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Whisper Numbers: American Sniper takes second tour

Three new wide releases enter the marketplace this weekend but none are close to challenging American Sniper [AMSNP] for the top spot. After its record shattering MLK holiday weekend, the war drama has become a cultural phenomenon that fosters debates. With excellent word of mouth and Oscar buzz, American Sniper should be able to hold 55% of its wide opening and collect another $52 million.

Jennifer Lopez [JLOPE] stars in the R-rated thriller The Boy Next Door [BOYND] as a teacher whose affair with her young neighbor turns him into a stalker. Universal is targeting women and Latino moviegoers. Debuting in 2602 theaters, The Boy Next Door could ring up $14 million.

British import Paddington [PADTN] connected with American families. The talking bear shouldn’t decline more than 40% to around $11. 5 million.

Although The Wedding Ringer [WEDRN] was in second place through Sunday, the comedy finished third by Monday. The drop-off looks to continue at more than 50% in its second weekend to $10 million.

When Disney acquired Lucasfilm for the Star Wars franchise, the animated Strange Magic [STMGC] came as part of the deal. The PG-rated fantasy has received little marketing and faces competition from Paddington. Brewing in 3020 theaters, Strange Magic may stir up $9 million.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] unveils his latest quirky character in the R-rated comedy Mortdecai [MRTDC]. The humor looks to appeal to only his die-hard fans. Depp’s last film Transcendence managed just a $10.9 million opening for a big-budgeted, sci-fi release. Lionsgate may have to settle for $8 million from 2648 locations.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): AMSNP, JLOPE, BOYND, PADTN, WEDRN, STMGC, JDEPP, MRTDC

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 22, 2015 @ 04:16 PM 1723 views

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First Look spot for White Men Can't Jump starring Sinqua Walls and Jack Harlow, streaming May 19 on Hulu.…       Box Score: #KnockattheCabin with an estimated $14.2 million beat #80forBrady with $12.5 million to win the…       Predict who will win the #Oscar for Best Director with #HSX AwardOptions: -Martin McDonagh -Daniel Kwan, Daniel Sch…       Predict who will win the #Oscar for Adapted Screenplay with #HSX AwardOptions: #AllQuietontheWesternFront…       Predict who will win the #Oscar for Original Screenplay with #HSX AwardOptions: #TheBansheesofInsisherin…       80 For Brady debuted with an estimated $4.7M Friday at the weekend #boxoffice https://t.co/1VTtTzfwHh       Knock At The Cabin opened with an estimated $5.4M Friday at the weekend #boxoffice… https://t.co/g7nlPa1RU7       The Amazing Maurice opens wide today in 1700 theaters #TheAmazingMaurice https://t.co/2zViKg1RIw       Gladiator 2 gets November 22, 2024 release date #Gladiator2       First Trailer for My Happy Ending starring Andie MacDowell #MyHappyEnding https://t.co/HDf8svIFYq      
White Men Can't Jump (WMCJ) 1 2.32 (-6.97)         The Little Mermaid (TLMER) 1700 278.74 (+0.26)         Alec Baldwin (ABALD) 1 15.46 (+0.10)         Neve Campbell (NCAMP) 1 36.80 (0.00)         Assassin Club (ASCLB) 150000 11.30 (-0.10)         The Shrouds (SHRUD) 150000 3.10 (-0.01)         The Hill (THILL) 150000 8.32 (-0.12)         The Hill (THILL) 150000 8.32 (-0.12)         Scott Mescudi (SMESC) 1 6.07 (-0.10)         Lilo & Stitch (LILST) 150000 29.36 (-0.26)         Assassin Club (ASCLB) 150000 11.30 (-0.10)         Beau is Afraid (DBLVD) 150000 10.91 (-0.35)         The Shrouds (SHRUD) 150000 3.10 (-0.01)         Ghosted (GHSTD) 150000 1.00 (0.00)         Elizabeth (ELIZB) 150000 0.03 (-0.04)         Elizabeth (ELIZB) 150000 0.03 (-0.04)         Lamborghini (LAMBO) 150000 0.01 (-0.02)         Lamborghini (LAMBO) 150000 0.01 (-0.02)         Find Me (CMBY2) 150000 0.01 (-0.04)         Find Me (CMBY2) 150000 0.01 (-0.04)         Margaret Qualley (MQUAL) 1 32.40 (0.00)         David Thewlis (DTHEW) 25000 53.98 (-0.33)         David Thewlis (DTHEW) 25000 53.98 (-0.33)         Terry Gilliam (TGILL) 25000 8.73 (-0.05)         Terry Gilliam (TGILL) 25000 8.73 (-0.05)         Sarah Polley (SPOLL) 25000 5.06 (0.00)         Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 25000 71.78 (+0.51)         Rita Moreno (RMORE) 25000 51.05 (+1.17)         Shailene Woodley (SWOOD) 25000 41.94 (-0.17)         Guillermo Del Toro (GDELT) 25000 22.36 (0.00)         Guillermo Del Toro (GDELT) 25000 22.36 (0.00)         Ron Livingston (RLIVI) 25000 13.99 (+0.38)         Billy Porter (BPORT) 25000 10.60 (+0.39)         Jim Sturgess (JSTUR) 25000 8.17 (-0.05)         Stephanie Hsu - Everything Every (A3SSHS) 25000 3.13 (+0.01)         The Fabelmans - Original Screenp (A3OFAB) 25000 3.03 (-0.06)         Kerry Condon - The Banshees of I (A3SKCO) 25000 2.70 (0.00)         Magic Mike’s Last Dance H$15 P (MGCM3.PU) 25000 2.56 (0.00)         The Amazing Maurice (AMAUR) 149999 2.93 (-0.73)         White Men Can't Jump (WMCJ) 86206 2.32 (-6.97)         Little Dixie (LDIXI) 31665 0.34 (-0.49)         Untitled M. Night Shyamalan Proj (UMNSH) 116753 34.83 (-4.59)         Ghosted (GHSTD) 150000 1.00 (0.00)         The Portable Door (PORTD) 150000 1.06 (-0.01)         Poker Face (POKRF) 150000 0.04 (0.00)         Fast X aka Fast & Furious 10 (FASTX) 1000 165.49 (-0.33)         Tuesday (TUESD) 150000 0.37 (+0.03)         Roald Dahl’s Matilda The Music (RDMTM) 150000 0.06 (-0.01)         A Simple Favor 2 (ASFA2) 150000 24.96 (-0.04)         Balestra (BALES) 100000 0.28 (-0.02)