SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Secretariat and Life As We Know It go down to the wire.

Two of Hollywood’s mainstay storylines match up this weekend at the box office: the high-concept romantic comedy Life As We Know It [LAWKI] against the inspirational sports drama Secretariat [SCTRT].   Katherine Heigl [KHEIG] and Josh Duhamel [JDUHA] are the main draw for the Warner Bros. film about two people who hate each other, but end up together to raise their dead friends’ baby under one roof.  The PG-13 rated film looks to have the highest appeal among teenagers and the date crowd.  Despite its clunky title, Life As We Know It should win a close race with about $15 million from 3150 theaters.

Disney has had success with underdog sports stories like Miracle and The Rookie.  Triple Crown winning thoroughbred Secretariat had a female owner, played by Diane Lane [DLANE], who went up against the male-dominated racing establishment. Disney’s marketing campaign has mainly focused on the owner, rather than on the horse and the racing sport.  As a result, the PG-rated film may have limited its appeal to just older women.  Starting off in 3052 theaters, Secretariat may settle for the show spot at $14 million. 

Not as many moviegoers join The Social Network [SOCIL] as had been expect during its first weekend.  However, The Social Network should grow from its excellent word of mouth and add around $13 million.

My Soul to Take [MYSOL] is the latest horror film jumping on the 3D gimmick.  Although the R-rated film is directed by Wes Craven [WCRAV], the generic story does not offer anything new to the genre. My Soul to Take could scare up $10 million from 2572 locations.

Rather than go with a limited expansion strategy, Focus Features believes the comedy It’s Kind of a Funny Story [KNDFS] is strong enough to open wide on 742 screens. Zach Galifianakis [ZGALI] tests his starpower and could draw about $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): LAWKI, SCTRT, KHEIG, JDUHA, DLANE, SOCIL, MYSOL, WCRAV, KNDFS, ZGALI

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 7, 2010 @ 04:51 PM 8564 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


twitter

@HSXMOVIES on Twitter



  • Weekend #Boxoffice Actuals: 1. #JohnWick4 $73.82M 2. #ShazamFuryOfTheGods $9.34M 3. #ScreamVI $8.33M… https://t.co/gnoCPKvH7B
  • Teaser trailer and July 7th release date for #Biosphere starring Sterling K. Brown and Mark Duplass… https://t.co/iFd2YJG2uf
  • Killers of the Flower Moon will open limited on October 6 before expanding wide on October 20… https://t.co/i0HlQrf11Y
  • Liv Tyler to return as Betty Ross in Captain America: New World Order https://t.co/oPmYd5icWt
  • Adrien Brody, Felicity Jones, and Guy Pearce to star in The Brutalist https://t.co/djlm4S9RqH #TheBrutalist



Follow HSX on Twitter!


Weekend #Boxoffice Actuals: 1. #JohnWick4 $73.82M 2. #ShazamFuryOfTheGods $9.34M 3. #ScreamVI $8.33M…       Teaser trailer and July 7th release date for #Biosphere starring Sterling K. Brown and Mark Duplass…       Killers of the Flower Moon will open limited on October 6 before expanding wide on October 20…       Liv Tyler to return as Betty Ross in Captain America: New World Order       Adrien Brody, Felicity Jones, and Guy Pearce to star in The Brutalist #TheBrutalist       The Lost King debuted with an estimated $575K at the weekend #boxoffice #TheLostKing https://t.co/1Ub5yN2Odq       Box Score: John Wick: Chapter 4 shot up a franchise high estimate of $73.525M at the weekend #boxoffice…       The Lost King uncovered an estimated $170K from 753 theaters Friday at the #boxoffice… https://t.co/ainFRPiVuz       A Good Person earned an estimated $275K from 530 theaters Friday at the #boxoffice… https://t.co/YURxMv2rPE       John Wick: Chapter 4 loaded up with an estimated $29.4M Friday at the weekend #boxoffice… https://t.co/Mk4KlpBU7M      
The Princess Diaries 3 (PDIA3) 100 15.91 (+0.38)         The Flash (FLASH) 50 194.96 (-0.16)         Dear Santa (DSATA) 60291 29.01 (+1.49)         Dear Santa (DSATA) 150000 29.01 (+1.49)         Shazam! Fury of the Gods (SHAZ2) 150000 65.76 (+0.60)         Shazam! Fury of the Gods (SHAZ2) 12345 65.76 (+0.60)         John Wick: Chapter 4 (WICK4) 100000 170.43 (+0.35)         Dear Santa (DSATA) 10000 29.01 (+1.49)         Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 25000 15.37 (-0.03)         The Princess Diaries 3 (PDIA3) 150000 15.91 (+0.38)         The Princess Diaries 3 (PDIA3) 150000 15.91 (+0.38)         Ordinary Angels (ORDNA) 150000 17.92 (+0.89)         Little Richard: I Am Everything (LRIAE) 150000 1.68 (-0.04)         Little Richard: I Am Everything (LRIAE) 150000 1.68 (-0.04)         Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among (DNDGN) 40000 86.61 (+1.11)         Carmen (CARME) 1 2.32 (0.00)         Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among (DNDGN) 150000 86.61 (+1.11)         You Hurt My Feelings (BETHD) 4 7.56 (-0.01)         Dear Santa (DSATA) 150000 29.01 (+1.49)         Bradley Cooper (BCOOP) 25000 128.55 (0.00)         Ben Affleck (BAFFL) 25000 56.85 (-0.33)         Ben Affleck (BAFFL) 25000 56.85 (-0.33)         Ashley Park (ASPAR) 25000 11.68 (+0.10)         Untitled AFFIRM Holiday Musical (NTVTY) 150000 24.81 (+0.06)         About My Father (ABMFT) 5000 20.17 (-0.02)         Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumani (ANTM3.BW) 25000 11.26 (+0.14)         I Used to be Funny (IUTBF) 150000 1.36 (-0.01)         Untitled Trey Edward Shults Proj (UTESP) 150000 17.72 (+0.04)         How to Train Your Dragon (HTTYD) 150000 99.41 (-0.01)         Dandelion (DNDLN) 150000 1.46 (+0.03)         Creed III $145M Blockbuster Warr (CREE3.BW) 25000 7.55 (+0.16)         Constantine 2 (CNST2) 2000 60.57 (-0.47)         Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Ve (ASPD2) 2 183.36 (-0.16)         Bambi (BAMBI) 5000 31.50 (-0.01)         Flight of the Navigator (FNAVG) 150000 0.19 (+0.02)         Dear Santa (DSATA) 150000 29.01 (+1.49)         John Wick: Chapter 4 (WICK4) 20 170.43 (+0.35)         Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom (AQUM2) 4 197.64 (-0.17)         Merlin (MERLN) 150000 4.33 (+0.01)         Four Quartets (4QURT) 2 0.37 (-0.01)         Four Quartets (4QURT) 2 0.37 (-0.01)         Wind River: The Next Chapter (WNRV2) 100 16.54 (+0.78)         Constantine 2 (CNST2) 150000 60.57 (-0.47)         Bottoms (BOTOM) 1234 3.71 (+0.02)         65 (65) 12345 30.56 (+0.04)         Borderlands (BRDLN) 800 37.44 (+0.04)         Shazam! Fury of the Gods (SHAZ2) 150000 65.76 (+0.60)         Science-Fiction Fund (SCIFI) 317 43.73 (+0.20)         Dear Santa (DSATA) 61027 29.01 (+1.49)         Dear Santa (DSATA) 44006 29.01 (+1.49)