SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Super Bowl won't deflate American Sniper

Will the biggest sporting and television event in America finally stop the momentum of American Sniper [AMSNP]? Hollywood is providing little competition this weekend against the box office phenomenon due to the Super Bowl.  After tearing through the $200 million marker, American Sniper has the $300 million goalpost clearly in sight. Even with the Super Bowl cutting into business on Sunday, American Sniper could still hold around 60% of last weekend to remain in first with around $40 million.

Paramount targets teenagers with the PG-13 rated Project Almanac [ALMNC]. The time travelling, found-footage film was originally scheduled for release last year under the title Welcome to Yesterday. The new title clearly mimics Project X, Warner Bros.’ found footage party film which opened to $21.0 million in March 2012. Earlier that same year, Fox’s found-footage sci-fi film Chronicle debuted with $22.0 million over Super Bowl weekend. However, the found-footage concept is no longer fresh today. Clocking in at 2893 theaters, Project Almanac could bring home $14.0 million.

After its decent opening last week, The Boy Next Door [BOYND] is likely drop 55% to about $6.5 million.

Kevin Costner [KCOST] stars in the PG-13 rated racial drama Black or White [BLKWH], which has received favorable reviews on a sensitive subject matter. Relativity targets older adults, but most are likely to just wait for it to reach the small screen. Costner’s starpower has diminished as Draft Day managed only a $9.8 million opening last year. Opening in1823 theaters, Black or White may divvy up $5.5 million.

Open Road has dusted off The Loft [TLOFT] from the shelf where it was previously dropped by both Warner Bros. and Universal. The R-rated thriller premiered its trailer just last month, and had little marketing outside targeted ad buys on cable TV during the last week. The Loft may post $3 million from 1841 locations.

After a month of successful platform release, A24 expands A Most Violent Year [AMVYR] wide into 818 theaters. Although the R-rated drama had excellent reviews, it failed to garner any Oscar nominations. A Most Violent Year could tally $2 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AMSNP, ALMNC, BOYND, KCOST, BLKWH, TLOFT, AMVYR

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 29, 2015 @ 03:38 PM 2114 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 6.36 (+0.53)          The Drama H$15 Put (TDRAM.PU) 25000 1.52 (-0.48)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 100 160.42 (-0.25)          The Drama H$15 Call (TDRAM.CA) 25000 2.38 (+0.38)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 9.09 (-3.07)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 140000 5.29 (-1.17)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 9.09 (-3.07)          Patton Oswalt (POSWA) 486 69.70 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.PU) 25000 1.78 (-0.22)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.93 (+0.93)          Patrick Dempsey (PDEMP) 1 70.49 (+0.25)          Boiuna: Legend of the Amazon (BOUNA) 150000 19.38 (+0.07)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 140000 5.29 (-1.17)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 150000 21.11 (+0.06)          Patricia Clarkson (PCLAR) 4 1.69 (-0.02)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Balls Up (BALUP) 140000 9.09 (-3.07)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Balls Up (BALUP) 140000 9.09 (-3.07)          Patricia Arquette (PARQU) 3575 60.03 (+0.03)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Jessie Buckley (JSBUC) 25000 12.12 (-0.10)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 11.32 (+0.35)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 150000 164.60 (-0.01)          Parker Posey (PPOSE) 25000 8.33 (+0.05)          The Weight (THEWT) 40000 6.97 (+1.00)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 150000 123.37 (0.00)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 150000 128.63 (+0.66)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 95.29 (+0.72)          The Weight (THEWT) 10000 6.97 (+1.00)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 158.69 (+0.86)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 9.09 (-3.07)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 150000 5.29 (-1.17)          Sing 3 (SING3) 5000 52.28 (-0.39)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 6.97 (+1.00)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 140000 50.59 (+0.15)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 77.46 (+0.60)          Helldivers (HELDV) 140000 99.96 (+0.46)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 40000 14.11 (-0.15)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 100.42 (-2.73)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 77.46 (+0.60)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 100.42 (-2.73)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 146.04 (+1.04)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.93 (+0.93)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 25000 20.00 (0.00)          Sing 3 (SING3) 4999 52.28 (-0.39)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 1000 234.74 (-0.40)          Balls Up (BALUP) 20000 9.09 (-3.07)