SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: How high will Iron Man 3 fly?

Marvel once again kicks off the summer blockbuster movie season with Iron Man 3 [IRNM3] the third solo outing for the armored superhero played by Robert Downey Jr. [RDOWN]. Although the film is technically a sequel to 2010’s Iron Man 2, the story in Iron Man 3 follows the events of last year’s The Avengers, where Iron Man last made his appearance alongside Thor, Captain America and Hulk. As we all know, The Avengers set the all-time opening weekend record at $207.4 million and was beloved by moviegoers. That exceptional goodwill should overcome the underwhelming after-taste of Iron Man 2, which debuted to $128.1 million three years ago this weekend.

While Iron Man 2 played like a set up for The Avengers, the focus of Iron Man 3 is back squarely on Tony Stark. Gwyneth Paltrow [GPALT] is back as his love interest Pepper Potts while, his most famous comic foe The Mandarin, played by Ben Kingsley [BKING], finally makes his appearance. Shane Black takes over as director from Jon Favreau, and reviews so far have been overwhelmingly positive. Disney opened the PG-13 rated film first overseas, and the favorable reception has helped to fuel the buzz. The third Batman film The Dark Knight Rises debuted at $160.9 million without the benefit of 3D, though the theater shooting had a small effect. Blasting into 4235 theaters, Iron Man 3 should reach upwards of at least $160 million.

Despite a number one opening, Pain & Gain [PAING] was not well-received even by its older male target audience. The action comedy may lose 55% in its second session to $9 million. Facing competition in its third week of release, Oblivion [OBLVN] looks to drop 55% to $8 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): IRNM3, RDOWN, GPALT, BKING, PAING, OBLVN

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 2, 2013 @ 03:44 PM 3328 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



The Edge Of Normal (TEONM) 150000 2.22 (+0.19)          Gambino (GMBNO) 150000 7.10 (+0.28)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 15000 93.58 (-0.65)          The Musical (MSCAL) 150000 0.33 (-0.02)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 43069 59.66 (-0.78)          Bad Apples (BAPPL) 150000 1.25 (-0.02)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 15000 201.24 (+0.55)          Resident Evil H$40 Call (RESE8.CA) 25000 4.83 (+0.21)          Resident Evil - Opening Weekend (RESE8.OW) 100000 49.48 (+0.87)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 15000 207.05 (+0.45)          Gambino (GMBNO) 150000 7.10 (+0.28)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 150000 7.63 (+0.43)          Copperhead (COPRH) 20000 17.00 (-0.88)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 150000 12.79 (+1.68)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 150000 12.79 (+1.68)          Copperhead (COPRH) 40000 17.00 (-0.88)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 16.25 (-0.07)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 44000 126.03 (+0.54)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 7000 227.22 (-1.03)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 142909 70.90 (-1.72)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 131909 70.90 (-1.72)          Resident Evil - Opening Weekend (RESE8.OW) 100000 49.48 (+0.87)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 94.32 (+1.52)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 10000 66.02 (+0.06)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 10000 124.23 (+0.24)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 1 94.32 (+1.52)          Jungle Cruise 2 (JUNG2) 25000 12.43 (-0.03)          Digger (DIGER) 75000 75.65 (-0.54)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 1.67 (-0.33)          Without Blood (WOBLD) 500 1.27 (-0.01)          Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 25000 2.42 (+0.42)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 2.04 (+0.04)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 150000 227.22 (-1.03)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 2.04 (+0.04)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 100000 23.64 (-1.36)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.49 (+0.49)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.91 (+0.91)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 150000 8.09 (-0.20)          Verity H$25 Put (VERTY.PU) 25000 1.89 (-0.11)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.49 (+0.49)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 350 155.62 (-0.12)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.91 (+0.91)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 2.04 (+0.04)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 100 23.64 (-1.36)          Copperhead (COPRH) 100000 17.00 (-0.88)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 20000 12.79 (+1.68)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 2.04 (+0.04)          Artificial (AIFIC) 1 20.89 (-0.46)          Artificial (AIFIC) 30000 20.89 (-0.46)          Tom Cruise (TCRUI) 10655 186.03 (+0.71)