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Whisper Numbers: Just Go With It or Never Say Never?

After a few uneventful weekends at the box office, Hollywood is back in force with four new wide releases. The number one position looks to come down to a battle between a reliable comedic star and a new kid on the scene.  Adam Sandler [ASAND] has been a consistent draw for over a decade delivering $100 million grossers with $30 million plus openings. His latest PG-13 rated comedy Just Go With It [JGWIT] gets additional starpower from Jennifer Aniston [JANIS].  Sony’s marketing has been split between playing up the romantic comedy to women and featuring swimsuit model Brooklyn Decker for men. Opening in 3548 theaters, Just Go With It may deliver about $32 million.

Justin Bieber: Never Say Never [JBI3D] could challenge for the top spot if Bieber fever reaches the level of Hannah Montana & Miley Cyrus, which debuted with $31.1 million. The 3D documentary/concert film looks to bring out his legion of tween fans as well as religious parents receptive to his inspirational story. Breaking into 3105 theaters, Justin Bieber could attain $27 million.

Disney is releasing the 3D animated Gnomeo & Juliet [GNOME] just ahead of Valentine’s Day. The G-rated adaptation of the Shakespeare romance hopes to appeal to family audience with children too young to care about Justin Bieber. Gnomeo & Juliet could bring in $14 million from 2994 locations.

Channing Tatum [CTATU] stars in the action adventure The Eagle [EAGLN] set in Roman times. The PG-13 rated film doesn’t offer anything new in the genre and should attract a predominantly male audience. Marching into 2296 theaters, The Eagle may tally $8 million.

With all the competition from newcomers, last weekend’s top film The Roommate [RMATE] looks to fall more than 50% to around $7 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): ASAND, JGWIT, JANIS, JBI3D, GNOME, CTATU, EAGLN, RMATE

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, February 10, 2011 @ 04:09 PM 5683 views

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Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 9379 13.81 (+0.38)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 100000 265.06 (+1.25)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 117774 418.06 (+2.21)          Please (PLESE) 49999 21.82 (-0.26)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 150000 49.17 (-2.97)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 3635 307.27 (-1.04)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 150000 6.04 (-0.26)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 61000 18.64 (-0.02)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 80241 307.27 (-1.04)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 8 418.06 (+2.21)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 89000 7.44 (+0.13)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 10000 79.54 (+2.79)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 89000 7.31 (+0.07)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 59000 307.27 (-1.04)          Isle of Man (ISLEM) 150000 39.66 (+0.10)          The Invite (TINVT) 99000 19.96 (-0.09)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 54.56 (+0.15)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 150000 25.71 (+0.02)          Motor City (MTRCT) 89000 8.32 (+0.03)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 119000 9.39 (+0.08)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 58.51 (-1.20)          Jeremy Allen White (JEAWH) 25000 44.11 (-0.95)          Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 25000 129.75 (-3.54)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.00 (0.00)          Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 25000 127.07 (+0.26)          Noah Centineo (NCENT) 25000 52.47 (-0.52)          Young Washington (YWASH) 30000 30.25 (+0.89)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 20000 67.19 (+0.18)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 89000 5.91 (+0.03)          Naomi Ackie (NACKI) 25000 16.05 (+1.99)          Naomi Ackie (NACKI) 25000 16.05 (+1.99)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 81064 418.06 (+2.21)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 100000 13.26 (-0.21)          Melissa Leo (MLEO) 25000 29.43 (+0.98)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 22 5.94 (0.00)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 17 4.63 (+0.03)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 21 6.69 (+0.11)          Control (COTRL) 14 6.01 (+0.45)          Keke Palmer (KPALM) 25000 62.18 (-1.29)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 1 230.52 (-0.66)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 100000 138.73 (-4.07)          Killing Castro (KILLC) 150000 4.63 (+0.03)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 6.69 (+0.11)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 149999 13.81 (+0.38)          Control (COTRL) 150000 6.01 (+0.45)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 5.94 (0.00)          Golshifteh Farahani (GFARA) 25000 55.04 (-1.16)          Eiza Gonzalez (EGONZ) 25000 12.24 (+0.49)          Don Cheadle (DCHEA) 25000 122.52 (+1.86)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 150000 230.52 (-0.66)