SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Secretariat and Life As We Know It go down to the wire.

Two of Hollywood’s mainstay storylines match up this weekend at the box office: the high-concept romantic comedy Life As We Know It [LAWKI] against the inspirational sports drama Secretariat [SCTRT].   Katherine Heigl [KHEIG] and Josh Duhamel [JDUHA] are the main draw for the Warner Bros. film about two people who hate each other, but end up together to raise their dead friends’ baby under one roof.  The PG-13 rated film looks to have the highest appeal among teenagers and the date crowd.  Despite its clunky title, Life As We Know It should win a close race with about $15 million from 3150 theaters.

Disney has had success with underdog sports stories like Miracle and The Rookie.  Triple Crown winning thoroughbred Secretariat had a female owner, played by Diane Lane [DLANE], who went up against the male-dominated racing establishment. Disney’s marketing campaign has mainly focused on the owner, rather than on the horse and the racing sport.  As a result, the PG-rated film may have limited its appeal to just older women.  Starting off in 3052 theaters, Secretariat may settle for the show spot at $14 million. 

Not as many moviegoers join The Social Network [SOCIL] as had been expect during its first weekend.  However, The Social Network should grow from its excellent word of mouth and add around $13 million.

My Soul to Take [MYSOL] is the latest horror film jumping on the 3D gimmick.  Although the R-rated film is directed by Wes Craven [WCRAV], the generic story does not offer anything new to the genre. My Soul to Take could scare up $10 million from 2572 locations.

Rather than go with a limited expansion strategy, Focus Features believes the comedy It’s Kind of a Funny Story [KNDFS] is strong enough to open wide on 742 screens. Zach Galifianakis [ZGALI] tests his starpower and could draw about $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): LAWKI, SCTRT, KHEIG, JDUHA, DLANE, SOCIL, MYSOL, WCRAV, KNDFS, ZGALI

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 7, 2010 @ 04:51 PM 8956 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Shameik Moore (SMOOR) 25000 91.79 (-1.10)          Hey Joe (TUMIA) 150000 0.15 (+0.14)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 6.98 (+1.01)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 75000 5.22 (+0.21)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 75000 5.30 (+0.11)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 6.33 (+0.50)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 149999 20.00 (0.00)          Varanasi (VARAN) 149999 11.44 (+0.47)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 149999 10.05 (+0.20)          Michael (MJACK) 240 183.59 (-0.06)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 400 208.80 (+0.73)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 140000 2.00 (0.00)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 80000 20.00 (0.00)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 6.98 (+1.01)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 4500 3.75 (+0.27)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 150000 12.85 (-0.56)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 149999 5.74 (-0.06)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 100 495.05 (-0.51)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 149999 5.74 (-0.06)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 200 495.05 (-0.51)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 11.44 (+0.47)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 150000 5.21 (-1.25)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 110827 304.39 (+1.00)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 1929 262.17 (+1.50)          Danielle Brooks (DBROO) 25000 104.12 (+1.02)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 24500 21.04 (-0.15)          Mckenna Grace (MCGRA) 25000 78.81 (+0.25)          Richard Ayoade (RAYOA) 25000 32.78 (+1.16)          Jack Dylan Grazer (JDGRA) 24900 54.42 (-0.33)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Joel McHale (JMCHA) 25000 26.51 (+0.12)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 17703 262.17 (+1.50)          Kurt Russell (KRUSS) 25000 155.79 (-0.50)          Andy Samberg (ASAMB) 25000 91.59 (-0.25)          Chris Columbus (CCOLU) 25000 88.48 (-0.25)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 150000 5.21 (-1.25)          Willem Dafoe (WDAFO) 24999 63.80 (+0.49)          Paul Walter Hauser (PWHAU) 25000 114.98 (-1.00)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 15000 20.00 (0.00)          Benedict Cumberbatch (BCUMB) 25000 53.39 (+0.03)          Olga Kurylenko (OKURY) 24999 64.82 (+0.01)          Nick Offerman (NOFFE) 24999 52.38 (-1.16)          Sterling K. Brown (SKBRO) 25000 55.27 (-0.16)          Danielle Brooks (DBROO) 25000 104.12 (+1.02)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 29000 100.41 (-2.74)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 300 209.03 (+1.20)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 50150 41.18 (+0.47)