SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Star Trek set to stun the box office

Four years after the rebooted Star Trek resurrected the sci-fi franchise, Paramount and director J.J. Abrams [JABRA] finally delivers the sequel Star Trek Into Darkness [TREK2]. Chris Pine [CPINE] returns as Captain Kirk along with the rest of the new cast of starship Enterprise to take on a new/old villain played by Benedict Cumberbatch [BCUMB].   2009’s Star Trek successfully expanded the audience beyond the hardcore Trekkies, and the anticipation has been building steadily for four long years.  Each reveal of a new trailer have only added to the buzz to the point that Paramount moved up the release date by one day to Thursday.  Other studios have long stayed clear of this weekend.  The PG-13 rated sequel has added 3D as well as scenes shot in IMAX, which allowed for advanced showings Wednesday night that earned $3.3 million.  The extended opening weekend will spread the moviegoers around, but Star Trek Into Darkness should still be able to top Star Trek’s $75.2 million opening weekend due to more fans paying higher ticket prices.   Beaming into 3868 theaters, Star Trek Into Darkness could replicate $88 million from Friday through Sunday and $108 million including Thursday.

After breaking the $1 billion mark worldwide, Iron Man 3 [IRNM3] will cross the $300 million milestone domestically. With Star Trek Into Darkness taking the most profitable screens, Iron Man 3 could fall another 58% to about $30 million.

After a better than expected  debut, The Great Gatsby [GATSB] has held up well during the week, even eclipsing Iron Man 3 on Wednesday. However, competition from Star Trek Into Darkness will pull some of the potential audience away.  A drop around 48% would bring The Great Gatsby another $26 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): JABRA, TREK2, CPINE, BCUMB, IRNM3, GATSB

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 16, 2013 @ 04:21 PM 3816 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Marty Supreme - Opening Weekend (MRTSU.OW) 100000 11.99 (-0.10)          Fellowship (FELWS) 15015 15.00 (0.00)          Song Sung Blue - Opening Weekend (SSBLU.OW) 100000 11.79 (-0.11)          Babies (BBIES) 10010 10.00 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 441.98 (-2.87)          Song Sung Blue - Opening Weekend (SSBLU.OW) 100000 11.79 (-0.11)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 4.57 (-0.43)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 9.28 (-0.72)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 19995 63.76 (+1.56)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 150000 70.98 (-1.02)          Fellowship (FELWS) 90000 15.00 (0.00)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 7.64 (+0.60)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 150000 70.98 (-1.02)          Fellowship (FELWS) 50000 15.00 (0.00)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 3000 69.82 (-0.01)          Jason Mewes (JMEWE) 600 1.47 (-0.01)          Babies (BBIES) 65000 10.00 (0.00)          The Last Viking (TLVIK) 150000 0.59 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 441.98 (-2.87)          Jason Mewes (JMEWE) 18200 1.47 (-0.01)          Babies (BBIES) 1000 10.00 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 380 218.18 (-1.15)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 122174 273.35 (+0.95)          Vanessa Redgrave (VREDG) 18300 25.29 (-0.21)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 37000 61.80 (-0.03)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 150000 165.50 (-0.76)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 8158 24.13 (+0.08)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 63.76 (+1.56)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 2001 218.18 (-1.15)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 30000 17.55 (+0.03)          Myha'la Herrold (MHERR) 25000 12.35 (-0.20)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 59000 38.36 (-0.03)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 5.21 (+0.23)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Vanessa Redgrave (VREDG) 1100 25.29 (-0.21)          Psycho Killer (PSYKL) 61000 5.92 (-0.01)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 500 474.49 (-0.25)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 5000 193.62 (-0.34)          Diego Calva (DCALV) 24999 4.84 (+0.04)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 2500 140.76 (-0.12)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 50000 14.62 (+1.40)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 50000 14.62 (+1.40)          Mel Gibson (MGIBS) 25000 54.35 (+0.16)