HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

You're pretty much on target with your SPOOK comments...

Posted by: slappydavid (a.k.a HorrorFund) on Mar 21, 07:44 in response to whitewalls' post Fund Watch 5 - SPOOK & TRUE

Yes, lots of cash laying around right now, but I'm waiting to get a clear sense on CARIE, CNJUR and NSID2, all of which have 2013 release dates, and other smaller ones like KRSTY and JESAB. So I should be using some money on those in the near future.

As you can tell I basically play on dated movies, I'm not good at determining value on long term projects. Even then, horror movies tend not to be so buzzy, so long term play might be futile. From a few weeks ahead of opening, and on to delist, it's usually pretty straightforward in terms of strategy. Either if it's a hit or a bomb, it will likely be a post-adjust short.

Now on LBIBB, the key here is that she is dropping IRNM2, and as long as her next dated adjust is a horror movie, I will be holding her. Right now there's a wrapped IPO that just appeared, so her elegibility for SPOOK might be gone as that one gets a release date, but either way it should continue to slowly drop towards her next adjust. With all the cash I have, and so little investment oportunities, I see no reason why I wouldn't tie up 1.4M on a sure investment (while elegibility permits), even if dROI isn't that great.

THOLL is not a sexy investment, I know, but I shorted him as soon as BYZAN got a date, he was trading 3 points over his TAG, and is expected to drop another 3 on adjust, it looked like good money. Again, with so much cash, I'll take this kind of starbond oportunities as they come. Truth is THOLL's 700K investment is not a worry for me.

Overall I think it should be a good year for the horror genre, which should help out the fund's prospects. I employ such a different strategy with the fund, compared to my personal port, so it's always a work in progress.

The fund IPO'd on Halloween last year, so I missed the (usually) most active month for horror movies, so my plan is to have this one delisted before october. So if I decide to return for another run, I can get it IPO'd on time for the Halloween runs.

I think I'm doing alright, as long as I'm ahead of RH's AFRAM, since that's the other fund with the closest IPO date (one week after SPOOK). Nice little competition I have with him, even if he doesn't know about it... :)





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


River (RIVE1) 44444 11.57 (+0.87)          Resident Evil H$40 Call (RESE8.CA) 25000 4.80 (+0.18)          Forgotten Island H$20 Put (FRGIS.PU) 25000 2.66 (+0.04)          Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 25000 2.32 (+0.32)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 30000 14.31 (-0.01)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 39999 8.05 (-0.24)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 75.78 (-0.41)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 150000 12.55 (+1.44)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 17.53 (-0.06)          Artificial (AIFIC) 100000 20.85 (-0.50)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 100000 4.47 (-0.07)          Evil Genius (EVILG) 150000 5.09 (-0.05)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 62290 71.16 (-1.46)          Copperhead (COPRH) 125000 16.98 (-0.90)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 150000 3.75 (-0.53)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 48.49 (+0.18)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 53.44 (+0.01)          Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Trans (LGBTQ) 20000 23.95 (+0.11)          Copperhead (COPRH) 25000 16.98 (-0.90)          River (RIVE1) 25000 11.57 (+0.87)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 20000 18.38 (+1.56)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 25000 3.75 (-0.53)          Artificial (AIFIC) 20000 20.85 (-0.50)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 1 12.55 (+1.44)          Werwulf (WERWU) 150000 73.17 (-0.99)          Copperhead (COPRH) 25000 16.98 (-0.90)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 15000 1.72 (-0.28)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 1.72 (-0.28)          River (RIVE1) 30000 11.57 (+0.87)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 150000 12.55 (+1.44)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 20.85 (-0.50)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 2.02 (+0.02)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 125000 4.47 (-0.07)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 100000 12.45 (+0.13)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 150000 24.70 (-0.37)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.39 (+0.39)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 169 93.99 (+1.19)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 150000 3.75 (-0.53)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 20.85 (-0.50)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 60000 12.45 (+0.13)          Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 16.98 (-0.90)          Tramell Tillman (TTILL) 25000 157.88 (-1.50)          Tramell Tillman (TTILL) 25000 157.88 (-1.50)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 149035 182.29 (+0.66)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 25000 3.75 (-0.53)          Copperhead (COPRH) 25000 16.98 (-0.90)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.61 (+0.61)          David Gordon Green (DGGRE) 25000 81.24 (+0.50)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 100000 24.13 (-0.87)          Verity H$25 Put (VERTY.PU) 25000 1.93 (-0.07)