SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Star Trek set to stun the box office

Four years after the rebooted Star Trek resurrected the sci-fi franchise, Paramount and director J.J. Abrams [JABRA] finally delivers the sequel Star Trek Into Darkness [TREK2]. Chris Pine [CPINE] returns as Captain Kirk along with the rest of the new cast of starship Enterprise to take on a new/old villain played by Benedict Cumberbatch [BCUMB].   2009’s Star Trek successfully expanded the audience beyond the hardcore Trekkies, and the anticipation has been building steadily for four long years.  Each reveal of a new trailer have only added to the buzz to the point that Paramount moved up the release date by one day to Thursday.  Other studios have long stayed clear of this weekend.  The PG-13 rated sequel has added 3D as well as scenes shot in IMAX, which allowed for advanced showings Wednesday night that earned $3.3 million.  The extended opening weekend will spread the moviegoers around, but Star Trek Into Darkness should still be able to top Star Trek’s $75.2 million opening weekend due to more fans paying higher ticket prices.   Beaming into 3868 theaters, Star Trek Into Darkness could replicate $88 million from Friday through Sunday and $108 million including Thursday.

After breaking the $1 billion mark worldwide, Iron Man 3 [IRNM3] will cross the $300 million milestone domestically. With Star Trek Into Darkness taking the most profitable screens, Iron Man 3 could fall another 58% to about $30 million.

After a better than expected  debut, The Great Gatsby [GATSB] has held up well during the week, even eclipsing Iron Man 3 on Wednesday. However, competition from Star Trek Into Darkness will pull some of the potential audience away.  A drop around 48% would bring The Great Gatsby another $26 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): JABRA, TREK2, CPINE, BCUMB, IRNM3, GATSB

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 16, 2013 @ 04:21 PM 3896 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 900 4.80 (0.00)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 40 32.66 (-0.03)          Shackleton (SHCKL) 400 3.86 (+0.03)          Dune: Part Three aka Dune: Messi (DUNE3) 150000 230.99 (+1.53)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 40 115.05 (-0.86)          Jungle Cruise 2 (JUNG2) 130 16.59 (-0.02)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 4 236.85 (+0.35)          Smile 3 (SMIL3) 70 23.48 (-0.04)          G.I. Joe sequel (GIJO4) 5 14.01 (-0.06)          Ghost of Tsushima (GOTSU) 140 14.20 (-0.03)          The Gauntlet (GNTLT) 4 39.60 (-0.10)          Reptilia (REPTI) 4 7.01 (+0.01)          Jack Ryan (RYAN1) 4 28.53 (-0.10)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 59 497.89 (+2.45)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 49 246.97 (-1.02)          Last Meals (LMEAL) 1800 1.11 (0.00)          The Island (ISLAN) 3000 0.66 (-0.04)          Rainbow Six (RNBW6) 140 13.87 (+0.01)          Switzerland (SWITZ) 1400 1.36 (-0.03)          Tangled (TANGL) 4 117.47 (-0.11)          Kent State (KENTS) 1000 1.83 (0.00)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 10 73.20 (+0.71)          Mike & Nick & Nick & Alice (MNANA) 900 2.26 (0.00)          Magic: The Gathering (MGCTG) 64 38.08 (-0.07)          Midnight (MDNIT) 9 4.23 (-0.03)          Who's That Girl aka Madonna biop (MDONA) 4 12.43 (-0.02)          Scandalous (SCAND) 350 6.55 (0.00)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 65 22.48 (-0.01)          Stepdude aka Oh Hell No (OHELN) 650 2.96 (+0.01)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 4 52.59 (+0.05)          In Love (NLOVE) 4 19.56 (-0.03)          Eternal Return (ETRTN) 50000 5.36 (-0.07)          Gundam (GUNDM) 4 34.31 (+0.01)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 100 15.51 (+1.20)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 150000 12.53 (-0.12)          Headhunters (HDHUN) 190 10.90 (-0.14)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 150000 12.53 (-0.12)          Hourman (HRMAN) 180 11.59 (+0.35)          Empire City (EMPCT) 150000 18.49 (-0.28)          Empire City (EMPCT) 150000 18.49 (-0.28)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 4 29.69 (+0.04)          Miss Piggy (MSPIG) 4 34.52 (+0.09)          El Muerto (MUERT) 350 5.03 (+0.07)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 150000 4.80 (0.00)          Belly of the Beast (BELYB) 4 4.55 (-0.01)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 150000 4.80 (0.00)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 4 28.64 (+0.06)          Dog Stars (DOGST) 50000 61.70 (+0.09)          Adrift (ADRIF) 100 2.05 (0.00)          A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 20 0.50 (-0.01)