SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Will The Martian overcome Gravity?

NASA announced the discovery of recent water on Mars this week just as The Martian [MARTN] arrives theaters. Fox can’t be any happier with the free publicity for their PG-13 rated sci-fi film.  Matt Damon [MDAMO] stars as an astronaut stranded on the red planet who must survive solely on his scientific knowledge. Damon played a similar role in Interstellar, which opened to $47.5 million last November, while Sandra Bullock's stranded-in-space flick Gravity set the October record two years ago at $55.8 million. Advance tickets sales are pacing ahead of Gravity. However, The Martian runs an hour longer and does not have the higher-priced IMAX screens that propelled Gravity. The film is highly anticipated by fans of the best-selling novel and the overwhelmingly positive reviews only build the buzz. If hurricane Joaquin doesn’t hit the East Coast, The Martian could land $58 million from 3826 locations.

Hotel Transylvania 2 [HTRN2] prove more popular than ever. Sony’s Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 declined 38% in its second weekend. A similar decay would put Hotel Transylvania 2 around $29 million.

Older women turned out for the comedy The Intern [INTRN] and should continue to do so. The Intern could hold 60% in its second weekend for $10.5 million.

After two weeks of limited release, Sicario [SICAR] expands wide into 2620 theaters. The R-rated crime drama about the border war on drugs has garnered critical acclaim. Though Lionsgate faces competition for the same audience from The Martian. Sicario may have to settle with $10 million.

Everest [EVRST] did not breakout in its wide expansion. With the loss of most IMAX screens to The Walk, Everest may descend to $6 million.

The Walk [TWALK] opened on 448 IMAX screens Wednesday and grossed just $0.24 million. The 1974-set film stars Joseph Gordon-Levitt [JGORD] as the real-life Frenchman who tightwalked across a wire strung between the Twin Towers. There’s little buzz as moviegoers appear uninterested in revisiting the CG site of the 9-11 tragedy. The Walk may reach $4 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): MARTN, MDAMO, HTRN2, INTRN, SICAR, EVRST, TWALK, JGORD

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 1, 2015 @ 04:16 PM 4302 views

Recent Comments

Alby
Friday, October 2 at 21:16 PM Pacific
"The Martian runs an hour longer and does not have the higher-priced IMAX screens that propelled Gravity" I'm calling BS --- http://www.si.edu/imax/movie/205



Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 109.24 (-2.50)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 4.91 (+0.47)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 25000 6.22 (+1.41)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.14 (-0.86)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 25000 10.69 (+1.17)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 20000 10.32 (+0.61)          The Moment (MOMNT) 25000 11.65 (+1.01)          Peaked (PEAKD) 25000 7.82 (-0.50)          Fellowship (FELWS) 20000 14.14 (-0.86)          Stephen Lang (SLANG) 25000 63.22 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 435.31 (-3.85)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 435.31 (-3.85)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 435.31 (-3.85)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 55417 435.31 (-3.85)          Shawn Levy (SLEVY) 25000 136.26 (+0.33)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 53.86 (-0.35)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.14 (-0.86)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 1.61 (-0.32)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 109.24 (-2.50)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 25000 30.07 (-0.03)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.20 (-1.45)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 6.22 (+1.41)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 6.22 (+1.41)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 8672 67.86 (-0.05)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.20 (-1.45)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.32 (+0.61)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 7.82 (-0.50)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 10.69 (+1.17)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 10.69 (+1.17)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 9.66 (-0.10)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 3.39 (+0.16)          Hypno-Hustler (HYPHU) 1 7.54 (-0.01)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 3.39 (+0.16)          Song Sung Blue H$10 Put (SSBLU.PU) 25000 1.52 (-0.04)          Song Sung Blue H$10 Put (SSBLU.PU) 25000 1.52 (-0.04)          Marty Supreme H$10 Put (MRTSU.PU) 25000 1.48 (-0.08)          Marty Supreme H$10 Put (MRTSU.PU) 25000 1.48 (-0.08)          CBS: Sheriff Country (SHERFC) 25000 8.66 (-0.06)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 150000 59.05 (-0.22)          CBS: Sheriff Country (SHERFC) 25000 8.66 (-0.06)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 9.66 (-0.10)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 9656 261.85 (+0.54)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 99819 70.02 (-0.96)          Noah Jupe (NJUPE) 25000 67.43 (-0.25)          Digger (DIGER) 1000 102.24 (+0.01)          Digger (DIGER) 1000 102.24 (+0.01)          Jessie Buckley (JSBUC) 25000 16.08 (-0.10)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 50000 64.25 (-0.94)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 9.66 (-0.10)          Madden (MADEN) 20000 19.19 (0.00)