SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: How high will Iron Man 3 fly?

Marvel once again kicks off the summer blockbuster movie season with Iron Man 3 [IRNM3] the third solo outing for the armored superhero played by Robert Downey Jr. [RDOWN]. Although the film is technically a sequel to 2010’s Iron Man 2, the story in Iron Man 3 follows the events of last year’s The Avengers, where Iron Man last made his appearance alongside Thor, Captain America and Hulk. As we all know, The Avengers set the all-time opening weekend record at $207.4 million and was beloved by moviegoers. That exceptional goodwill should overcome the underwhelming after-taste of Iron Man 2, which debuted to $128.1 million three years ago this weekend.

While Iron Man 2 played like a set up for The Avengers, the focus of Iron Man 3 is back squarely on Tony Stark. Gwyneth Paltrow [GPALT] is back as his love interest Pepper Potts while, his most famous comic foe The Mandarin, played by Ben Kingsley [BKING], finally makes his appearance. Shane Black takes over as director from Jon Favreau, and reviews so far have been overwhelmingly positive. Disney opened the PG-13 rated film first overseas, and the favorable reception has helped to fuel the buzz. The third Batman film The Dark Knight Rises debuted at $160.9 million without the benefit of 3D, though the theater shooting had a small effect. Blasting into 4235 theaters, Iron Man 3 should reach upwards of at least $160 million.

Despite a number one opening, Pain & Gain [PAING] was not well-received even by its older male target audience. The action comedy may lose 55% in its second session to $9 million. Facing competition in its third week of release, Oblivion [OBLVN] looks to drop 55% to $8 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): IRNM3, RDOWN, GPALT, BKING, PAING, OBLVN

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 2, 2013 @ 03:44 PM 3065 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 1.73 (-0.20)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 1.73 (-0.20)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 4.68 (+0.24)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 110.74 (-1.00)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 149999 12.88 (-0.10)          Josh Brolin (JBROL) 300 114.70 (0.00)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 900 293.88 (-0.25)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 900 67.17 (-0.02)          Helen Mirren (HMIRR) 50 95.99 (0.00)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 10.29 (+0.77)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 10.29 (+0.77)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 41.97 (-1.44)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 41.97 (-1.44)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.72 (-0.28)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.66 (-0.99)          Emory Cohen (ECOHE) 100 11.14 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 437.89 (-1.27)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 149999 10.29 (+0.77)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 10.29 (+0.77)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 110.74 (-1.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 5.64 (0.00)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 33.57 (+0.37)          Daniela Melchior (DMELC) 100 105.20 (0.00)          The Moment (MOMNT) 149999 11.21 (+0.57)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 1.73 (-0.20)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 11.21 (+0.57)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 4.68 (+0.24)          Christine (CRSTN) 149999 17.94 (+0.56)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 3.23 (0.00)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 17.94 (+0.56)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 149999 41.97 (-1.44)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 110.74 (-1.00)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 149999 33.57 (+0.37)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 4.68 (+0.24)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 33.57 (+0.37)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 1.73 (-0.20)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 437.89 (-1.27)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.66 (-0.99)          Craig Brewer (CBREW) 90 30.70 (0.00)          Fast Forever aka Fast X Part 2 (FAF11) 3 111.56 (+0.11)          Fast Forever aka Fast X Part 2 (FAF11) 3 111.56 (+0.11)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 3 7.09 (+0.16)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 3 7.09 (+0.16)          Christopher Abbott (CABBO) 100 15.90 (0.00)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 3 6.62 (+0.21)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 3 6.62 (+0.21)          Dune: Part Three aka Dune: Messi (DUNE3) 3 222.77 (+0.83)          Dune: Part Three aka Dune: Messi (DUNE3) 3 222.77 (+0.83)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 1 41.52 (+0.94)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 1 41.52 (+0.94)