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Whisper Numbers: How much will Alice in Wonderland find down the rabbit hole?

After spending 3 months on Pandora, moviegoers finally get to feast their spectacled eyes on a new 3D film other than Avatar.   Tim Burton [TBURT] and Lewis Carroll seems such a perfect match that it’s surprising it’s taken this long for the director to put his spin on the classic Alice in Wonderland [ALCNW].   Top box office draw and quirky character maven Johnny Depp [JDEPP] stars as the Mad Hatter in the PG-rated fantasy film based on the book “Alice’s Adventures in Wonderland” as well as its sequel “Through the Looking Glass”.   The Disney machine couldn’t have asked for a better hook for their marketing campaign.  Anticipation and awareness for the film are so high that the opening is unlikely to suffer from the effects of mixed reviews.  Marching into 3728 theaters, Alice in Wonderland could discover around $76 million.

Despite poor exit polls from audiences, Shutter Island [SHISL] held up in its second weekend.  The older-skewing thriller should entice more moviegoers to solve its mystery for another $12 million.

Overture took over the release of the cop drama Brooklyn’s Finest [BRKLN] when its previous distributor Senator went bankrupt.   Without much marketing support, the R-rated film must rely on the recognition factor of its stellar cast, which includes Wesley Snipes [WSNIP] returning to the screen after a five-year absence due to tax problems.  Overture has had success opening similar hard-boiled fares in Law Abiding Citizen and Righteous Kill, though with much wider releases.  Playing in just 1936 theaters, Brooklyn’s Finest may debut with about $10 million

Cop Out [2COPS] did not distinguish itself from any other buddy cop movie.  The disposable action comedy is likely to lose half its opening weekend take and return $9 million in its sophomore session.

Overture already knew The Crazies [CRAZI] is likely to deteriorate quickly when they scheduled Brooklyn’s Finest to open during its second weekend.  The horror remake could scare up another $7 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): TBURT, ALCNW, JDEPP, SHISL, BRKLN, WSNIP, 2COPS, CRAZI

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 4, 2010 @ 04:21 PM 4122 views

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briony_matilda
Monday, March 8 at 20:49 PM Pacific
*Impressed Whistle*



Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 11828 249.28 (-0.20)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 14258 263.07 (+1.01)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 17564 401.95 (-0.71)          Five Nights at Freddy's 3 (5NAF3) 150000 78.08 (+0.78)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 120.67 (-2.16)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 44.82 (+1.19)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Put (FLWVS.PU) 25000 2.81 (+0.36)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Put (FLWVS.PU) 25000 2.81 (+0.36)          Idris Elba (IELBA) 25000 118.21 (-1.33)          Idris Elba (IELBA) 24999 118.21 (-1.33)          Edgar Wright (EWRIG) 1999 36.61 (-0.24)          Edgar Wright (EWRIG) 1999 36.61 (-0.24)          Strings aka Help (STRNS) 150000 10.40 (-0.16)          Strings aka Help (STRNS) 150000 10.40 (-0.16)          Sunny (SUNNY) 150000 17.71 (+0.14)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 150000 37.60 (-0.60)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 150000 37.60 (-0.60)          Hugh Grant (HGRAN) 25000 70.84 (+1.00)          Hugh Grant (HGRAN) 25000 70.84 (+1.00)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie H$20 (PAWP3.CA) 25000 1.18 (-0.16)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie H$20 (PAWP3.PU) 25000 2.96 (+0.22)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 1 142.83 (+0.18)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 149999 142.83 (+0.18)          Trust Me, I’m a Doctor (TMIAD) 1 2.94 (-0.36)          The Unknown (TUNKN) 1 1.72 (-0.28)          The Stunt Driver (STNTD) 1 1.80 (-0.20)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 8.92 (+0.35)          Coward (COWRD) 1 1.00 (0.00)          Atonement (ATONM) 1 2.00 (0.00)          Dennis (DENIS) 1 5.16 (-0.64)          Katy Perry: The Lifetime Tour - (KPTLT) 1 8.64 (+0.35)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 1 57.55 (+0.19)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 401.95 (-0.71)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 11.51 (+0.01)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 563.14 (+19.23)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 150000 13.30 (-1.90)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Call (FLWVS.CA) 25000 2.17 (-0.31)          The Entertainment System Is Down (TESID) 150000 9.55 (+0.01)          Shiver (SHVER) 141417 94.50 (0.00)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 34999 4.57 (+0.34)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 150000 61.47 (-0.06)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 100000 29.56 (-1.31)          Sadie Sink (SSINK) 25000 51.79 (+1.19)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 83467 160.28 (+0.07)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 34999 21.51 (+0.43)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 25000 125.78 (-0.06)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 4.07 (-0.97)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 14.42 (+0.26)          Atonement (ATONM) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 149999 14.42 (+0.26)