SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Numbers: Spider-Man to remain far above competition

Only two new films are brave enough to open between Spider-Man: Far From Home [SPID7] and The Lion King next week. Neither will put a dent in Spider-Man. Because Far From Home opened during the middle of the week, its Friday box office wasn’t inflated by Thursday previews. The sequel is likely to hold better than 50%, as shown by 2012’s The Amazing Spider-Man, which opened on a Wednesday and declined 44% in its second frame. Spider-Man: Far From Home could capture around $50 million.

Toy Story 4 [TOYS4] has proved to have strong leg for a fourth film and looks to rake in another $24 million for its fourth weekend.

Third place looks to be a toss-up between the two new releases. Paramount targets horror fans with the R-rated Crawl [CRAWL]. The alligator film could surprise much like the shark film 47 Meters Down. Stalking 3170 theaters, Crawl may bite off $13.5 million.

Fox pairs up Dave Bautista [DBAUT] and Kumail Nanjani [KNANJ] in the R-rated action comedy Stuber [STUBR]. The marketing has largely been effective in conveying a funny movie, though reviews have been poor. Stuber could hail $13 million from 3050 theaters.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.




Tag(s): SPID7, TOYS4, CRAWL, DBAUT, KNANJ, STUBR

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 11, 2019 @ 04:35 PM 1374 views

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Thunderbolts* (TBOLT) 20000 184.34 (-0.86)          Karate Kid: Legends (KKID2) 2500 112.38 (-1.78)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 30.95 (+0.20)          Untitled Walt Disney Animation S (UWDAS) 150000 87.52 (+1.06)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 15000 43.28 (-4.80)          Christian Bale (CBALE) 25000 102.18 (+0.66)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.57 (-0.09)          Karate Kid: Legends H$45 Put (KKID2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Bring Her Back H$10 Put (BRNHB.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Scarlet (SCRLT) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Scarlet (SCRLT) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 16830 6.59 (-0.05)          Final Destination Bloodlines H$3 (FDES6.CA) 25000 5.80 (+0.53)          Final Destination Bloodlines H$3 (FDES6.PU) 25000 0.18 (-0.25)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 150000 43.28 (-4.80)          Final Destination Bloodlines H$3 (FDES6.PU) 25000 0.18 (-0.25)          Creed IV (CREE4) 20129 47.06 (+4.19)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 150000 43.28 (-4.80)          Sinners $215M Blockbuster Warran (SINER.BW) 25000 8.19 (+0.52)          Final Destination Bloodlines - O (FDES6.OW) 100000 39.10 (+1.55)          Hurry Up Tomorrow (HUTMR) 82390 10.39 (-1.21)          Final Destination Bloodlines - O (FDES6.OW) 100000 39.10 (+1.55)          Kate Mara (KMARA) 19576 36.37 (-0.62)          Superman (SUPRM) 150000 246.27 (+1.19)          Final Destination Bloodlines H$3 (FDES6.CA) 25000 5.80 (+0.53)          Creed IV (CREE4) 1000 47.06 (+4.19)          Rich Flu (RCFLU) 150000 0.58 (+0.02)          Until Dawn (UDAWN) 25000 19.97 (+0.04)          Creed IV (CREE4) 8000 47.06 (+4.19)          Karate Kid: Legends H$45 Put (KKID2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Karate Kid: Legends H$45 Call (KKID2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Bring Her Back H$10 Call (BRNHB.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Karate Kid: Legends - Opening We (KKID2.OW) 100000 45.00 (0.00)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 50000 6.16 (-0.04)          Bring Her Back H$10 Put (BRNHB.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Bring Her Back - Opening Weekend (BRNHB.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Bring Her Back H$10 Call (BRNHB.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Bring Her Back H$10 Put (BRNHB.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Bring Her Back - Opening Weekend (BRNHB.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 50000 6.16 (-0.04)          Lily Gladstone (LGLAD) 25000 13.19 (-0.87)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 10000 6.16 (-0.04)          Lily Gladstone (LGLAD) 25000 13.19 (-0.87)          Karate Kid: Legends H$45 Put (KKID2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Clayface (CLAYF) 1000 58.32 (+0.03)          Werwulf (WERWU) 1000 62.69 (+0.10)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 1000 77.90 (-0.33)          Untitled Walt Disney Animation S (UWDAS) 1000 87.52 (+1.06)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 1000 88.32 (-0.12)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 1000 89.54 (-0.33)