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Heh ... they were educated guesses!

Posted by: Qix (a.k.a 15-May-2007) on Sep 03, 16:31 in response to Antibody's post Interesting idea, but the only problem as you mentioned...

 

The 40m option number came from my presumption the actual number will probably land between 20m & 60m. This idea involves a halt, so arguably intuitive skill would be required to play.

 

The 200m warrant number came from my presumption the actual number will probably land between 100m & 300m. This idea incorporates multiple trailers, so arguably deeper analytical skills would be required to play. 

 

Obviously, these are wild forecasts based on slim previous data, therefore I take your point ... but in this uncertain new world of multiple streaming outcomes, won't (for example) most theatrical IPOs become an educated guessing game too?

 

I also get that HSX is US-centric & any proposed securities represent global views (not dollars earned), however I think some sort of product (if not options or warrants, then perhaps TrailerStocks or TrailerBonds?) exists to reflect online blockbuster marketing in the 2020s.

 

Cheers.





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