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Please don't take this personally but this is exactly the kind of thinking that begat those huge unrealistic estimates from so many: it

Posted by: HuskyMiller on Oct 29, 10:45 in response to photochick814's post I've heard great reviews from the people I know who saw...

it assumes that people have "moving-going money" burning a hole in their pocket that MUST and WILL be spent each week. Just because a movie is good and nothing new is competing against it, does not automatically mean people will WANT to see it by default. There are other things in life people can go do if this movie is not their cup of tea. The stuido and others simply assumed too much and over-estimated demand in the U.S. for this movie. THIS IS IT is and will be a success world-wide. But these numbers indicate bad news for domestic box office because you KNOW all the die-hards saw it yesterday. The good news is they still have the weekend to suck the rest of us in. But I'm not going to celebrate my short just yet. Not until I see Friday's numbers. That should be the final nail in the coffin. (no pun intended)





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Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 50000 20.00 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 9999 77.98 (+0.18)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 50000 17.57 (+0.32)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 6.18 (-0.14)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 6.18 (-0.14)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 150000 5.12 (-0.08)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 50000 13.08 (+0.20)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 150000 13.61 (+0.47)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 150000 13.61 (+0.47)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 24999 4.22 (+0.07)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 2.44 (-0.04)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 1 2.44 (-0.04)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 6.18 (-0.14)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 2 12.75 (+0.44)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 12.75 (+0.44)          Baton (BATON) 150000 6.12 (+0.04)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 3 211.03 (+0.85)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 211.03 (+0.85)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 6.86 (-0.04)          Josephine Langford (JOLAN) 4999 5.61 (0.00)          Josephine Langford (JOLAN) 5999 5.61 (0.00)          The Pout-pout Fish (POUTF) 150000 2.20 (+0.04)          The Pout-pout Fish (POUTF) 149999 2.20 (+0.04)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.PU) 25000 1.59 (+0.02)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come - Op (RONO2.OW) 100000 11.06 (+0.04)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.CA) 25000 2.92 (-0.01)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 2.44 (-0.04)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 77.98 (+0.18)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 211.03 (+0.85)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 4.22 (+0.07)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 6.81 (-0.25)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 6.81 (-0.25)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 15.54 (-0.37)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 211.03 (+0.85)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 15.54 (-0.37)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 1.99 (-0.01)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Drama H$15 Put (TDRAM.PU) 25000 1.58 (+0.01)          The Drama - Opening Weekend (TDRAM.OW) 100000 15.77 (+0.05)          The Drama H$15 Call (TDRAM.CA) 25000 2.52 (+0.02)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 12.75 (+0.44)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.PU) 25000 1.76 (+0.01)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 12.75 (+0.44)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 211.03 (+0.85)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 146.05 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 77.98 (+0.18)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 150000 13.61 (+0.47)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 150000 13.61 (+0.47)          Varanasi (VARAN) 149999 11.31 (-0.05)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 49999 13.08 (+0.20)