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Heh ... they were educated guesses!

Posted by: Qix (a.k.a 15-May-2007) on Sep 03, 16:31 in response to Antibody's post Interesting idea, but the only problem as you mentioned...

 

The 40m option number came from my presumption the actual number will probably land between 20m & 60m. This idea involves a halt, so arguably intuitive skill would be required to play.

 

The 200m warrant number came from my presumption the actual number will probably land between 100m & 300m. This idea incorporates multiple trailers, so arguably deeper analytical skills would be required to play. 

 

Obviously, these are wild forecasts based on slim previous data, therefore I take your point ... but in this uncertain new world of multiple streaming outcomes, won't (for example) most theatrical IPOs become an educated guessing game too?

 

I also get that HSX is US-centric & any proposed securities represent global views (not dollars earned), however I think some sort of product (if not options or warrants, then perhaps TrailerStocks or TrailerBonds?) exists to reflect online blockbuster marketing in the 2020s.

 

Cheers.





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48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 1 3.33 (0.00)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 10000 10.97 (+0.18)          Narcs (NARCS) 10000 30.48 (+0.19)          Preppy (PREPY) 150000 5.99 (-0.01)          Josephine Baker (JSPBK) 20000 2.32 (-0.04)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 1 272.34 (0.00)          Hershey (HERSH) 150000 10.96 (+0.36)          Hershey (HERSH) 149999 10.96 (+0.36)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 150000 19.23 (+0.36)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 149999 19.23 (+0.36)          The Hole (THHOL) 150000 6.75 (+0.37)          The Hole (THHOL) 149999 6.75 (+0.37)          Focker In-Law H$50 Put Wed-Sun (MPRN4.PU) 7740 2.03 (+0.03)          They Know (TKNOW) 150000 13.42 (+0.51)          They Know (TKNOW) 149999 13.42 (+0.51)          Wet (WET) 150000 7.86 (-0.29)          Wet (WET) 150000 7.86 (-0.29)          They Know (TKNOW) 150000 13.42 (+0.51)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 149999 19.23 (+0.36)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 150000 19.23 (+0.36)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 149999 21.86 (+0.19)          Focker In-Law H$50 Put Wed-Sun (MPRN4.PU) 25000 2.03 (+0.03)          Focker In-Law H$50 Call Wed-Sun (MPRN4.CA) 25000 2.07 (+0.07)          Focker In-Law - Opening Weekend (MPRN4.OW) 100000 50.21 (+0.21)          Hexed H$45 Put Wed-Sun (HEXED.PU) 25000 2.05 (+0.05)          The Midnight Library (TMLIB) 1000 21.86 (+0.19)          Hexed H$45 Call Wed-Sun (HEXED.CA) 25000 2.11 (+0.11)          Hexed - Opening Weekend Wed-Sun (HEXED.OW) 100000 45.46 (+0.46)          The Hole (THHOL) 10000 6.75 (+0.37)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 2000 272.34 (0.00)          Josephine Baker (JSPBK) 149999 2.32 (-0.04)          Hershey - Opening Weekend Wed-Su (HERSH.OW) 100000 4.95 (-0.05)          Josephine Baker (JSPBK) 120000 2.32 (-0.04)          Preppy (PREPY) 150000 5.99 (-0.01)          Dragon (DRAGO) 60000 6.07 (-0.16)          Dragon (DRAGO) 149999 6.07 (-0.16)          Lobo (LOBO) 150000 17.07 (0.00)          Lobo (LOBO) 150000 17.07 (0.00)          Wet (WET) 75000 7.86 (-0.29)          Wet (WET) 99999 7.86 (-0.29)          They Know (TKNOW) 10000 13.42 (+0.51)          Sophie Okonedo (SOKON) 25000 33.64 (-0.12)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 100000 11.94 (+0.12)          Tangles (TNGLS) 1000 3.01 (+0.04)          Rode to Ruin (RODTR) 60000 11.94 (+0.12)          Tangles (TNGLS) 10000 3.01 (+0.04)          Drag (DRAG) 10000 6.65 (-0.07)          King (KING) 40000 5.24 (+0.07)          Tramell Tillman (TTILL) 25000 148.29 (-0.01)          Tramell Tillman (TTILL) 25000 148.29 (-0.01)