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April now looks like it'll end up around 450. May right now to me looks like under 600

Posted by: MattW on Apr 21, 15:17 in response to MattW's post 2024 predictions month by month

May:

Apr holdovers 135
May 3 releases: 110
May 10: 100
May 17: 100
May 24: 100
May 31: 10

General thoughts on 2022 MattW Jan 13, 20:09

Update MattW Mar 27, 17:28

April coming in right at 550, 67% MattW Apr 27, 18:16

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean MattW May 27, 14:50

A lot changed in the last few days, May 785 is 77% of 2012-2019 avg, 80% of 2016-2019 avg MattW Jun 02, 11:11

June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average. MattW Jun 28, 23:10

I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average. MattW Jul 28, 14:01

August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new releases, 285 from holdovers. {nm} MattW Aug 30, 18:51

192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers {nm} MattW Sep 06, 20:14

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m {nm} MattW Aug 18, 08:47

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 {nm} MattW Sep 07, 14:59

~330 {nm} MattW Sep 24, 17:22

319, a few movies disappointed more than I was thinking at the end there {nm} MattW Oct 05, 14:50

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range. MattW Oct 24, 22:54

Nov still think about 700 {nm} MattW Nov 11, 22:33

Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:33

December here we come {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:34

$850m MattW Dec 01, 10:19

Overestimated all december releases by quite a bit. Will be around $660-670m {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:07

The year as a whole will be about $7355m, 64.4% of the 2016-2019 yearly average. {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:11

2024 predictions month by month MattW Mar 25, 16:26

Geez, already too low for march, gonna be like 750m {nm} MattW Mar 30, 09:59

April now looks like it'll end up around 450. May right now to me looks like under 600 MattW Apr 21, 15:17





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Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 4000 62.42 (-0.71)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 4000 62.42 (-0.71)          IF H$50 Call (IMGNF.CA) 8333 2.70 (-0.16)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 1000 70.00 (-0.03)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 150000 126.82 (+0.35)          The Toxic Avenger (TOXAV) 2000 11.74 (-0.15)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 150000 126.82 (+0.35)          IF H$50 Call (IMGNF.CA) 8433 2.70 (-0.16)          The Instigators (NSTGT) 5000 14.67 (-0.89)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 3000 5.29 (-0.07)          The Last Train From Hiroshima (TLTFH) 2000 53.28 (-0.29)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 150000 109.07 (+7.36)          The Legend of Ochi (LOCHI) 10000 6.21 (+0.01)          Lobo (LOBO) 10000 20.96 (-0.06)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 50000 49.56 (-0.71)          IF H$50 Put (IMGNF.PU) 8333 2.79 (+0.15)          Lobo (LOBO) 4000 20.96 (-0.06)          Lilo & Stitch (LILST) 3000 28.39 (-0.26)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 50000 49.56 (-0.71)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 150000 13.34 (-2.02)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 150000 13.34 (-2.02)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 2600 126.82 (+0.35)          They Listen (THEYL) 5000 31.05 (+0.61)          They Listen (THEYL) 3200 31.05 (+0.61)          Tow (TOW) 150000 7.37 (+0.69)          IF H$50 Put (IMGNF.PU) 8333 2.79 (+0.15)          Tow (TOW) 150000 7.37 (+0.69)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 25000 100.69 (-6.74)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 150000 109.07 (+7.36)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 9300 19.63 (-0.75)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 120885 109.07 (+7.36)          IF H$50 Put (IMGNF.PU) 8333 2.79 (+0.15)          Winter Spring Summer or Fall (WSSOF) 150000 3.70 (+0.42)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 100000 109.07 (+7.36)          Tow (TOW) 30000 7.37 (+0.69)          Winter Spring Summer or Fall (WSSOF) 150000 3.70 (+0.42)          Tank Girl (TANKG) 150000 14.31 (-0.81)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 24995 100.69 (-6.74)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 1000 255.51 (+2.64)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 3000 255.51 (+2.64)          Dear Santa (DSATA) 6000 21.83 (+0.04)          Lovely, Dark, and Deep (LDADP) 8500 1.36 (-0.01)          Green Hornet and Kato (GHKTO) 6000 15.39 (-0.11)          Green Lantern Corps (GLAN2) 20000 8.34 (-0.05)          Kiki Layne (KLAYN) 25000 22.16 (-0.25)          Kiki Layne (KLAYN) 25000 22.16 (-0.25)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 2000 54.73 (-0.10)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 1000 54.73 (-0.10)          Aisha (AISHA) 150000 0.04 (+0.01)          Lovely, Dark, and Deep (LDADP) 8500 1.36 (-0.01)