SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Four new films unlikely to overthrow Apes

With all the big summer blockbuster films out of the way, four moderate wide releases will try to make their mark. Rise of the Planet of the Apes [RSAPE] should be able to hold them off and retain the top spot for a second weekend. Even with positive word of mouth, the sci-fi film is likely to drop more than 50% to $27 million.

New Line’s horror sequel Final Destination 5 [FDES5] looks to fare best amongst the newcomers. The previous installment and the first in 3D, The Final Destination opened to a franchise best $27.4 million in 2009. However, 3D is no longer a novelty as 3D films has saturated the marketplace. The R-rated Final Destination 5 should benefit as the first horror opener since spring, which bring out starving fans of the genre. Arriving in 3155 theaters, Final Destination 5 could deliver about $24 million.

DreamWorks targets older women with the period drama The Help [THELP] based on a bestselling novel. The diverse cast and subject matter should also appeal to African-Americans. The PG-13 rated film opened on Wednesday and banked $5.5 million from fans of the book, which should help build word of mouth. Booked into 2534 theaters, The Help could clean up $18 million over the weekend.

The R-rated comedy 30 Minutes or Less [30MOL] stars Jesse Eisenberg [JEISE] and Aziz Ansari [AANSA] as roommates who are forced to rob a bank by criminals played by Danny McBride [DMCBR] and Nick Swardson [NSWAR]. Sony hopes to attract young males, though the trailers have not been laugh out loud funny. None of the cast are established box office draw either. 30 Minutes or Less could deliver $17 million from 2888 locations.

Fox hopes the legion of ‘gleeks’ will shell out for Glee The 3D Concert Movie [GLELV], a feature version of the concert tour based on the hit TV show. The buzz has been muted compared to the fervor for Justin Bieber, which opened to $29.5 million in February. Breaking into 2040 3D theaters, Glee The 3D Concert Movie could hit $11 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): RSAPE, FDES5, THELP, 30MOL, JEISE, AANSA, DMCBR, NSWAR, GLELV

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 11, 2011 @ 04:05 PM 5908 views

Recent Comments

DomoI
Tuesday, August 16 at 15:43 PM Pacific
"targets *older women* with the *period* drama"
nicolashookfin
Thursday, August 25 at 03:39 AM Pacific
85"><img src="http://www.superchristianlouboutin.org/images/s/Christian-Louboutin-Josefa-120-Platform-Sandals-Black-242-1.jpg" alt="Christian Louboutin Josefa 120 Platform Sandals Black" title=" Christian Louboutin Josefa 120 Platform Sandals Black " widt


twitter

@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!


Teaser for #TheMother starring Jennifer Lopez, on Netflix May 2023       #DontWorryDarling brought home an estimated $9.4M Friday at the weekend #boxoffice https://t.co/clPRriPwXh       #RailwayChildren opens wide in 900+ theaters this weekend       #MoonageDaydream expands wide to 733 theaters this weekend       Storm Reid to lead The Nun 2 #TheNun2       Zach Lipovsky and Adam B. Stein to direct Final Destination 6 #FinalDestination6       #Spirited hits theaters on November 11 and Apple TV+ on November 18 https://t.co/NuTginCF8R       Neon acquires #Sanctuary starring Margaret Qualley https://t.co/efEWWuTg1O       Don't Worry Darling earned an estimated $3.1M from Thursday & Monday previews… https://t.co/QXnSjs6RPz       New trailer for Prey for the Devil #PreyfortheDevil https://t.co/rftxad0wli      
10-31 (1031) 39000 2.19 (0.00)         One Punch Man (1PMAN) 1000 32.97 (+0.26)         Elio (ELIO) 75000 61.65 (+1.65)         10-31 (1031) 20000 2.19 (0.00)         Babylon (BBYLN) 150000 46.84 (-0.23)         Bad Boys 4 (BADB4) 4000 40.79 (-0.27)         Don't Worry Darling (DWDRL) 100000 48.25 (-2.94)         Barbie (BARBI) 4 109.91 (+0.33)         I Wanna Dance with Somebody (IWDWS) 150000 36.49 (-0.10)         Confess, Fletch (FLET3) 75000 2.15 (-0.04)         Avatar 2: The Way of the Water (AVAT2) 1 478.43 (+1.00)         Avatar 2: The Way of the Water (AVAT2) 150000 478.43 (+1.00)         The Woman King (WMKNG) 150000 51.28 (-0.40)         The Greatest Beer Run Ever (TGBRE) 150000 0.97 (-0.05)         The Greatest Beer Run Ever (TGBRE) 150000 0.97 (-0.05)         Railway Children (RWCH2) 150000 3.05 (+0.30)         The Infernal Machine (IFRNL) 150000 2.06 (-0.08)         The Infernal Machine (IFRNL) 150000 2.06 (-0.08)         See How They Run (SHTR) 125000 8.09 (-0.09)         Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (BPNT2) 150000 439.95 (-1.00)         Black Adam (BADAM) 150000 194.58 (-1.15)         Fast & Furious 11 (FAF11) 1000 89.05 (0.00)         Amsterdam (AMSTR) 150000 43.36 (+0.19)         The Fabelmans (SPIEL) 150000 37.59 (-0.13)         Uptown Saturday Night (USATN) 40000 1.28 (-0.01)         The Greatest Beer Run Ever (TGBRE) 40000 0.97 (-0.05)         Tunnels (TUNLS) 149000 1.61 (0.00)         Uptown Saturday Night (USATN) 40000 1.28 (-0.01)         The Greatest Beer Run Ever (TGBRE) 40000 0.97 (-0.05)         Tunnels (TUNLS) 149000 1.61 (0.00)         Amsterdam (AMSTR) 4999 43.36 (+0.19)         Night Terror (NTERR) 1999 15.74 (+0.02)         Night Terror (NTERR) 999 15.74 (+0.02)         Sterling K. Brown (SKBRO) 5000 61.88 (-0.03)         Regina Hall (RHALL) 25000 31.06 (-0.30)         Regina Hall (RHALL) 25000 31.06 (-0.30)         Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom (AQUM2) 22000 225.06 (-1.16)         Josephine Langford (JOLAN) 25000 6.25 (-0.10)         Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom (AQUM2) 400 225.06 (-1.16)         Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 600 29.81 (-0.34)         Juliette Binoche (JBINO) 20000 0.44 (+0.04)         Juliette Binoche (JBINO) 25000 0.44 (+0.04)         Tron 3 (TRON3) 600 25.83 (-0.26)         Wish (WISH) 4000 89.64 (+0.42)         Elio (ELIO) 150000 61.65 (+1.65)         Minecraft (MINEC) 6000 29.78 (+0.06)         Minecraft (MINEC) 10000 29.78 (+0.06)         Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 1000 26.34 (+0.33)         Blade (BLAD1) 4000 144.75 (+0.86)         Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 600 26.34 (+0.33)