SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Numbers: Cars 2 races for more money.

Although 2006’s Cars is generally considered one of Pixar’s lesser films, that didn’t stop Disney from producing the sequel Cars 2 [CARS2]. Cars is Disney’s most lucrative brand generating billions annually in merchandising. To keep that gravy train rolling, Lightning and Mater return for a new adventure that takes them around the world in a spy caper. Cars 2 is getting the worst reviews of any Pixar films, but that’s not gonna matter to boys who play with the toys. Though the G-rated film may not appeal to teens as well as adults who frequented previous Pixar offerings. Toy Story 3’s $110 million opening last year is out of reach, but the sequel should improve on Cars’ $60 million debut.   Cars 2 should appeal to enough families to drive away with $72 million from 4115 locations.

Sony hopes its R-rated comedy Bad Teacher [BDTCH] follows in the success of this summer’s Bridesmaids and The Hangover Part II. The cast of Cameron Diaz [CDIAZ], Jason Segel [JSEGE] and Justin Timberlake [JTIMB] are all likeable and each brings fans of their own. The trailers and TV spots have been funny, which should bring out moviegoers looking for a laugh. Opening in 3049 theaters, Bad Teacher could earn $24 million.

Green Lantern [GLANT] did not shine as bright as Warner Bros. hoped in its debut. With its opening weekend already frontloaded to Friday, the superhero film is not crossing over to a broader audience. Green Lantern looks to drop more than 55% to about $22 million.

The sci-fi film Super 8 [SUPR8] should be in line for another 60% hold this weekend, which would net another $13 million.

With competition for the family audience from Cars 2, Mr. Popper’s Penguins [POPNG] is likely to drop 50% to around $9 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): CARS2, BDTCH, CDIAZ, JSEGE, JTIMB, GLANT, SUPR8, POPNG

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, June 23, 2011 @ 03:54 PM 6461 views

Recent Comments

ITGeek
Thursday, June 23 at 19:44 PM Pacific
it isn't often that i disagree with you and I have never posted any opposing remarks but I think you are nuts. Cars 2 is going to be huge. Likely not a TS3 but it should have no problems hitting $90M opening weekend. It has just barely been passed by t
ITGeek
Thursday, June 23 at 19:46 PM Pacific
oops... too many chars... TS3 merch sales barely passed Cars and with only one movie so far I think those sales have to be considered. If it makes less than $90M opening I will be shocked but only slightly surprised if it passes $110M.



The End of Oak Street H$30 Call (FLWVS.CA) 25000 1.83 (-0.21)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Call (FLWVS.CA) 25000 1.83 (-0.21)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 25000 28.67 (-0.46)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 50000 28.67 (-0.46)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 150000 9.45 (-0.87)          Richard Gere (RGERE) 12000 2.09 (-0.02)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 149999 58.33 (-7.11)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 71.08 (+1.08)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 7767 15.62 (+2.48)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 7677 15.62 (+2.48)          Jennifer's Body 2 (JBOD2) 5000 13.33 (-0.20)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 776 105.34 (-2.21)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 50000 71.08 (+1.08)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 50000 71.08 (+1.08)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 50000 71.08 (+1.08)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 71.08 (+1.08)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 12.18 (-0.83)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 12.18 (-0.83)          Margie Claus (MARGC) 25000 28.97 (-0.94)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 58.33 (-7.11)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 58.33 (-7.11)          Margie Claus (MARGC) 25000 28.97 (-0.94)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 77248 590.06 (+21.01)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 85488 590.06 (+21.01)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 25000 99.81 (+1.87)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 85488 590.06 (+21.01)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 25000 99.81 (+1.87)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 150000 238.70 (+1.30)          By Any Means (CI34) 10000 26.55 (-0.18)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 10000 13.65 (-0.05)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 30000 44.79 (+3.56)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 71.08 (+1.08)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 1.19 (+0.01)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 20000 13.65 (-0.05)          Haunted Heist (HAUHS) 150000 0.62 (-0.11)          By Any Means (CI34) 10000 26.55 (-0.18)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 71.08 (+1.08)          Elizabeth Olsen (EOLSE) 2995 148.35 (-0.67)          Elizabeth Olsen (EOLSE) 1995 148.35 (-0.67)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 40000 28.67 (-0.46)          This Is How It Goes (TIHIG) 150000 0.64 (-0.03)          The End of Oak Street - Opening (FLWVS.OW) 25000 28.67 (-0.46)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 71.08 (+1.08)          Colman Domingo (CDOMI) 9999 129.23 (+0.66)          By Any Means (CI34) 10000 26.55 (-0.18)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 3 186.05 (+1.20)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 3 186.05 (+1.20)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 10000 267.34 (-3.89)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 150000 7.18 (-0.04)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 150000 21.57 (-0.05)