SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Super Bowl won't deflate American Sniper

Will the biggest sporting and television event in America finally stop the momentum of American Sniper [AMSNP]? Hollywood is providing little competition this weekend against the box office phenomenon due to the Super Bowl.  After tearing through the $200 million marker, American Sniper has the $300 million goalpost clearly in sight. Even with the Super Bowl cutting into business on Sunday, American Sniper could still hold around 60% of last weekend to remain in first with around $40 million.

Paramount targets teenagers with the PG-13 rated Project Almanac [ALMNC]. The time travelling, found-footage film was originally scheduled for release last year under the title Welcome to Yesterday. The new title clearly mimics Project X, Warner Bros.’ found footage party film which opened to $21.0 million in March 2012. Earlier that same year, Fox’s found-footage sci-fi film Chronicle debuted with $22.0 million over Super Bowl weekend. However, the found-footage concept is no longer fresh today. Clocking in at 2893 theaters, Project Almanac could bring home $14.0 million.

After its decent opening last week, The Boy Next Door [BOYND] is likely drop 55% to about $6.5 million.

Kevin Costner [KCOST] stars in the PG-13 rated racial drama Black or White [BLKWH], which has received favorable reviews on a sensitive subject matter. Relativity targets older adults, but most are likely to just wait for it to reach the small screen. Costner’s starpower has diminished as Draft Day managed only a $9.8 million opening last year. Opening in1823 theaters, Black or White may divvy up $5.5 million.

Open Road has dusted off The Loft [TLOFT] from the shelf where it was previously dropped by both Warner Bros. and Universal. The R-rated thriller premiered its trailer just last month, and had little marketing outside targeted ad buys on cable TV during the last week. The Loft may post $3 million from 1841 locations.

After a month of successful platform release, A24 expands A Most Violent Year [AMVYR] wide into 818 theaters. Although the R-rated drama had excellent reviews, it failed to garner any Oscar nominations. A Most Violent Year could tally $2 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AMSNP, ALMNC, BOYND, KCOST, BLKWH, TLOFT, AMVYR

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 29, 2015 @ 03:38 PM 2041 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 100000 6.12 (-0.03)          Marty Supreme - Opening Weekend (MRTSU.OW) 100000 11.99 (+0.06)          Bullitt (BULIT) 40000 22.26 (-0.03)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 436.62 (-2.54)          The Christophers (CHRIS) 100000 9.19 (-0.05)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 100000 13.90 (-0.06)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 100000 13.88 (-0.06)          Maserati: The Brothers (MASER) 100000 6.12 (-0.05)          In the Grey (NGREY) 100000 14.75 (-0.06)          Shackleton (SHCKL) 100000 4.10 (-0.05)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 436.62 (-2.54)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 436.62 (-2.54)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 40000 10.43 (-0.05)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 100000 5.57 (-0.10)          Digger (DIGER) 3000 102.24 (+0.01)          Peaked (PEAKD) 100000 7.93 (-0.39)          Babies (BBIES) 100000 12.32 (-1.33)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 150000 5.82 (-0.05)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 5.67 (+0.03)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 1.67 (-0.26)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 4.78 (+0.34)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 110.01 (-1.73)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 110.01 (-1.73)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 54.01 (-0.20)          Star Trek (TREK4) 149999 33.33 (+0.09)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 9.69 (-0.07)          Idris Elba (IELBA) 25000 113.21 (0.00)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.36 (-0.64)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 149999 152.02 (+0.44)          Dust Bunny (DUSTB) 150000 2.64 (0.00)          Primate (PRIMT) 77777 19.60 (+0.04)          Idris Elba (IELBA) 25000 113.21 (0.00)          Song Sung Blue - Opening Weekend (SSBLU.OW) 100000 11.65 (-0.10)          Song Sung Blue - Opening Weekend (SSBLU.OW) 100000 11.65 (-0.10)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.36 (-0.64)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 4.78 (+0.34)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 7.77 (+0.06)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 20071 6.09 (+1.28)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 42.06 (-1.35)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 18.78 (+0.10)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 18.78 (+0.10)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.21 (+0.50)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.21 (+0.50)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.32 (-1.33)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 500 4.08 (+0.36)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 500 10.55 (+1.03)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 500 6.09 (+1.28)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 500 70.39 (-0.59)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 10000 54.01 (-0.20)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.36 (-0.64)