SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: How much will Alice in Wonderland find down the rabbit hole?

After spending 3 months on Pandora, moviegoers finally get to feast their spectacled eyes on a new 3D film other than Avatar.   Tim Burton [TBURT] and Lewis Carroll seems such a perfect match that it’s surprising it’s taken this long for the director to put his spin on the classic Alice in Wonderland [ALCNW].   Top box office draw and quirky character maven Johnny Depp [JDEPP] stars as the Mad Hatter in the PG-rated fantasy film based on the book “Alice’s Adventures in Wonderland” as well as its sequel “Through the Looking Glass”.   The Disney machine couldn’t have asked for a better hook for their marketing campaign.  Anticipation and awareness for the film are so high that the opening is unlikely to suffer from the effects of mixed reviews.  Marching into 3728 theaters, Alice in Wonderland could discover around $76 million.

Despite poor exit polls from audiences, Shutter Island [SHISL] held up in its second weekend.  The older-skewing thriller should entice more moviegoers to solve its mystery for another $12 million.

Overture took over the release of the cop drama Brooklyn’s Finest [BRKLN] when its previous distributor Senator went bankrupt.   Without much marketing support, the R-rated film must rely on the recognition factor of its stellar cast, which includes Wesley Snipes [WSNIP] returning to the screen after a five-year absence due to tax problems.  Overture has had success opening similar hard-boiled fares in Law Abiding Citizen and Righteous Kill, though with much wider releases.  Playing in just 1936 theaters, Brooklyn’s Finest may debut with about $10 million

Cop Out [2COPS] did not distinguish itself from any other buddy cop movie.  The disposable action comedy is likely to lose half its opening weekend take and return $9 million in its sophomore session.

Overture already knew The Crazies [CRAZI] is likely to deteriorate quickly when they scheduled Brooklyn’s Finest to open during its second weekend.  The horror remake could scare up another $7 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): TBURT, ALCNW, JDEPP, SHISL, BRKLN, WSNIP, 2COPS, CRAZI

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 4, 2010 @ 04:21 PM 3729 views

Recent Comments

briony_matilda
Monday, March 8 at 20:49 PM Pacific
*Impressed Whistle*



It Ends with Us (ITEND) 25000 57.22 (+1.21)          I’m Still Here (IMSHR) 149999 2.00 (0.00)          Three Bags Full: A Sheep Detecti (3BAGF) 1 31.40 (-1.57)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 1 13.12 (-0.64)          Scream 7 aka Scream VII (SCRM7) 150000 36.67 (+1.75)          Bagman (BAGMA) 5 14.64 (+6.32)          The Fire Inside aka Flint Strong (FLNTS) 5 9.09 (+2.20)          Bagman (BAGMA) 113954 14.64 (+6.32)          It Ends with Us (ITEND) 60000 57.22 (+1.21)          Maika Monroe (MMONR) 25000 10.69 (0.00)          Kill (KILL) 150000 2.32 (+0.01)          The Good Half (TGHLF) 150000 1.33 (-0.01)          National Anthem (NANTM) 150000 0.72 (-0.07)          Janet Planet (JNTPL) 150000 1.33 (-0.07)          The Inside Game (NSDGM) 8000 0.08 (0.00)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 150000 1.99 (0.00)          Kensuke's Kingdom (KENSK) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          I’m Still Here (IMSHR) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Eureka (EURKA) 150000 0.81 (-0.19)          Wildwood (WILDW) 1004 7.01 (+0.71)          Christmas Karma (CHKRM) 150000 7.44 (-0.56)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 4000 179.89 (-0.58)          The Inside Game (NSDGM) 8000 0.08 (0.00)          Bob the Builder (BOBTB) 10516 30.82 (+2.10)          Bette Midler (BMIDL) 25000 46.59 (+0.16)          Jennifer Garner (JEGAR) 25000 56.05 (-3.56)          It Ends with Us (ITEND) 50000 57.22 (+1.21)          Jennifer Garner (JEGAR) 25000 56.05 (-3.56)          It Ends with Us (ITEND) 30000 57.22 (+1.21)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 20000 68.31 (+1.06)          The Inside Game (NSDGM) 6000 0.08 (0.00)          Jon Favreau (JFAVR) 25000 243.15 (+1.36)          Scream 7 aka Scream VII (SCRM7) 25000 36.67 (+1.75)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 9000 66.47 (+1.51)          Motor City (MTRCT) 34008 15.28 (-0.80)          It Ends With Us H$25 Put (ITEND.PU) 25000 2.26 (+0.03)          My Hero Academia the Movie: You' (MHAYN) 150000 7.65 (+0.43)          Wildwood (WILDW) 50000 7.01 (+0.71)          Wildwood (WILDW) 50000 7.01 (+0.71)          I’m Still Here (IMSHR) 149997 2.00 (0.00)          Scream 7 aka Scream VII (SCRM7) 50000 36.67 (+1.75)          The Fire Inside aka Flint Strong (FLNTS) 24999 9.09 (+2.20)          Scream 7 aka Scream VII (SCRM7) 50000 36.67 (+1.75)          Mercy (MRCY1) 150000 51.54 (-2.04)          Bagman (BAGMA) 150000 14.64 (+6.32)          It Ends With Us H$25 Put (ITEND.PU) 25000 2.26 (+0.03)          I’m Still Here (IMSHR) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Kensuke's Kingdom (KENSK) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Fire Inside aka Flint Strong (FLNTS) 24999 9.09 (+2.20)          It Ends With Us H$25 Call (ITEND.CA) 25000 2.64 (+0.09)