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Whisper Numbers: Star Trek set to stun the box office

Four years after the rebooted Star Trek resurrected the sci-fi franchise, Paramount and director J.J. Abrams [JABRA] finally delivers the sequel Star Trek Into Darkness [TREK2]. Chris Pine [CPINE] returns as Captain Kirk along with the rest of the new cast of starship Enterprise to take on a new/old villain played by Benedict Cumberbatch [BCUMB].   2009’s Star Trek successfully expanded the audience beyond the hardcore Trekkies, and the anticipation has been building steadily for four long years.  Each reveal of a new trailer have only added to the buzz to the point that Paramount moved up the release date by one day to Thursday.  Other studios have long stayed clear of this weekend.  The PG-13 rated sequel has added 3D as well as scenes shot in IMAX, which allowed for advanced showings Wednesday night that earned $3.3 million.  The extended opening weekend will spread the moviegoers around, but Star Trek Into Darkness should still be able to top Star Trek’s $75.2 million opening weekend due to more fans paying higher ticket prices.   Beaming into 3868 theaters, Star Trek Into Darkness could replicate $88 million from Friday through Sunday and $108 million including Thursday.

After breaking the $1 billion mark worldwide, Iron Man 3 [IRNM3] will cross the $300 million milestone domestically. With Star Trek Into Darkness taking the most profitable screens, Iron Man 3 could fall another 58% to about $30 million.

After a better than expected  debut, The Great Gatsby [GATSB] has held up well during the week, even eclipsing Iron Man 3 on Wednesday. However, competition from Star Trek Into Darkness will pull some of the potential audience away.  A drop around 48% would bring The Great Gatsby another $26 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): JABRA, TREK2, CPINE, BCUMB, IRNM3, GATSB

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 16, 2013 @ 04:21 PM 4627 views

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The Social Reckoning - Opening W (SOCI2.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Put (SOCI2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Primetime H$10 Call (PRMTM.CA) 25000 2.50 (+0.02)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 117.20 (-0.45)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Call (SOCI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy H$25 Put (IATHS.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Call (SOCI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy - Opening Weekend (IATHS.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Witch on the Holy Night (WOTHN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          La Gradiva (LGRDV) 150000 0.35 (+0.05)          Other Mommy H$25 Call (IATHS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 6200 53.33 (+0.63)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 46126 35.27 (-0.42)          Slayground aka October (OCTOB) 150000 12.65 (+2.52)          Slayground aka October (OCTOB) 74729 12.65 (+2.52)          The Fix (HTHRN) 150000 2.37 (+0.06)          The Fix (HTHRN) 150000 2.37 (+0.06)          Helldivers (HELDV) 222 98.18 (+0.08)          The Exorcist: Martyrs (TEXO2) 25000 52.04 (-0.07)          Slayground aka October (OCTOB) 25271 12.65 (+2.52)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Put (SOCI2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Call (SOCI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Avengers: Endgame Encore - Openi (AVN4E.OW) 10000 32.67 (-1.60)          The Social Reckoning - Opening W (SOCI2.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          The Social Reckoning H$20 Call (SOCI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 31394 53.33 (+0.63)          Other Mommy H$25 Put (IATHS.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Social Reckoning - Opening W (SOCI2.OW) 25000 20.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy - Opening Weekend (IATHS.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Invertigo (INVRT) 19287 17.33 (-0.97)          Other Mommy H$25 Call (IATHS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 1000 193.86 (+0.50)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 10923 125.52 (-0.02)          Other Mommy H$25 Call (IATHS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Witch on the Holy Night (WOTHN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Heart of the Beast H$15 Put (HOTBS.PU) 25000 1.61 (+0.02)          Primetime H$10 Put (PRMTM.PU) 25000 1.82 (-0.08)          Primetime H$10 Call (PRMTM.CA) 25000 2.50 (+0.02)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 35.27 (-0.42)          O'Shea Jackson Jr. (OJACK) 25000 48.08 (-1.50)          O'Shea Jackson Jr. (OJACK) 25000 48.08 (-1.50)          Primetime - Opening Weekend (PRMTM.OW) 100000 11.98 (+0.06)          Heart of the Beast H$15 Call (HOTBS.CA) 25000 2.40 (-0.14)          Heart of the Beast - Opening Wee (HOTBS.OW) 100000 15.73 (-0.25)          Forgotten Island H$20 Put (FRGIS.PU) 25000 2.76 (-0.10)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 150000 0.03 (-0.02)          Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 25000 4.40 (+0.13)          Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 25000 4.40 (+0.13)          Other Mommy - Opening Weekend (IATHS.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Other Mommy H$25 Call (IATHS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)