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Whisper Numbers: Four new films unlikely to overthrow Apes

With all the big summer blockbuster films out of the way, four moderate wide releases will try to make their mark. Rise of the Planet of the Apes [RSAPE] should be able to hold them off and retain the top spot for a second weekend. Even with positive word of mouth, the sci-fi film is likely to drop more than 50% to $27 million.

New Line’s horror sequel Final Destination 5 [FDES5] looks to fare best amongst the newcomers. The previous installment and the first in 3D, The Final Destination opened to a franchise best $27.4 million in 2009. However, 3D is no longer a novelty as 3D films has saturated the marketplace. The R-rated Final Destination 5 should benefit as the first horror opener since spring, which bring out starving fans of the genre. Arriving in 3155 theaters, Final Destination 5 could deliver about $24 million.

DreamWorks targets older women with the period drama The Help [THELP] based on a bestselling novel. The diverse cast and subject matter should also appeal to African-Americans. The PG-13 rated film opened on Wednesday and banked $5.5 million from fans of the book, which should help build word of mouth. Booked into 2534 theaters, The Help could clean up $18 million over the weekend.

The R-rated comedy 30 Minutes or Less [30MOL] stars Jesse Eisenberg [JEISE] and Aziz Ansari [AANSA] as roommates who are forced to rob a bank by criminals played by Danny McBride [DMCBR] and Nick Swardson [NSWAR]. Sony hopes to attract young males, though the trailers have not been laugh out loud funny. None of the cast are established box office draw either. 30 Minutes or Less could deliver $17 million from 2888 locations.

Fox hopes the legion of ‘gleeks’ will shell out for Glee The 3D Concert Movie [GLELV], a feature version of the concert tour based on the hit TV show. The buzz has been muted compared to the fervor for Justin Bieber, which opened to $29.5 million in February. Breaking into 2040 3D theaters, Glee The 3D Concert Movie could hit $11 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): RSAPE, FDES5, THELP, 30MOL, JEISE, AANSA, DMCBR, NSWAR, GLELV

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 11, 2011 @ 04:05 PM 6304 views

Recent Comments

DomoI
Tuesday, August 16 at 15:43 PM Pacific
"targets *older women* with the *period* drama"
nicolashookfin
Thursday, August 25 at 03:39 AM Pacific
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John Rambo (RAMB6) 100000 35.67 (+0.14)          Gatto (GATTO) 100000 110.55 (+0.03)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 7000 362.61 (+0.28)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 74999 3.38 (-0.53)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 5000 317.57 (-0.04)          Grendel (GREND) 50000 15.63 (+1.47)          Grendel (GREND) 50000 15.63 (+1.47)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 60000 78.63 (+0.41)          Grendel (GREND) 50000 15.63 (+1.47)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 1 3.85 (-0.52)          Grendel (GREND) 50000 15.63 (+1.47)          Tuner (TUNER) 1 6.41 (+0.55)          Grendel (GREND) 50000 15.63 (+1.47)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 1 13.01 (+0.46)          Grendel (GREND) 50000 15.63 (+1.47)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 1 3.85 (-0.52)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 5.09 (+0.03)          Tuner (TUNER) 1 6.41 (+0.55)          Nirvanna The Band The Show The M (NTBTS) 100 1.69 (0.00)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 1 13.01 (+0.46)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 5000 317.57 (-0.04)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 100000 191.56 (+1.16)          Shiver (SHVER) 92228 63.81 (+6.41)          Digger (DIGER) 5000 110.57 (-0.01)          Reenactment (RNACT) 150000 6.71 (+0.06)          Aaron Eckhart (AECKH) 25000 13.42 (+0.10)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 9694 317.57 (-0.04)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 25000 240.17 (+0.55)          Moana (MOAN1) 5000 219.29 (-0.10)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 10000 18.37 (-0.04)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 5000 73.54 (-0.09)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 50000 18.00 (0.00)          ABC: RJ Decker (RJDECK) 25000 9.06 (+1.06)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 61000 24.43 (+0.08)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 5000 74.26 (+0.08)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 5000 112.86 (-0.35)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 4000 9.60 (+0.01)          Andra Day (ADAY) 24000 52.37 (+0.03)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 4000 317.57 (-0.04)          NBC: The Fall and Rise of Reggie (FARORD) 25000 9.20 (+1.20)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 5000 112.86 (-0.35)          Alice + Freda Forever (AFREV) 149999 0.11 (-0.01)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 10000 73.13 (+0.07)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 23000 4.81 (+1.60)          Sirat (SIRAT) 6 0.55 (-0.02)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 4261 362.61 (+0.28)          Myha'la Herrold (MHERR) 2000 9.78 (-0.05)          The Last Resort (TLRSR) 8000 3.87 (+0.01)