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Playing & Trading Strategy

April coming in right at 550, 67%

Posted by: MattW on Apr 27, 18:16 in response to MattW's post Update

Holdovers in May I think will add around 75-100, new releases in the 550-675 range, would put the month between 60 and 75% of the average.

General thoughts on 2022 MattW Jan 13, 20:09

Update MattW Mar 27, 17:28

April coming in right at 550, 67% MattW Apr 27, 18:16

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean MattW May 27, 14:50

A lot changed in the last few days, May 785 is 77% of 2012-2019 avg, 80% of 2016-2019 avg MattW Jun 02, 11:11

June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average. MattW Jun 28, 23:10

I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average. MattW Jul 28, 14:01

August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new releases, 285 from holdovers. {nm} MattW Aug 30, 18:51

192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers {nm} MattW Sep 06, 20:14

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m {nm} MattW Aug 18, 08:47

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 {nm} MattW Sep 07, 14:59

~330 {nm} MattW Sep 24, 17:22

319, a few movies disappointed more than I was thinking at the end there {nm} MattW Oct 05, 14:50

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range. MattW Oct 24, 22:54

Nov still think about 700 {nm} MattW Nov 11, 22:33

Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:33

December here we come {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:34

$850m MattW Dec 01, 10:19

Overestimated all december releases by quite a bit. Will be around $660-670m {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:07

The year as a whole will be about $7355m, 64.4% of the 2016-2019 yearly average. {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:11

2024 predictions month by month MattW Mar 25, 16:26

Geez, already too low for march, gonna be like 750m {nm} MattW Mar 30, 09:59

April now looks like it'll end up around 450. May right now to me looks like under 600 MattW Apr 21, 15:17





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Greenland: Migration (GRNL2) 150000 18.28 (+2.82)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 0.55 (-0.05)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Cal (MMAX5.CA) 25000 2.25 (+0.25)          Wolfs (WOLFS) 150000 54.07 (+0.05)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Cal (MMAX5.CA) 25000 2.25 (+0.25)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 150000 140.47 (+0.01)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Sight - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon (SIGHT.OW) 100000 4.69 (-0.31)          Greenland: Migration (GRNL2) 150000 18.28 (+2.82)          Jake Gyllenhaal (JGYLL) 20000 58.04 (-0.13)          Greenland: Migration (GRNL2) 150000 18.28 (+2.82)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Put (MMAX5.PU) 25000 2.12 (+0.12)          Walton Goggins (WGOGG) 25000 5.47 (0.00)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga - Openin (MMAX5.OW) 100000 55.57 (+0.57)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Cal (MMAX5.CA) 25000 2.25 (+0.25)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 164.82 (+0.93)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Put Fri- (GRFLD.PU) 25000 2.10 (+0.10)          Greenland: Migration (GRNL2) 150000 18.28 (+2.82)          The Garfield Movie - Opening Wee (GRFLD.OW) 100000 40.82 (+0.82)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Greenland: Migration (GRNL2) 150000 18.28 (+2.82)          Alpha Gang (ALPHG) 150000 2.53 (-0.63)          The Line (THLIN) 150000 0.93 (-0.24)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Call Fri (GRFLD.CA) 25000 2.27 (+0.27)          Griffin in Summer (GRIFS) 150000 1.92 (+0.13)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 31.26 (+0.10)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 18.80 (+1.80)          Alpha Gang (ALPHG) 150000 2.53 (-0.63)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.CA) 25000 1.74 (+0.03)          Kung Fu Panda 4 $155M Blockbuste (PAND4.BW) 1000 15.36 (-0.28)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 150000 116.77 (-1.09)          IF H$50 Call (IMGNF.CA) 2000 1.96 (-0.10)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga - Openin (MMAX5.OW) 3000 55.57 (+0.57)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.OW) 1211 50.21 (-0.75)          Star Trek Origin Story (TREK4) 10 69.66 (-0.15)          The Mandalorian & Grogu (SWAR3) 150000 216.01 (-1.12)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 50000 18.00 (0.00)          Joker: Folie Ă  Deux (JOKE2) 10 269.02 (-0.30)          Despicable Me 4 (DESM4) 100 236.16 (-0.33)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 150000 53.51 (-0.55)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 100 140.12 (-2.50)          Mission: Impossible 8 (MISS8) 10 152.35 (+0.11)          Thunderbolts* (TBOLT) 10 174.77 (0.00)          David Harbour (DHARB) 20883 67.45 (-0.06)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 1 18.00 (0.00)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga - Openin (MMAX5.OW) 20000 55.57 (+0.57)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Call Fri (GRFLD.CA) 21602 2.27 (+0.27)          Goat (GOAT1) 150000 16.36 (+0.24)          David Harbour (DHARB) 14459 67.45 (-0.06)          Goat (GOAT1) 150000 16.36 (+0.24)