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Whisper Numbers: Captain Marvel to dominate second weekend

After blasting off with a bang that silenced misogynistic trolls, Captain Marvel [CMARV] will easily top three new wide releases. Due to their frontloaded nature, Marvel films typical drop 55% during their sophomore session. A similar decay pattern would put Captain Marvel at $69 million.

The PG-rated animated Wonder Park [AMUSM] courts families with young children. Unfortunately, the story and quality of animation will not appeal to a wider audience. Paramount also has a poor track record in animated movies aside from SpongeBob SquarePants. Playing in 3838 theaters, Wonder Park may admit $11 million.

The PG-13 rated romance Five Feet Apart [5FTAP] stars Cole Sprouse [CSPRO] and Haley Lu Richardson [HLRIC] as two cystic fibrosis patients who fall in love. CBS Films hopes to attract many of Sprouse’s 24 million Instagram followers. Standing in 2803 theaters, Five Feet Apart could reach $10 million.

Pantelion targets Hispanic moviegoers with the R-rated comedy sequel No Manches Frida 2 [NMFR2]. The first film opened September 2016 with a strong $3.7 million in just 362 theaters. No Manches Frida 2 should be able to top $4 million from 472 locations.

The PG-13 rated sci-fi Captive State [CAPST] finally opens after having its release date tossed around by Focus. The studio’s lack of faith is demonstrated by little marketing support and no advance reviews. Showing in 2547 theaters, Captive State may net $3.5 million.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): CMARV, AMUSM, 5FTAP, CSPRO, HLRIC, NMFR2, CAPST

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By Antibody on Thursday, March 14, 2019 @ 02:49 PM 808 views

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Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom H$5 (AQUM2.CA) 25000 2.17 (+0.19)          Anyone But You H$10 Put Fri-Mon (ANOBU.PU) 25000 3.01 (+0.08)          The Monk and the Gun (TMATG) 150000 1.61 (-0.04)          American Star (AMSTA) 150000 1.50 (-0.03)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 150000 12.62 (+1.16)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 150000 12.62 (+1.16)          Creed IV (CREE4) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Nonnas (NONAS) 150000 13.40 (-1.24)          Uncharted 2 (UNCH2) 150000 36.08 (+0.81)          Trolls Band Together (TROL3) 147015 85.45 (-1.76)          Trolls Band Together (TROL3) 150000 85.45 (-1.76)          Trolls Band Together (TROL3) 91 85.45 (-1.76)          Creed IV (CREE4) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Civil War (CVLWR) 1000 12.81 (+1.56)          Civil War (CVLWR) 1000 12.81 (+1.56)          Salem's Lot (SALOT) 99999 17.11 (-1.26)          Creed IV (CREE4) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Avatar 3 (AVAT3) 3 407.61 (+1.56)          Avatar 3 (AVAT3) 15 407.61 (+1.56)          Anyone But You (ANOBU) 150000 23.35 (-0.53)          Uncharted 2 (UNCH2) 149999 36.08 (+0.81)          Uncharted 2 (UNCH2) 150000 36.08 (+0.81)          Creed IV (CREE4) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Creed IV (CREE4) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Wish (WISH) 8444 78.24 (-2.00)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 149999 12.62 (+1.16)          The Wild Robot (TWRBT) 149999 40.92 (-1.15)          Wonka (WONKA) 150000 152.54 (-2.41)          Creed IV (CREE4) 10000 75.00 (0.00)          Wish (WISH) 36205 78.24 (-2.00)          The Boy and The Heron (HDYL) 150000 19.95 (+2.31)          Wish (WISH) 52801 78.24 (-2.00)          Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 15000 193.39 (+0.45)          Avengers: The Kang Dynasty (AVNG5) 15000 292.70 (+0.91)          Civil War (CVLWR) 150000 12.81 (+1.56)          Nonnas (NONAS) 2000 13.40 (-1.24)          The Wild Robot (TWRBT) 2000 40.92 (-1.15)          The Black Phone 2 (BPHO2) 11000 41.91 (-0.65)          The Wild Robot (TWRBT) 11000 40.92 (-1.15)          Tron: Ares aka Tron 3 (TRON3) 5000 43.23 (-1.11)          Wish (WISH) 29671 78.24 (-2.00)          Armor Wars (ARMWR) 3000 89.06 (-0.61)          Oceans aka Ocean's Prequel (OCEN5) 4000 51.85 (-0.44)          Oceans aka Ocean's Prequel (OCEN5) 1200 51.85 (-0.44)          Wonka (WONKA) 7000 152.54 (-2.41)          Wonka (WONKA) 8000 152.54 (-2.41)          Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 5000 193.39 (+0.45)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 4000 85.58 (+0.42)          Creed IV (CREE4) 150000 75.00 (0.00)          Avengers: The Kang Dynasty (AVNG5) 5000 292.70 (+0.91)