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Whisper Numbers: Batman has competition on and off the screen



Whether moviegoers remain spooked by the Colorado shooting tragedy or are staying home to watch the Olympics, The Dark Knight Rises [BATM3] has not kept pace with The Dark Knight despite a bigger opening weekend. Since the overall box office is affected and not just Batman, The Dark Knight Rises should be able to hold back two new wide releases and retain the top spot for a third weekend with about $33 million.

Colin Farrell [CFARR] stars in Sony’s PG-13 rated remake of the popular 1990 sci-fi actioner Total Recall [RECAL]. Farrell previously starred in the remake of Miami Vice and Fright Night, but is not a guaranteed box office draw. Kate Beckinsale [KBECK] and Jessica Biel [JBIEL] are on hand to add starpower, which should appeal to both men and women. Instead of going to Mars, the updated version stays on Earth, but otherwise the story hews pretty close to the Arnold Schwarzenegger original. Judging by the trailers however, the remake isn’t offering older fans anything new besides updated CG effects.  Poor reviews won’t help bring them back to theaters either. Planted in 3601 theaters, Total Recall may collect around $29 million.

Fox moves Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days [WIMP3] to the summer after opening the first two installments of the family film series during the spring. The 2010 original Diary of a Wimpy Kid debuted to $22.1 million, which was topped by the 2011 sequel Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Roderick Rules with $23.8 million. Unlikely to bring in new fans, Dog Days will attract strictly those already invested in the franchise, which is based on a book series. With the target audience of tween boys another year older, some of them may have out-grown the PG-rated family film.  Playing in 3392 theaters, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days could earn about $18.0 million.

The under-performing The Watch [NEIBW] finished slightly ahead of Step Up: Revolution [STUP4] in their debut last weekend, but the roles are likely to be reversed in their sophomore weekend as both looks to suffer from big drop-offs. The female-targeted Step Up: Revolution may score $5.8 million, while The Watch could catch $5.2 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BATM3, CFARR, RECAL, KBECK, JBIEL, WIMP3, NEIBW, STUP4

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 2, 2012 @ 03:58 PM        7531 views


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Mario Movie (MARIO) 100000 61.78 (+1.78)         Sonic the Hedgehog (SONIC) 50000 46.56 (+1.13)         Death Wish H$10 Call (DWISH.CA) 19999 2.90 (+0.01)         A Wrinkle in Time (AWITM) 100000 120.77 (-0.50)         A Wrinkle in Time H$50 Call (AWITM.CA) 19999 2.25 (-0.02)         Disenchanted aka Enchanted 2 (ENCH2) 100000 10.02 (-0.05)         Z aka Zorro Reborn (ZOROR) 100000 9.65 (-0.85)         My Own Worst Enemy (MYOWE) 99999 26.85 (-0.98)         The Black Hole (BHOLE) 50000 10.89 (+0.79)         Battlestar Galactica (BGALA) 99900 1.91 (+0.04)         Hotel Artemis (ARTMS) 50000 22.26 (+1.42)         Avatar 3 (AVAT3) 49999 250.79 (-0.91)         Alita: Battle Angel (ALITA) 50000 87.06 (-0.20)         Unbroken: Path to Redemption (UBRK2) 99999 10.34 (-0.24)         Gringo (AMEXP) 99999 16.16 (+0.08)         Mario Movie (MARIO) 10000 61.78 (+1.78)         Pope Francis: A Man of His Word (POPEF) 20000 4.66 (-0.58)         Death Wish (DWISH) 99999 28.56 (+0.45)         Ma (MA) 15000 16.76 (+0.91)         The Black Hole (BHOLE) 15000 10.89 (+0.79)         Annihilation (ANHLT) 99999 26.91 (+1.54)         Revenge (RVENG) 20000 1.97 (+0.49)         Revenge (RVENG) 100000 1.97 (+0.49)         Sylvester Stallone (SSTAL) 20000 86.61 (-0.20)         Kenneth Branagh (KBRAN) 20000 118.38 (-0.28)         Ma (MA) 59671 16.76 (+0.91)         Ma (MA) 59671 16.76 (+0.91)         Ma (MA) 59671 16.76 (+0.91)         Hotel Artemis (ARTMS) 50000 22.26 (+1.42)         Instant Family (ISFAM) 50000 30.68 (+0.75)         The Black Hole (BHOLE) 50000 10.89 (+0.79)         Significant Other (SIGNO) 99999 3.11 (+0.05)         Ma (MA) 50000 16.76 (+0.91)         Revenge (RVENG) 100000 1.97 (+0.49)         Silver and Black (SLBLC) 25000 89.01 (-0.61)         Batgirl (BATGR) 25000 31.84 (-0.01)         Z aka Zorro Reborn (ZOROR) 100000 9.65 (-0.85)         Unbroken: Path to Redemption (UBRK2) 100000 10.34 (-0.24)         RBG (RBG) 100000 3.07 (+1.05)         Portal (PORTL) 100000 11.35 (-0.96)         My Own Worst Enemy (MYOWE) 100000 26.85 (-0.98)         Annihilation (ANHLT) 100000 26.91 (+1.54)         RBG (RBG) 10000 3.07 (+1.05)         RBG (RBG) 100000 3.07 (+1.05)         Instant Family (ISFAM) 50000 30.68 (+0.75)         I Can Only Imagine (ICOIM) 100000 5.53 (-0.12)         I Can Only Imagine (ICOIM) 100000 5.53 (-0.12)         Gambit (GAMBI) 50000 54.16 (+0.13)         Just Cause (JCAUS) 100000 14.02 (+1.96)         Instant Family (ISFAM) 2182 30.68 (+0.75)