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V nice analysis. I would posit this subjective point

Posted by: KurtPilo on Mar 23, 12:04 in response to RazorHawk's post lets check the math for your 'good instinct' players...

Perhaps the fast$ / marginal money was short and with it pricing on top of projections  they covered 

Divergent - 56 mill RazorHawk Mar 23, 07:49

Muppets Most Wanted - 16.5 mill RazorHawk Mar 23, 08:24

Miss piggy, u will be missed {nm} karspov Mar 23, 08:41

Good for my portfolio here, but bad for my BoxOfficeChamps studio. Oh well. {nm} MattW Mar 23, 08:42

what's the name of your studio there? Oleg Max Mar 23, 11:19

Dang, you're way up there. Mine is Chicka Chicka. {nm} MattW Mar 23, 14:16

So even if we added Muppets ENTIRE OW to Divergent's, MTC still would've been .5M high on its $73M Divergent estimate. :-) {nm} KalElFan Mar 23, 10:20

God's Not Dead - 8.5 mill from 780 locations RazorHawk Mar 23, 08:25

A few on HSX "knew". All projections said 50-53 or 52-55 yestd. Even still, right before halt, stock rose. Some among us had good instincts. Facto Mar 23, 09:04

lets check the math for your 'good instinct' players... RazorHawk Mar 23, 09:36

Most excellent, Razor! This made my day. Favorite post of the week, easily. My position is good, I lost nothing - in fact, I stand to gain. {nm} Facto Mar 23, 09:39

great post ! {nm} JMT-NL Mar 23, 10:39

V nice analysis. I would posit this subjective point KurtPilo Mar 23, 12:04

Right on the money, I shorted it when it was $161, and covered at $147, since it was looking to adjust higher. {nm} elchan2012 Mar 23, 12:35

I shorted it at $170, thought about covering it when it was 147 but didn't... still have it. {nm} Filmstardust Mar 23, 16:48

I pulled out sat morn...when it was right in the middle of Deadline's range {nm} tealfan Mar 23, 13:20





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Mouse (MOUSE) 10000 0.84 (-0.01)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 150000 4.19 (-0.37)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 3.52 (+1.25)          Nickels (NCKEL) 2297 0.09 (0.00)          Drummer Boy - Opening Weekend (DRUMB.OW) 100000 4.81 (+0.13)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 150000 201.05 (+1.69)          The Beast (TBEAS) 1000 1.05 (-0.03)          Lucca Mortis (LUCAM) 1497 0.09 (0.00)          Single Female (SIFEM) 1 20.84 (+1.02)          Single Female (SIFEM) 50000 20.84 (+1.02)          The Beast (TBEAS) 1000 1.05 (-0.03)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 8000 97.62 (-1.37)          Lucca Mortis (LUCAM) 1003 0.09 (0.00)          Mouse (MOUSE) 10000 0.84 (-0.01)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 149998 100.00 (0.00)          Wild Four O’Clocks (W4OCL) 897 0.08 (+0.01)          Last Friday (FRID4) 149998 14.82 (-0.16)          Last Friday (FRID4) 149996 14.82 (-0.16)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 30000 5.24 (+1.65)          Rose (ROSE) 150000 0.72 (-0.01)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 149996 26.01 (-0.10)          Wild Four O’Clocks (W4OCL) 901 0.08 (+0.01)          Stuffed (STUFD) 150000 0.67 (-0.02)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 2 16.35 (+0.02)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Single Female (SIFEM) 149998 20.84 (+1.02)          Single Female (SIFEM) 149996 20.84 (+1.02)          Single Female (SIFEM) 20000 20.84 (+1.02)          We All Die Young (WADY) 200 0.07 (0.00)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          The Shrinking of Treehorn (TSOTH) 499 0.07 (0.00)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 10000 100.00 (0.00)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 10000 14.52 (+0.27)          Sight & Sound Presents: Josh (SSPJL) 150000 2.59 (-0.71)          The Shrinking of Treehorn (TSOTH) 192 0.07 (0.00)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 150000 14.52 (+0.27)          Sight & Sound Presents: Josh (SSPJL) 149999 2.59 (-0.71)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 3.52 (+1.25)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 3.52 (+1.25)          Everest aka Mallory aka The Summ (SUMIT) 200 0.07 (0.00)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 100.00 (0.00)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 5.24 (+1.65)          Perfect (PFECT) 200 0.07 (0.00)          Single Female (SIFEM) 20000 20.84 (+1.02)          Misdirection (MSDRC) 9999 0.07 (0.00)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 1 5.27 (+0.62)          Stuffed (STUFD) 150000 0.67 (-0.02)