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Whisper Numbers: How much will Alice in Wonderland find down the rabbit hole?

After spending 3 months on Pandora, moviegoers finally get to feast their spectacled eyes on a new 3D film other than Avatar.   Tim Burton [TBURT] and Lewis Carroll seems such a perfect match that it’s surprising it’s taken this long for the director to put his spin on the classic Alice in Wonderland [ALCNW].   Top box office draw and quirky character maven Johnny Depp [JDEPP] stars as the Mad Hatter in the PG-rated fantasy film based on the book “Alice’s Adventures in Wonderland” as well as its sequel “Through the Looking Glass”.   The Disney machine couldn’t have asked for a better hook for their marketing campaign.  Anticipation and awareness for the film are so high that the opening is unlikely to suffer from the effects of mixed reviews.  Marching into 3728 theaters, Alice in Wonderland could discover around $76 million.

Despite poor exit polls from audiences, Shutter Island [SHISL] held up in its second weekend.  The older-skewing thriller should entice more moviegoers to solve its mystery for another $12 million.

Overture took over the release of the cop drama Brooklyn’s Finest [BRKLN] when its previous distributor Senator went bankrupt.   Without much marketing support, the R-rated film must rely on the recognition factor of its stellar cast, which includes Wesley Snipes [WSNIP] returning to the screen after a five-year absence due to tax problems.  Overture has had success opening similar hard-boiled fares in Law Abiding Citizen and Righteous Kill, though with much wider releases.  Playing in just 1936 theaters, Brooklyn’s Finest may debut with about $10 million

Cop Out [2COPS] did not distinguish itself from any other buddy cop movie.  The disposable action comedy is likely to lose half its opening weekend take and return $9 million in its sophomore session.

Overture already knew The Crazies [CRAZI] is likely to deteriorate quickly when they scheduled Brooklyn’s Finest to open during its second weekend.  The horror remake could scare up another $7 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): TBURT, ALCNW, JDEPP, SHISL, BRKLN, WSNIP, 2COPS, CRAZI

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 4, 2010 @ 04:21 PM 3703 views

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briony_matilda
Monday, March 8 at 20:49 PM Pacific
*Impressed Whistle*



Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 9 11.02 (-1.53)          Dan Stevens (DSTEV) 25000 42.41 (-0.16)          The Return (TRETU) 9 3.36 (-0.34)          Anora (ANORA) 149999 3.56 (-0.24)          Touch (TOUC) 150000 0.68 (-0.21)          Despicable Me 4 (DESM4) 13425 229.01 (+0.04)          Jerry Lee Lewis: Trouble in Mind (JLLTM) 70000 0.01 (0.00)          Maria (MARIA) 9 14.01 (+0.78)          Mark Wahlberg (MWAHL) 10000 51.81 (+0.27)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 10000 11.02 (-1.53)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 150000 52.32 (+0.71)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 149675 13.52 (-0.02)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 146572 21.48 (-0.06)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 25000 53.10 (+0.83)          Clue (CLUE) 20000 17.10 (+1.13)          Mark Wahlberg (MWAHL) 24500 51.81 (+0.27)          Trap House (TRAPH) 10000 22.22 (+1.37)          Trap House (TRAPH) 99999 22.22 (+1.37)          Trap House (TRAPH) 99999 22.22 (+1.37)          Daddio (DADIO) 1 3.01 (-0.02)          Touch (TOUC) 1 0.68 (-0.21)          Touch (TOUC) 100000 0.68 (-0.21)          Dev Patel (DPATE) 25000 10.60 (-0.10)          Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 25000 23.47 (-0.25)          The Return (TRETU) 149998 3.36 (-0.34)          The Return (TRETU) 150000 3.36 (-0.34)          With Love (WOLOV) 149998 28.57 (+0.48)          Between the Temples (BTMPL) 149999 1.51 (-0.16)          Dune: Part Two $235M Blockbuster (DUNE2.BW) 1000 19.25 (+0.14)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 149996 53.10 (+0.83)          Speak No Evil (SPNOE) 2 40.16 (-0.55)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 11.02 (-1.53)          The Return (TRETU) 30 3.36 (-0.34)          Touch (TOUC) 149998 0.68 (-0.21)          Touch (TOUC) 149996 0.68 (-0.21)          Trap House (TRAPH) 149998 22.22 (+1.37)          Trap House (TRAPH) 149996 22.22 (+1.37)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 22000 20.49 (+0.04)          Rental Family (RNTLF) 20000 11.83 (0.00)          The Watchers (WATCS) 149996 37.07 (+0.05)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 30000 11.43 (+0.03)          MaXXXine (XTW3) 25000 10.06 (-0.01)          Simu Liu (SLIU) 443 163.18 (+0.50)          MaXXXine (XTW3) 150000 10.06 (-0.01)          The Exorcist: Deceiver (TEXO2) 150000 27.79 (-0.10)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 14999 28.09 (+0.06)          Rachel Zegler (RZEGL) 3469 75.78 (-0.03)          Maria (MARIA) 36000 14.01 (+0.78)          Touch (TOUC) 150000 0.68 (-0.21)          Playdate (PLYDT) 24999 16.46 (+0.06)