SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Numbers: Schmucks, Cats and Dogs hope to supplant Inception.

Three new films aimed at different demographics join the weekend box office this weekend.  However, none look to have an audience broad enough to topple two-time reigning champion Inception [INCPT].  The dreamy thriller has enjoyed the best word of mouth of the summer.  Inception should decay around 35% to $27 million with a strong chance to three-peat at the top.

Paramount’s Dinner for Schmucks [SHMUC] looks to have the best opening amongst the new contenders. Steve Carell [SCARE], Paul Rudd [PRUDD] and Zack Galifinakis [ZGALI] star in the broad comedy about a contest to see who can bring the biggest idiot to a party.  Marketing on the PG-13 rated film has been uneven, though the reviews have been mostly positive.  Without a comedy since Grown Ups a month ago, audience looking for a laugh could attend Dinner for Schmucks and post $25 million from 2911 locations.

Angelina Jolie [AJOLI] proved bankable as a female spy on the run in Salt [ESALT].  The well-made thriller could crack another $20 million in its second weekend.

Cats and Dogs: The Revenge of Kitty Galore [CTND2] arrives nine years after the original Cats and Dogs.  The target audience who enjoyed the first film is now too old to want to see the sequel, so Warner Bros. will need to entice a new set of youngsters and their parents to shell out for another 3D family outing this summer.  Opening in 3705 theaters, Cats and Dogs could rain down around $17 million.

Zac Efron [ZEFRO] gets serious as he carries a drama Charlie St. Cloud [DLCSC] on his own.  The appeal of the PG-13 rated romance seems limited to females, teens and young women.  Charlie St. Cloud could atone for about $14 million from 2720 theaters.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): INCPT, SHMUC, SCARE, PRUDD, ZGALI, AJOLI, ESALT, CTND2, ZEFRO, DLCSC

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 29, 2010 @ 04:02 PM 3336 views

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The Catch (TCATC) 150000 51.17 (+1.17)          Timothee Chalamet (TCHAL) 1200 135.21 (+0.02)          The Masque Of The Red Death (MOTRD) 10000 17.71 (+0.01)          Motor City (MTRCT) 149999 7.84 (+0.03)          Timothee Chalamet (TCHAL) 300 135.21 (+0.02)          Motor City (MTRCT) 149999 7.84 (+0.03)          Them (THEM) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 149999 7.23 (-0.14)          The Last Photograph (LPHOT) 150000 1.58 (-0.06)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 51.17 (+1.17)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 149999 7.23 (-0.14)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 149999 2.96 (+0.04)          The Masque Of The Red Death (MOTRD) 30000 17.71 (+0.01)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 51.17 (+1.17)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 149999 2.96 (+0.04)          Ethan Coen (COEN) 1000 48.63 (0.00)          Christine (CRSTN) 40000 13.87 (-0.09)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 15.90 (-0.07)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 11.70 (-1.33)          Two Pianos (2PINO) 1 0.29 (-0.02)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 10000 33.93 (-0.10)          Omaha (OMAHA) 1 0.09 (+0.05)          Death of a Salesman (DOASM) 1 8.53 (-0.05)          Death of a Salesman (DOASM) 1 8.53 (-0.05)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 206.28 (-10.68)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 206.28 (-10.68)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 10000 33.93 (-0.10)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 50000 90.31 (+0.93)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 150000 74.01 (-0.02)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 1 2.17 (+0.27)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 51.17 (+1.17)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 206.28 (-10.68)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 149999 206.28 (-10.68)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 1 1.44 (+0.04)          The Napa Boys (NAPAB) 1000 0.07 (+0.02)          The Napa Boys (NAPAB) 10000 0.07 (+0.02)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 15.76 (-0.88)          Hokum (HOKUM) 149999 15.76 (-0.88)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 150000 4.48 (+0.05)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 149999 4.48 (+0.05)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 7.89 (+0.10)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 11.70 (-1.33)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 149999 7.89 (+0.10)          Joaquin Phoenix (JPHOE) 500 32.43 (0.00)          The Napa Boys (NAPAB) 150000 0.07 (+0.02)          The Napa Boys (NAPAB) 150000 0.07 (+0.02)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 1000 206.28 (-10.68)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 228.39 (+0.06)          Christian Bale (CBALE) 500 87.47 (+0.25)          Bando Stone & The New World (BSTNW) 149999 0.04 (+0.03)