SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Cars 2 races for more money.

Although 2006’s Cars is generally considered one of Pixar’s lesser films, that didn’t stop Disney from producing the sequel Cars 2 [CARS2]. Cars is Disney’s most lucrative brand generating billions annually in merchandising. To keep that gravy train rolling, Lightning and Mater return for a new adventure that takes them around the world in a spy caper. Cars 2 is getting the worst reviews of any Pixar films, but that’s not gonna matter to boys who play with the toys. Though the G-rated film may not appeal to teens as well as adults who frequented previous Pixar offerings. Toy Story 3’s $110 million opening last year is out of reach, but the sequel should improve on Cars’ $60 million debut.   Cars 2 should appeal to enough families to drive away with $72 million from 4115 locations.

Sony hopes its R-rated comedy Bad Teacher [BDTCH] follows in the success of this summer’s Bridesmaids and The Hangover Part II. The cast of Cameron Diaz [CDIAZ], Jason Segel [JSEGE] and Justin Timberlake [JTIMB] are all likeable and each brings fans of their own. The trailers and TV spots have been funny, which should bring out moviegoers looking for a laugh. Opening in 3049 theaters, Bad Teacher could earn $24 million.

Green Lantern [GLANT] did not shine as bright as Warner Bros. hoped in its debut. With its opening weekend already frontloaded to Friday, the superhero film is not crossing over to a broader audience. Green Lantern looks to drop more than 55% to about $22 million.

The sci-fi film Super 8 [SUPR8] should be in line for another 60% hold this weekend, which would net another $13 million.

With competition for the family audience from Cars 2, Mr. Popper’s Penguins [POPNG] is likely to drop 50% to around $9 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): CARS2, BDTCH, CDIAZ, JSEGE, JTIMB, GLANT, SUPR8, POPNG

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, June 23, 2011 @ 03:54 PM 6489 views

Recent Comments

ITGeek
Thursday, June 23 at 19:44 PM Pacific
it isn't often that i disagree with you and I have never posted any opposing remarks but I think you are nuts. Cars 2 is going to be huge. Likely not a TS3 but it should have no problems hitting $90M opening weekend. It has just barely been passed by t
ITGeek
Thursday, June 23 at 19:46 PM Pacific
oops... too many chars... TS3 merch sales barely passed Cars and with only one movie so far I think those sales have to be considered. If it makes less than $90M opening I will be shocked but only slightly surprised if it passes $110M.



Digger (DIGER) 150000 78.05 (-0.01)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 89.07 (+0.41)          Helena Bonham Carter (HBCAR) 25000 32.83 (0.00)          Guy Pearce (GPEAR) 20000 8.16 (0.00)          Bitter Christmas (BITRC) 150000 0.67 (-0.11)          Bitter Christmas (BITRC) 150000 0.67 (-0.11)          Allison Janney (AJANN) 25000 60.45 (0.00)          David Ayer (DAYER) 20000 79.80 (-0.20)          Leslie Mann (LMANN) 25000 17.16 (0.00)          Brad Pitt (BPITT) 25000 90.75 (-0.50)          Brad Pitt (BPITT) 25000 90.75 (-0.50)          Jason Statham (JSTAT) 25000 29.68 (0.00)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 150000 45.49 (-0.15)          Isla Fisher (IFISH) 20000 38.17 (0.00)          Emilia Jones (EJONE) 25000 17.45 (0.00)          Rebecca Ferguson (RFERG) 25000 111.37 (0.00)          Evil Genius (EVILG) 150000 5.20 (+0.34)          Nasty (NASTY) 10000 11.65 (0.00)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 25000 5.35 (0.00)          Run Amok (RAMOK) 150000 0.99 (-0.01)          Angelina Jolie (AJOLI) 25000 57.29 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 78.05 (-0.01)          River (RIVE1) 150000 10.46 (-0.82)          River (RIVE1) 150000 10.46 (-0.82)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 150000 4.40 (+0.23)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 150000 4.40 (+0.23)          River (RIVE1) 150000 10.46 (-0.82)          Evil Genius (EVILG) 150000 5.20 (+0.34)          Evil Genius (EVILG) 150000 5.20 (+0.34)          River (RIVE1) 150000 10.46 (-0.82)          The Julia Set (TJULS) 150000 1.75 (+0.01)          Idiots (SHTHD) 150000 1.71 (-0.02)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 150000 20.69 (+0.30)          Finding Emily (CCEML) 150000 1.87 (-0.04)          Finding Emily (CCEML) 150000 1.87 (-0.04)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 22.62 (-0.05)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 89.07 (+0.41)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 150000 61.68 (-0.14)          Rebecca Ferguson (RFERG) 25000 111.37 (0.00)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 31.41 (+0.09)          Fall 2: Deadpoint (FALL2) 150000 5.03 (-0.04)          The Uprising (THOOD) 150000 8.19 (-0.07)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 150000 6.64 (-0.04)          Finding Emily (CCEML) 150000 1.87 (-0.04)          It Ends (ITNDS) 150000 1.74 (-0.02)          Jason Statham (JSTAT) 25000 29.68 (0.00)          Jason Statham (JSTAT) 25000 29.68 (0.00)          Gillian Anderson (GANDE) 25000 23.87 (0.00)          Eva Victor (EVICT) 25000 2.96 (0.00)          Old Man in the Dunes (OMITD) 5000 7.57 (-0.01)