 (+1.83)          Riddick: Furya (RIDC3) 150000 13.57 (+1.69)          Planes, Trains and Automobiles (PTAUT) 150000 17.00 (+1.13)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 97.06 (+2.48)          Riddick: Furya (RIDC3) 150000 13.57 (+1.69)          Riddick: Furya (RIDC3) 100000 13.57 (+1.69)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Alpha Gang (ALPHG) 150000 3.21 (+3.08)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Put (MMAX5.PU) 9304 2.00 (0.00)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Call Fri (GRFLD.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Put (MMAX5.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga - Openin (MMAX5.OW) 100000 55.00 (0.00)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Cal (MMAX5.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Put Fri- (GRFLD.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Garfield Movie - Opening Wee (GRFLD.OW) 100000 40.00 (0.00)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Call Fri (GRFLD.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          A Mistake (AMSTK) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          CBS: Elsbeth (ELSBET) 100 9.80 (0.00)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire $100 (GHST5.BW) 14 10.27 (+0.14)          Sight (SIGHT) 31 8.19 (-0.31)          Snow White (SNWHT) 36 183.08 (-0.36)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 47265 23.09 (-0.76)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 37 26.55 (-0.36)          Despicable Me 4 (DESM4) 45 236.49 (-0.45)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 49 77.82 (-0.49)          The Bikeriders (BKRDR) 11 29.62 (+0.11)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 15 53.05 (+0.15)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 15 53.05 (+0.15)          Untitled Trey Parker (UVCHA) 20 24.18 (+0.20)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 3 13.16 (-0.12)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 3 13.16 (-0.12)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 3 30.47 (-0.13)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 3 30.47 (-0.13)          The Pack (TPACK) 1 15.49 (-0.18)          The Pack (TPACK) 1 15.49 (-0.18)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 3 68.55 (-0.17)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 3 68.55 (-0.17)          Fuze (FUZE) 1 16.13 (-0.19)          Fuze (FUZE) 1 16.13 (-0.19)