SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Super Bowl won't deflate American Sniper

Will the biggest sporting and television event in America finally stop the momentum of American Sniper [AMSNP]? Hollywood is providing little competition this weekend against the box office phenomenon due to the Super Bowl.  After tearing through the $200 million marker, American Sniper has the $300 million goalpost clearly in sight. Even with the Super Bowl cutting into business on Sunday, American Sniper could still hold around 60% of last weekend to remain in first with around $40 million.

Paramount targets teenagers with the PG-13 rated Project Almanac [ALMNC]. The time travelling, found-footage film was originally scheduled for release last year under the title Welcome to Yesterday. The new title clearly mimics Project X, Warner Bros.’ found footage party film which opened to $21.0 million in March 2012. Earlier that same year, Fox’s found-footage sci-fi film Chronicle debuted with $22.0 million over Super Bowl weekend. However, the found-footage concept is no longer fresh today. Clocking in at 2893 theaters, Project Almanac could bring home $14.0 million.

After its decent opening last week, The Boy Next Door [BOYND] is likely drop 55% to about $6.5 million.

Kevin Costner [KCOST] stars in the PG-13 rated racial drama Black or White [BLKWH], which has received favorable reviews on a sensitive subject matter. Relativity targets older adults, but most are likely to just wait for it to reach the small screen. Costner’s starpower has diminished as Draft Day managed only a $9.8 million opening last year. Opening in1823 theaters, Black or White may divvy up $5.5 million.

Open Road has dusted off The Loft [TLOFT] from the shelf where it was previously dropped by both Warner Bros. and Universal. The R-rated thriller premiered its trailer just last month, and had little marketing outside targeted ad buys on cable TV during the last week. The Loft may post $3 million from 1841 locations.

After a month of successful platform release, A24 expands A Most Violent Year [AMVYR] wide into 818 theaters. Although the R-rated drama had excellent reviews, it failed to garner any Oscar nominations. A Most Violent Year could tally $2 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AMSNP, ALMNC, BOYND, KCOST, BLKWH, TLOFT, AMVYR

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 29, 2015 @ 03:38 PM 2332 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Jason Statham (JSTAT) 25000 29.80 (+0.12)          Gillian Anderson (GANDE) 25000 23.75 (-0.12)          Emilia Jones (EJONE) 25000 17.35 (-0.10)          Ridley Scott (RSCOT) 25000 62.81 (+0.25)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 25000 5.40 (+0.05)          Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 25000 84.20 (-0.75)          Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 25000 84.20 (-0.75)          Antonio Banderas (ABAND) 25000 53.82 (-0.16)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 150000 22.27 (+0.17)          Resident Evil H$40 Put (RESE8.PU) 25000 1.20 (-0.02)          Resident Evil - Opening Weekend (RESE8.OW) 100000 46.45 (0.00)          Resident Evil H$40 Call (RESE8.CA) 25000 4.09 (+0.03)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 150000 4.43 (+0.26)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 31.51 (+0.19)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 150000 22.27 (+0.17)          Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 18.49 (+0.45)          Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 18.49 (+0.45)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 150000 27.62 (-0.70)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 150000 27.62 (-0.70)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 150000 24.95 (-0.40)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 150000 24.95 (-0.40)          Patrick Schwarzenegger (PSCHW) 25000 5.14 (+0.14)          Clay (CLAY) 1000 101.18 (-0.33)          Run Amok (RAMOK) 150000 0.94 (-0.06)          The Graveyard Book (GRVBK) 100000 0.19 (-0.01)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 51.47 (-0.15)          Steve Buscemi (SBUSC) 25000 35.79 (-0.12)          Patton Oswalt (POSWA) 25000 52.60 (0.00)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 101.18 (-0.33)          Oprah Winfrey (OWINF) 25000 50.71 (-0.01)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 150000 16.93 (+0.43)          Mason Thames (MTHAM) 25000 89.08 (0.00)