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Whisper Numbers: How much will Alice in Wonderland find down the rabbit hole?

After spending 3 months on Pandora, moviegoers finally get to feast their spectacled eyes on a new 3D film other than Avatar.   Tim Burton [TBURT] and Lewis Carroll seems such a perfect match that it’s surprising it’s taken this long for the director to put his spin on the classic Alice in Wonderland [ALCNW].   Top box office draw and quirky character maven Johnny Depp [JDEPP] stars as the Mad Hatter in the PG-rated fantasy film based on the book “Alice’s Adventures in Wonderland” as well as its sequel “Through the Looking Glass”.   The Disney machine couldn’t have asked for a better hook for their marketing campaign.  Anticipation and awareness for the film are so high that the opening is unlikely to suffer from the effects of mixed reviews.  Marching into 3728 theaters, Alice in Wonderland could discover around $76 million.

Despite poor exit polls from audiences, Shutter Island [SHISL] held up in its second weekend.  The older-skewing thriller should entice more moviegoers to solve its mystery for another $12 million.

Overture took over the release of the cop drama Brooklyn’s Finest [BRKLN] when its previous distributor Senator went bankrupt.   Without much marketing support, the R-rated film must rely on the recognition factor of its stellar cast, which includes Wesley Snipes [WSNIP] returning to the screen after a five-year absence due to tax problems.  Overture has had success opening similar hard-boiled fares in Law Abiding Citizen and Righteous Kill, though with much wider releases.  Playing in just 1936 theaters, Brooklyn’s Finest may debut with about $10 million

Cop Out [2COPS] did not distinguish itself from any other buddy cop movie.  The disposable action comedy is likely to lose half its opening weekend take and return $9 million in its sophomore session.

Overture already knew The Crazies [CRAZI] is likely to deteriorate quickly when they scheduled Brooklyn’s Finest to open during its second weekend.  The horror remake could scare up another $7 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): TBURT, ALCNW, JDEPP, SHISL, BRKLN, WSNIP, 2COPS, CRAZI

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 4, 2010 @ 04:21 PM 4237 views

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briony_matilda
Monday, March 8 at 20:49 PM Pacific
*Impressed Whistle*



Iman Vellani (IVELL) 25000 32.88 (-0.13)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 17.64 (-0.45)          Sebastian Stan (SSTAN) 25000 42.64 (+0.16)          The Kids Fund (KIDS) 20000 23.45 (+0.11)          Owen Wilson (OWILS) 25000 18.79 (+0.52)          Lewis Pullman (LPULL) 25000 50.68 (+0.33)          Nasty (NASTY) 149999 14.27 (+1.85)          Ian McKellen (IMCKE) 25000 17.10 (+0.30)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 25000 25.41 (+0.14)          Godzilla Minus Zero - Opening We (GODM2.OW) 100000 37.95 (-0.82)          White Lies (WHTLI) 50000 11.83 (+0.04)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 150000 82.39 (-0.30)          Channing Tatum (CTATU) 25000 59.88 (+0.36)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 48959 25.41 (+0.14)          Benedict Cumberbatch (BCUMB) 25000 67.04 (+0.75)          Anthony Mackie (AMACK) 25000 55.54 (+0.36)          Alan Cumming (ACUMM) 25000 63.79 (+0.55)          Painter (PANTR) 80000 4.62 (0.00)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 20000 578.59 (+0.35)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 20000 578.59 (+0.35)          La Bola Negra (LBNEG) 50000 3.59 (+0.03)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 9000 698.69 (-0.70)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 1000 698.69 (-0.70)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 5000 15.00 (0.00)          Days of Thunder 2 (DTHU2) 184 123.65 (+0.17)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 9000 207.65 (+0.54)          Turpentine (TURPN) 30334 5.63 (-0.37)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 1000 207.65 (+0.54)          Goblin (GBLIN) 150000 22.48 (+1.33)          Dear You (DEARU) 150000 1.17 (-0.05)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 571 50.91 (+0.82)          Turpentine (TURPN) 2461 5.63 (-0.37)          Alan Ritchson (ARITC) 1000 46.74 (+0.02)          Alan Ritchson (ARITC) 2000 46.74 (+0.02)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 17.50 (+2.77)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 25000 5.17 (+1.49)          Jungle Cruise 2 (JUNG2) 50000 11.64 (-0.06)          Resident Evil $140M Blockbuster (RESE8.BW) 25000 12.70 (-0.10)          Ebenezer H$35 Put (EBNZR.PU) 300 2.32 (+0.32)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 150000 10.06 (+0.76)          How to Rob a Bank - Opening Week (HTRAB.OW) 3000 15.44 (+0.44)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 150000 5.17 (+1.49)          The Cat in the Hat H$40 Call (TCATH.CA) 300 1.31 (+0.02)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 46.74 (-0.70)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 150000 3.66 (+0.02)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 5000 15.00 (0.00)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 1 62.03 (+0.30)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 1000 15.00 (0.00)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 1000 62.03 (+0.30)