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Not sure it holds 50% those final two weekends.

Posted by: shipwreckedcrew on Dec 01, 11:37 in response to tomcat90's post Math inside....

Historically, these first two weekends of Dec are NOT good Box Office weekends.  That's why you saw no big opener yesterday, and there is no big opener next weekend. Third weekend is OK if holiday break starts that weekend.  If not, 3rd weekend can be trouble too.

Did not foresee the "wreck" of Ralph following TGiving weekend. shipwreckedcrew Dec 01, 10:41

it'll do a lot more than $15m. Last week was Thanksgiving. It'll do more than $15 Sat and Sun alone {nm} Moviesnob Dec 01, 10:56

I'll have an 80+ percent Sat bump and around 35% Sunday drop, Fri+10+6.5 = at least 22m for the weekend {nm} MattW Dec 01, 11:09

D has it called at $25.1m (-55%) and $118.6m total. If it has 50% drops week over week, it's still only on pace for about $143m tomcat90 Dec 01, 11:22

Math inside.... tomcat90 Dec 01, 11:26

Not sure it holds 50% those final two weekends. shipwreckedcrew Dec 01, 11:37

MOANA 2nd weekend was 50% followed by 34% and 31%. So RALP2 could do 40% and 40%. {nm} Antibody Dec 01, 11:50

FROZEN second weekend was -53% followed by 28.6% and 13%. {nm} Antibody Dec 01, 12:02

With no openers next weekend, I guess Grinch (at a stretch) could reclaim #1. {nm} Qix Dec 01, 11:31

Grinch is now Arb by about $7 {nm} shipwreckedcrew Dec 02, 08:38

No reason for 75% decline on Friday week-over-week shipwreckedcrew Dec 01, 11:34

MOANA dropped 70% Fri to Fri. It's not that worse. {nm} Antibody Dec 01, 11:46

That's a good comparison shipwreckedcrew Dec 01, 11:52

FROZEN also deropp 75% Fri to Fri. {nm} Antibody Dec 01, 11:58

*dropped {nm} Antibody Dec 01, 11:58

Frozen is in a different category to me shipwreckedcrew Dec 01, 13:13

Thanksgiving holiday weekend = box office on steroids {nm} slipping jimmy Dec 01, 12:04

There is totally a reason for a 75% decline. Black Friday is a Saturday with regards to Box Office. So take say Grinch...it's second Friday Catzan Dec 01, 16:07

It did hold better Sat-Sun than I expected, but shipwreckedcrew Dec 02, 08:34





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