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Whisper Numbers: Can anyone out earn The Help over Labor Day Weekend?

The summer movie season comes to an end as three new films open over the long Labor Day weekend. The sci-fi horror Apollo 18 [APO18] appears to have to best chance to break out. The Weinstein Co. film is the latest entry in the “lost footage” sub-genre of horror popularized by Paranormal Activity and purports to show what happened to the astronauts of a secret last mission to the moon. With a cast of unknowns, the film will have to draw on its premise alone. The PG-13 rating should bring out the teen target audience. Launching in 3328 theaters, Apollo 18 could land around $16 million over the four-day holiday weekend.

If Apollo 18 should falter, The Help [THELP] could hang on to the top spot for a third weekend. The drama recently crossed the $100 million mark and could add another $15 million over the long weekend.

Relativity unleashes its own PG-13 rated horror film with the self-explanatory titled Shark Night 3D [SHK3D]. Last year, Piranha 3D featuring R-rated gore and nudity took in $10.1 million. Shark Night 3D is opening against a glut of 3D horror competitors this year which have all under-performed. Released in 2806 theaters, Shark Night 3D may draw in $11 million through Monday.

Focus targets older adult moviegoers with the spy thriller The Debt [TDEBT] starring Sam Worthington [SWORT] and Helen Mirren [HMIRR]. The R-rated film has earned respectable reviews and opening on Wednesday, where it grossed $0.97 million, should spread the word of mouth. George Clooney’s The American also opened on the Wednesday before Labor Day last year grossing $1.7 million on its way to $16.7 million from Friday to Monday. With less starpower and only 1786 locations, The Debt could settle with $7 million over the four-day weekend.

After hurricane Irene took away some of its opening weekend business, the actioner Colombiana [CLMBA] looks to make up $7 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): APO18, THELP, SHK3D, TDEBT, SWORT, HMIRR, CLMBA

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, September 1, 2011 @ 03:10 PM 3154 views

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Idris Elba (IELBA) 25000 113.21 (0.00)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.35 (-0.65)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 149999 152.02 (+0.44)          Dust Bunny (DUSTB) 150000 2.64 (0.00)          Primate (PRIMT) 77777 19.60 (+0.04)          Idris Elba (IELBA) 25000 113.21 (0.00)          Song Sung Blue - Opening Weekend (SSBLU.OW) 100000 11.65 (-0.10)          Song Sung Blue - Opening Weekend (SSBLU.OW) 100000 11.65 (-0.10)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.35 (-0.65)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 4.75 (+0.31)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 7.77 (+0.06)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 20071 6.09 (+1.28)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 42.06 (-1.35)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 18.78 (+0.10)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 18.78 (+0.10)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.21 (+0.50)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.21 (+0.50)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.36 (-1.29)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 500 4.08 (+0.36)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 500 10.55 (+1.03)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 500 6.09 (+1.28)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 500 70.39 (-0.59)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 10000 54.15 (-0.06)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.35 (-0.65)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 110.73 (-1.01)          Song Sung Blue (SSBLU) 24999 36.73 (+0.01)          Fellowship (FELWS) 149997 14.35 (-0.65)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 50000 437.87 (-1.29)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 22.94 (-0.87)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 14090 53.36 (-0.10)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 42.06 (-1.35)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 42.06 (-1.35)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 149999 6.09 (+1.28)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 19000 30.19 (+0.09)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 25000 64.45 (-0.74)          Eleven Days (11DAY) 150000 14.24 (+1.06)          Strings aka Help (STRNS) 1000 15.09 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 25000 437.87 (-1.29)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 109533 71.18 (+0.44)          David (DAVID) 25000 72.22 (-1.60)          The Young People (TYPEP) 1 19.04 (-0.02)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 50000 10.55 (+1.03)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 1 66.72 (-0.09)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.36 (-1.29)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 1 66.72 (-0.09)          David (DAVID) 150000 72.22 (-1.60)          Starship Troopers (STRPR) 1 49.18 (-0.07)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 12500 54.15 (-0.06)          Starship Troopers (STRPR) 1 49.18 (-0.07)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 1.69 (-0.24)