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Whisper Numbers: Three new films challenge The Help.

The last weekend of August begins three new wide releases, but once again The Help [THELP] is likely to remain atop the box office. The period drama about Southern white women and their black maids declined just 23% in its second weekend. With no new competition for its target audience, The Help should maintain another great hold for its third weekend. The Help looks to clean up another $15 million.

Don’t Be Afraid of the Dark [AFRAD] is the third new horror release in three weeks. Katie Holmes [KHOLM] stars in the R-rated haunted house remake of a TV movie, but producer/writer Guillermo del Toro is the main draw for horror fans. FilmDistrict successfully opened Insidious to $13.3 million in April, but Don’t Be Afraid of the Dark faces stronger competition against the lingering Final Destination 5 and Fright Night. Opening in 2760 theaters, Don’t Be Afraid of the Dark could shine a light on $10 million.

Zoe Saldana [ZSALD] toplines the PG-13 rated actioner Colombiana [CLMBA] as a female assassin. Produced by Luc Besson, the film doesn’t offer anything new or different from his previous work, not to mention the TV series 'Nikita' that’s based on his breakthrough film Le Femme Nikita. Though Saldana starred in Avatar and Star Trek, she has yet to establish a draw on her own. Appealing mainly to young males, Colombiana could score about $9 million from 2614 locations.

The summer of R-rated comedies ends with Our Idiot Brother [MIBRO]. Paul Rudd [PRUDD] stars as a stoner who imposes on the family of his three sisters. The Weinstein Co. has heavily marketed the film, but moviegoers may have already tuned out as evident with the under-performance of The Change-Up and 30 Minutes or Less. Arriving in 2555 theaters, Our Idiot Brother could wise up to $8 million.

Since all the sophomore films flopped, Rise of the Planet of the Apes [RSAPE] should stay in the top five and grab another $9 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): THELP, AFRAD, KHOLM, ZSALD, CLMBA, MIBRO, PRUDD, RSAPE

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 25, 2011 @ 03:37 PM 6253 views

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Michael Keaton (MKEAT) 25000 103.53 (0.00)          Amandla Stenberg (ASTEN) 25000 60.99 (-0.25)          Zoe Kravitz (ZKRAV) 25000 108.40 (-0.33)          One Night Only (ONTON) 150000 26.68 (+0.23)          One Night Only (ONTON) 150000 26.68 (+0.23)          Aladdin 2 (ALAD2) 150000 22.62 (+0.50)          Mason Thames (MTHAM) 25000 118.66 (-1.33)          Mason Thames (MTHAM) 25000 118.66 (-1.33)          Nirvanna The Band The Show The M (NTBTS) 150000 4.02 (+0.02)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 123456 56.82 (-0.07)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 2770 16.46 (0.00)          Obsession - Opening Weekend (OBSSN.OW) 100000 5.05 (+0.05)          In the Grey - Opening Weekend (NGREY.OW) 100000 5.04 (+0.04)          Colony (CLONY) 150000 1.97 (-0.03)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 150000 34.69 (+0.10)          Mason Thames (MTHAM) 25000 118.66 (-1.33)          Mason Thames (MTHAM) 25000 118.66 (-1.33)          Idiots aka The Shitheads (SHTHD) 150000 5.56 (-0.07)          Idiots aka The Shitheads (SHTHD) 150000 5.56 (-0.07)          Zoey Deutch (ZDEUT) 25000 28.28 (+0.25)          Zoey Deutch (ZDEUT) 25000 28.28 (+0.25)          Zach Braff (ZBRAF) 25000 35.95 (-0.12)          Tyrese Gibson (TYGIB) 25000 90.10 (-0.25)          Trey Parker (TPARK) 25000 79.52 (+0.25)          Stanley Tucci (STUCC) 25000 31.52 (+0.12)          Sterling K. Brown (SKBRO) 25000 52.57 (-0.16)          Stephen Graham (SGRAH) 25000 88.48 (-0.25)          Rosa Salazar (RSALA) 25000 58.33 (-0.16)          Regina Hall (RHALL) 25000 44.04 (+0.16)          Patrick Stewart (PSTEW) 25000 59.75 (-0.50)          Molly Shannon (MSHAN) 25000 26.75 (-0.12)          Martin Scorsese (MSCOR) 25000 22.19 (+0.12)          Mamoudou Athie (MATHI) 25000 98.51 (-0.25)          Lena Headey (LHEAD) 25000 17.59 (-0.10)          Lady Gaga (LGAGA) 25000 97.46 (+0.25)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 10.22 (+0.04)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 5264 324.29 (-0.02)          Jason Momoa (JMOMO) 25000 174.95 (-0.50)          Juliette Lewis (JLEWI) 25000 16.27 (-0.20)          Jesse Eisenberg (JEISE) 25000 33.95 (+0.12)          James Corden (JCORD) 25000 29.50 (-0.12)          James Cameron (JCAME) 25000 132.41 (-0.33)          Jeff Bridges (JBRID) 25000 52.99 (+0.16)          Jaeden Martell (JALIE) 25000 66.86 (-0.50)