SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Star Trek set to stun the box office

Four years after the rebooted Star Trek resurrected the sci-fi franchise, Paramount and director J.J. Abrams [JABRA] finally delivers the sequel Star Trek Into Darkness [TREK2]. Chris Pine [CPINE] returns as Captain Kirk along with the rest of the new cast of starship Enterprise to take on a new/old villain played by Benedict Cumberbatch [BCUMB].   2009’s Star Trek successfully expanded the audience beyond the hardcore Trekkies, and the anticipation has been building steadily for four long years.  Each reveal of a new trailer have only added to the buzz to the point that Paramount moved up the release date by one day to Thursday.  Other studios have long stayed clear of this weekend.  The PG-13 rated sequel has added 3D as well as scenes shot in IMAX, which allowed for advanced showings Wednesday night that earned $3.3 million.  The extended opening weekend will spread the moviegoers around, but Star Trek Into Darkness should still be able to top Star Trek’s $75.2 million opening weekend due to more fans paying higher ticket prices.   Beaming into 3868 theaters, Star Trek Into Darkness could replicate $88 million from Friday through Sunday and $108 million including Thursday.

After breaking the $1 billion mark worldwide, Iron Man 3 [IRNM3] will cross the $300 million milestone domestically. With Star Trek Into Darkness taking the most profitable screens, Iron Man 3 could fall another 58% to about $30 million.

After a better than expected  debut, The Great Gatsby [GATSB] has held up well during the week, even eclipsing Iron Man 3 on Wednesday. However, competition from Star Trek Into Darkness will pull some of the potential audience away.  A drop around 48% would bring The Great Gatsby another $26 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): JABRA, TREK2, CPINE, BCUMB, IRNM3, GATSB

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 16, 2013 @ 04:21 PM 4138 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 50000 13.39 (+5.13)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 150000 462.52 (-1.52)          Idiots aka The Shitheads (SHTHD) 150000 5.37 (+0.23)          Michael (MJACK) 8500 187.64 (-2.91)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 12000 135.72 (+1.27)          Colman Domingo (CDOMI) 10573 76.01 (+0.35)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 100000 212.04 (+0.39)          Once Upon a Time in Harlem (OUATH) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 13.39 (+5.13)          Once Upon a Time in Harlem (OUATH) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Fatherland aka 1949 (FTHRL) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 13.39 (+5.13)          Michael (MJACK) 150000 187.64 (-2.91)          Michael (MJACK) 150000 187.64 (-2.91)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 150000 21.75 (+3.24)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 150000 21.75 (+3.24)          A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 150000 6.31 (+3.09)          Fatherland aka 1949 (FTHRL) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 150000 6.31 (+3.09)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 13.39 (+5.13)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 13.39 (+5.13)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 18.48 (+0.88)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 18.48 (+0.88)          Hope (HOPE) 150000 3.60 (+1.88)          Hope (HOPE) 150000 3.60 (+1.88)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 18.48 (+0.88)          Once Upon a Time in Harlem (OUATH) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          You, Me & Tuscany (ITLIA) 50000 22.50 (-0.94)          Fatherland aka 1949 (FTHRL) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 150000 6.93 (-0.03)          Michael H$65 Call (MJACK.CA) 25000 2.62 (+0.14)          Michael - Opening Weekend (MJACK.OW) 100000 68.20 (+0.85)          Hope (HOPE) 150000 3.60 (+1.88)          A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 150000 6.31 (+3.09)          Hope (HOPE) 150000 3.60 (+1.88)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 13.39 (+5.13)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 13.39 (+5.13)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 25000 141.47 (+1.00)          Michael Keaton (MKEAT) 25000 104.17 (+0.33)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 104250 242.94 (+0.33)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 244.59 (+2.61)          Cry to Heaven (CRYTH) 500 12.66 (-0.14)          Thrash (BSTRM) 150000 1.08 (-2.39)          Thrash (BSTRM) 150000 1.08 (-2.39)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 164.43 (-3.25)          Chang Chen (CCHEN) 25000 22.33 (-0.50)          Chang Chen (CCHEN) 25000 22.33 (-0.50)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 45750 242.94 (+0.33)          Winter Games (WNTGM) 150000 7.42 (-0.03)          Ray Gunn (RAYGN) 150000 7.07 (-0.01)