SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: The Avengers casts over Dark Shadows.

Even The Dictator knew better than to deal with the second weekend of The Avengers [AVNGR] as the Sacha Baron Cohen film pushed its release date back until next week leaving Dark Shadows [DRKSH] as the sole new wide opener.  After shattering the opening weekend box office record, The Avengers has held up reasonably well during the weekdays.  The Avengers enjoys excellent word of mouth, which will attract moviegoers seeing these superheroes for the first time as well as bring repeat business. Much like Avatar, The Avengers has become a must-see event for those who want to stay cultural relevant. Amongst the superhero blockbusters that opened the first weekend in May, The Avengers' second weekend drop-off should be closer to the well-liked Spider-Man (-38%) and Iron Man (-48%), rather than the maligned Spider-Man 3 (-61%) and Iron Man 2 (-60%)  The Avengers looks to amass around $107 million and set another record for biggest second weekend ever.

Dark Shadows reunites Johnny Depp [JDEPP] with director Tim Burton [TBURT]. Their last collaboration Alice in Wonderland opened to $116 million in 2010, but that was a family-friendly 3D film based on a famous literary as well as Disney property. Dark Shadows is based on a 1960s TV series no one under 40 is familiar with. Warner Bros. was late in starting the marketing campaign and when the first trailer finally arrived, its offbeat humor divided opinions.  The PG-13 rated gothic comedy has received mixed reviews from critics, which may turn off older adults who actually remembered the original show.  Younger moviegoers are more likely to watch The Avengers again.  With Depp and Burton indulging in their weird kookiness, Dark Shadows looks to attract only their die-hard fans. Opening in 3755 theaters, Dark Shadows may suck in $32 million.

As for the rest of the box office, ahh who cares. Wink  Nothing else will make more than a few million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AVNGR, DRKSH, JDEPP, TBURT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 10, 2012 @ 03:10 PM 6812 views

Recent Comments

oozy
Friday, June 29 at 10:14 AM Pacific
How much profit will we make with devi on avengrs?



Katy O'Brian (KOBRI) 25000 133.53 (-1.00)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 63650 456.01 (+0.76)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 63650 456.01 (+0.76)          Fackham Hall (FACKH) 150000 3.48 (-1.09)          100 Nights of Hero (100NH) 150000 5.68 (-1.58)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 81390 205.67 (+5.67)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 16.97 (-0.32)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 16.97 (-0.32)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 150000 333.76 (-12.85)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 16.97 (-0.32)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 150000 205.67 (+5.67)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 12.52 (+0.13)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 150000 205.67 (+5.67)          Jesse Eisenberg (JEISE) 25000 24.26 (-0.25)          New York Will Eat You Alive aka (ZMBRO) 19 0.73 (-0.01)          Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 4 33.37 (0.00)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 10000 205.67 (+5.67)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 75 3.13 (+0.16)          Ariana Grande (AGRAN) 4 147.68 (-0.38)          Rachel Brosnahan (RBROS) 4 79.35 (-0.25)          Monica Barbaro (MBARB) 4 121.01 (-0.33)          Florence Pugh (FPUGH) 6 147.45 (-0.66)          Fede Alvarez (FALVA) 5 70.55 (-0.25)          Eternity (ETERN) 149999 14.70 (+1.87)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 150000 333.76 (-12.85)          Lewis Tan (LTAN) 6 123.02 (-0.66)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 150000 333.76 (-12.85)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 27556 205.67 (+5.67)          Emma Corrin (EMCOR) 6 116.02 (-0.66)          JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 150000 12.78 (+1.45)          Himesh Patel (HPATE) 9 43.84 (-0.33)          JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 150000 12.78 (+1.45)          Dua Lipa (DLIPA) 9 93.76 (-0.75)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 9 30.23 (-0.25)          Pom Klementieff (PKLEM) 5 147.92 (0.00)          Jonathan Bailey (JBAIL) 15 131.93 (+0.33)          Ben Stiller (BSTIL) 4 51.88 (+0.16)          Not Without Hope (NWOHP) 80 0.01 (-0.02)          James Badge Dale (JBDAL) 25000 2.78 (-0.05)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 9 14.92 (+0.10)          Jessica Henwick (JHENW) 8 13.42 (+0.10)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 10000 285.10 (-0.05)          Archangel (ARCNG) 100 18.09 (-0.03)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 150 301.83 (-1.76)          Remain aka Untitled Shyamalan Sp (REMAN) 10 58.88 (-0.50)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 168.39 (-0.37)          Kill Bill: The Whole Bloody Affa (KBWBA) 50 13.02 (-1.20)          Normal (NORML) 1005 21.87 (+0.01)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 50 16.97 (-0.32)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 1000 301.83 (-1.76)