SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: The Avengers casts over Dark Shadows.

Even The Dictator knew better than to deal with the second weekend of The Avengers [AVNGR] as the Sacha Baron Cohen film pushed its release date back until next week leaving Dark Shadows [DRKSH] as the sole new wide opener.  After shattering the opening weekend box office record, The Avengers has held up reasonably well during the weekdays.  The Avengers enjoys excellent word of mouth, which will attract moviegoers seeing these superheroes for the first time as well as bring repeat business. Much like Avatar, The Avengers has become a must-see event for those who want to stay cultural relevant. Amongst the superhero blockbusters that opened the first weekend in May, The Avengers' second weekend drop-off should be closer to the well-liked Spider-Man (-38%) and Iron Man (-48%), rather than the maligned Spider-Man 3 (-61%) and Iron Man 2 (-60%)  The Avengers looks to amass around $107 million and set another record for biggest second weekend ever.

Dark Shadows reunites Johnny Depp [JDEPP] with director Tim Burton [TBURT]. Their last collaboration Alice in Wonderland opened to $116 million in 2010, but that was a family-friendly 3D film based on a famous literary as well as Disney property. Dark Shadows is based on a 1960s TV series no one under 40 is familiar with. Warner Bros. was late in starting the marketing campaign and when the first trailer finally arrived, its offbeat humor divided opinions.  The PG-13 rated gothic comedy has received mixed reviews from critics, which may turn off older adults who actually remembered the original show.  Younger moviegoers are more likely to watch The Avengers again.  With Depp and Burton indulging in their weird kookiness, Dark Shadows looks to attract only their die-hard fans. Opening in 3755 theaters, Dark Shadows may suck in $32 million.

As for the rest of the box office, ahh who cares. Wink  Nothing else will make more than a few million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AVNGR, DRKSH, JDEPP, TBURT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 10, 2012 @ 03:10 PM 6873 views

Recent Comments

oozy
Friday, June 29 at 10:14 AM Pacific
How much profit will we make with devi on avengrs?



Love Language (LVLNG) 150000 2.63 (-0.02)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 50000 5.42 (-1.04)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 3000 5.42 (-1.04)          Isabel May (IMAY) 25000 34.77 (+0.25)          First Warrior (FWARR) 150000 3.18 (-0.07)          Girl (GIRL) 150000 0.16 (-0.03)          Ha-Chan, Shake Your Booty! (HCSYB) 150000 1.45 (-0.01)          Balls Up (BALUP) 900 9.99 (-2.17)          ABC: RJ Decker (RJDECK) 25000 9.60 (-0.06)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.87 (+0.87)          Jack Black (JBLAC) 20000 155.47 (+0.43)          Chiwetel Ejiofor (CEJIO) 25000 81.63 (-0.50)          Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 25000 108.33 (0.00)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 1000 4.63 (-0.05)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 4000 20.00 (0.00)          Amy Madigan (AMADI) 25000 32.75 (0.00)          Juliette Binoche (JBINO) 25000 0.60 (0.00)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 1.36 (-0.03)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Narnia (NARN4) 48969 17.28 (+0.10)          Nia DaCosta (NDACO) 25000 33.33 (0.00)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 150000 4.93 (-0.02)          Maya, Give Me A Title (MGMAT) 150000 0.30 (-0.02)          Full Phil (FPHIL) 150000 3.39 (-0.02)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 150000 11.23 (-0.36)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 150000 11.23 (-0.36)          Fjord (FJORD) 150000 1.72 (-0.02)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 25000 5.42 (-1.04)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 150000 5.33 (+0.14)          Bunker (BUNKR) 150000 5.03 (-0.06)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 150000 5.33 (+0.14)          Narnia (NARN4) 101031 17.28 (+0.10)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 150000 5.25 (+0.24)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 150000 5.25 (+0.24)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 1 20.00 (0.00)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Drama H$15 Put (TDRAM.PU) 25000 1.49 (-0.51)          The Drama - Opening Weekend (TDRAM.OW) 100000 15.46 (+0.46)          The Drama H$15 Call (TDRAM.CA) 25000 2.38 (+0.38)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.PU) 25000 1.75 (-0.25)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 146.04 (+1.04)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.87 (+0.87)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 11.28 (+0.31)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 5000 209.27 (+1.20)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 99000 21.47 (+1.84)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 49999 21.47 (+1.84)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)