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Whisper Numbers: Batman has competition on and off the screen



Whether moviegoers remain spooked by the Colorado shooting tragedy or are staying home to watch the Olympics, The Dark Knight Rises [BATM3] has not kept pace with The Dark Knight despite a bigger opening weekend. Since the overall box office is affected and not just Batman, The Dark Knight Rises should be able to hold back two new wide releases and retain the top spot for a third weekend with about $33 million.

Colin Farrell [CFARR] stars in Sony’s PG-13 rated remake of the popular 1990 sci-fi actioner Total Recall [RECAL]. Farrell previously starred in the remake of Miami Vice and Fright Night, but is not a guaranteed box office draw. Kate Beckinsale [KBECK] and Jessica Biel [JBIEL] are on hand to add starpower, which should appeal to both men and women. Instead of going to Mars, the updated version stays on Earth, but otherwise the story hews pretty close to the Arnold Schwarzenegger original. Judging by the trailers however, the remake isn’t offering older fans anything new besides updated CG effects.  Poor reviews won’t help bring them back to theaters either. Planted in 3601 theaters, Total Recall may collect around $29 million.

Fox moves Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days [WIMP3] to the summer after opening the first two installments of the family film series during the spring. The 2010 original Diary of a Wimpy Kid debuted to $22.1 million, which was topped by the 2011 sequel Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Roderick Rules with $23.8 million. Unlikely to bring in new fans, Dog Days will attract strictly those already invested in the franchise, which is based on a book series. With the target audience of tween boys another year older, some of them may have out-grown the PG-rated family film.  Playing in 3392 theaters, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Dog Days could earn about $18.0 million.

The under-performing The Watch [NEIBW] finished slightly ahead of Step Up: Revolution [STUP4] in their debut last weekend, but the roles are likely to be reversed in their sophomore weekend as both looks to suffer from big drop-offs. The female-targeted Step Up: Revolution may score $5.8 million, while The Watch could catch $5.2 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BATM3, CFARR, RECAL, KBECK, JBIEL, WIMP3, NEIBW, STUP4

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 2, 2012 @ 03:58 PM        7680 views


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Miss Bala (MISSB) 4000 15.62 (-0.20)         Venom 2 (VENM2) 10000 122.95 (-2.25)         The Kid (TKID) 16841 2.00 (0.00)         Peter Rabbit 2 (PRAB2) 99999 66.55 (+2.83)         Morbius (MORBI) 10000 99.55 (+0.53)         A Quiet Place 2 (AQPL2) 99998 109.20 (+2.82)         Run the Race (RTRAC) 100 6.23 (+1.30)         Venom 2 (VENM2) 100 122.95 (-2.25)         The Kid (TKID) 38779 2.00 (0.00)         Black Panther 2 (BPNT2) 100 400.87 (-0.72)         Ghostbusters Untitled (GHST4) 10000 90.81 (0.00)         Back Roads (BACRD) 10000 0.05 (-0.01)         The Division (DIVSN) 100000 3.60 (+0.21)         Justice League 2 (JLEA2) 30000 17.71 (+0.06)         Captain Marvel (CMARV) 400 283.19 (+1.20)         The Suicide Squad aka Suicide Sq (SUIC2) 10000 128.04 (+0.53)         Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 500 119.50 (0.00)         Fast & Furious 9 (FAST9) 500 164.76 (+0.36)         Fighting With My Family (FTWMF) 100000 24.81 (+0.87)         I'm Not Here (IMNHR) 100000 1.12 (-0.03)         Greed (GREED) 100000 3.27 (-0.19)         How to Train Your Dragon: The Hi (HTYD3) 100000 140.33 (+7.01)         Arctic (ARCTI) 100000 1.88 (+0.16)         The Brink (TBRNK) 100000 1.93 (+0.31)         The Call of the Wild (TCOTW) 24999 40.73 (+0.04)         The Meg 2 (TMEG2) 3000 44.44 (-0.27)         A Star Wars Story 3 (SWAR3) 4999 103.16 (-2.32)         The Kid (TKID) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Arctic (ARCTI) 100000 1.88 (+0.16)         Random Acts of Violence (RACOV) 100000 5.00 (0.00)         The Brink (TBRNK) 100000 1.93 (+0.31)         Red 11 (RED11) 60000 5.44 (-0.49)         Morbius (MORBI) 2000 99.55 (+0.53)         Untitled Christopher Nolan (UCNOL) 1500 101.77 (+3.45)         The Division (DIVSN) 99999 3.60 (+0.21)         Ghostbusters Untitled (GHST4) 3000 90.81 (0.00)         Candyman (CNDYM) 2000 63.87 (-0.14)         The Division (DIVSN) 100000 3.60 (+0.21)         The Devil in the White City (DITWC) 100000 1.26 (+0.08)         The Devil in the White City (DITWC) 100000 1.26 (+0.08)         The Division (DIVSN) 100000 3.60 (+0.21)         Random Acts of Violence (RACOV) 3000 5.00 (0.00)         Merlin (MERLN) 100000 39.87 (+4.97)         Merlin (MERLN) 99999 39.87 (+4.97)         The Secret Life of Pets 2 (PETS2) 5000 245.84 (-0.95)         The Kid (TKID) 3000 2.00 (0.00)         The Division (DIVSN) 100000 3.60 (+0.21)         Tron 3 (TRON3) 100000 4.86 (+0.03)         Untitled Judd Apatow / Pete Davi (UPDAV) 1000 29.02 (-1.37)         Tron 3 (TRON3) 100000 4.86 (+0.03)