HSX Forum

Movies

the two are too close on SORAP for the rule to come in play, but darn it, definitely disappointed in the INCPT number

Posted by: xiayun on Jul 12, 11:18 in response to secretstalker's post Better hope the MTC/RS theories are untrue: MTC says...

I'm still hoping for the best, and it'll certainly have good legs, but doesn't look like Inception could hit $70m for the opening weekend now.  Still don't see why it wouldn't at least beat Minority Report inflation-adjusted.

 

Better hope the MTC/RS theories are untrue: MTC says [INCPT] 48 [SORAP] 33 (5 days... so I guess that's higher than RS?) {nm} secretstalker Jul 12, 11:05

Where did you get this information? {nm} ShawnMR Jul 12, 11:09

From notfabio {nm} secretstalker Jul 12, 11:13

Can anyone else confirm these numbers? No offense intended, secretstalker...it just seems like a hugely improbably coincidence to me. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 12, 12:23

Disregard. I've had the numbers confirmed. The MTC number is legit. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 12, 12:50

Apology accepted. :P {nm} secretstalker Jul 12, 13:52

Haha, sorry ss. Like I said, I wasn't intending any offense. You have to admit that was one hell of a coincidence. .00069% chance ShawnMR Jul 12, 16:23

the two are too close on SORAP for the rule to come in play, but darn it, definitely disappointed in the INCPT number xiayun Jul 12, 11:18

horlicks' Twitter analysis seems to point to both RS and MTC being way wrong. {nm} secretstalker Jul 12, 11:19

Has he adjusted for fanboy frenzy yet? Facto Jul 12, 11:36

I do expect it to have a very high Tweets ratio given Nolan's online fanbase xiayun Jul 12, 11:37

MTC has been solid all summer (outside of DESME), but one would figure they have to blow one pretty bad soon. {nm} Rolling_Thunder Jul 12, 11:21

Perhaps. Somehow I doubt, though, that a very high-consept sci-fi thriller would be the one? Facto Jul 12, 11:43

I posted a joke post about this on another forum this morning. I cited those *exact* numbers, I kid you not. Are you sure this isn't bad ShawnMR Jul 12, 11:21

Can anyone else confirm these numbers? No offense intended, secretstalker...it just seems like a hugely improbably coincidence to me. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 12, 11:43

If there is a equally likely "reasonable" range of guesses of 50-90 and 20-50 for the two movies, p=.00067 to pick any specific #s randomly. {nm} lukesed Jul 12, 12:51

Haha. Well, I guess this was that .00067... sigh. {nm} ShawnMR Jul 12, 12:58

By some cosmic freak accident, Shawn's brain got connected to Paul the Prognosticating Octopus (in Oberhausen) for a few secs earlier today! {nm} Facto Jul 12, 12:59

That, or I just Dom Cobb'd the numbers out of secretstalker's head. lol {nm} ShawnMR Jul 12, 13:02

As Zappa once said, it's strange to be alive... ;-) {nm} Facto Jul 12, 13:10

I've been one of the more pessimistic people here regarding INCPT's opening weekend potential, but even I think that is a bit low. {nm} shadowking Jul 12, 14:13

Maybe it's just NYC, but I walk down the street and hear people talking about how much they want to see this movie. badvladdy Jul 12, 14:48

A Talk Radio Station In Illinois Has Been Busting A Gut Saying They Have To See This Movie thepizzaguy Jul 13, 13:00

Sorry for the dumb question, but what is RS & MTC? {nm} Carcharodon Jul 14, 10:30

I've lost quite a lot based on tracking this summer, I'm starting to doubt their power... My main concern is the 4 weeks only window on HSX {nm} lefrench Jul 14, 11:35





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Last Breath (LBRTH) 150000 12.21 (+1.00)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 150000 12.21 (+1.00)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 150000 9.18 (-0.32)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 150000 9.18 (-0.32)          The Substance (SBSTN) 150000 9.07 (+0.07)          The Substance (SBSTN) 150000 9.07 (+0.07)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 4.55 (+0.66)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 4.55 (+0.66)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 1 51.80 (+0.82)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 30000 4.55 (+0.66)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 2.48 (-0.70)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 10000 51.80 (+0.82)          Trap House (TRAPH) 15000 19.77 (+1.77)          Materialists (MTRLS) 150000 15.93 (-0.10)          The Watchers (WATCS) 150000 35.43 (-0.56)          Civil War (CVLWR) 150000 61.97 (-0.23)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 2 33.03 (-1.15)          The Running Man (TRUNM) 3000 23.94 (0.00)          The Watchers (WATCS) 1 35.43 (-0.56)          The Bad Guys 2 (TBAD2) 1400 68.56 (-0.05)          Anora (ANORA) 1 2.48 (-0.70)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 1 33.29 (+0.64)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 2.48 (-0.70)          Harold and the Purple Crayon (HATPC) 100 31.91 (0.00)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 1 33.03 (-1.15)          Sight (SIGHT) 50000 8.90 (-0.02)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4) 5 136.68 (+0.11)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 19.77 (+1.77)          Trap House (TRAPH) 100000 19.77 (+1.77)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 150000 33.03 (-1.15)          Trap House (TRAPH) 85120 19.77 (+1.77)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 100000 33.29 (+0.64)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 13.03 (+0.19)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 19.77 (+1.77)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 19.77 (+1.77)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 45000 51.80 (+0.82)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 100000 19.39 (-0.13)          Daddio (DADIO) 150000 3.02 (+0.03)          The Exorcism (TGTWP) 150000 1.79 (+0.03)          The Exorcism (TGTWP) 125000 1.79 (+0.03)          Unsung Hero - Opening Weekend (UNSUN.OW) 99999 9.68 (-0.03)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 5 12.21 (+1.00)          Uptown Saturday Night (USATN) 2 0.02 (0.00)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 1 53.35 (0.00)          Deadpool & Wolverine (DEAD3) 2 382.76 (+0.37)          Trap House (TRAPH) 100000 19.77 (+1.77)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 19.77 (+1.77)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 150000 9.18 (-0.32)          Trap House (TRAPH) 50000 19.77 (+1.77)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 50000 51.80 (+0.82)