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Whisper Numbers: Can anyone out earn The Help over Labor Day Weekend?

The summer movie season comes to an end as three new films open over the long Labor Day weekend. The sci-fi horror Apollo 18 [APO18] appears to have to best chance to break out. The Weinstein Co. film is the latest entry in the “lost footage” sub-genre of horror popularized by Paranormal Activity and purports to show what happened to the astronauts of a secret last mission to the moon. With a cast of unknowns, the film will have to draw on its premise alone. The PG-13 rating should bring out the teen target audience. Launching in 3328 theaters, Apollo 18 could land around $16 million over the four-day holiday weekend.

If Apollo 18 should falter, The Help [THELP] could hang on to the top spot for a third weekend. The drama recently crossed the $100 million mark and could add another $15 million over the long weekend.

Relativity unleashes its own PG-13 rated horror film with the self-explanatory titled Shark Night 3D [SHK3D]. Last year, Piranha 3D featuring R-rated gore and nudity took in $10.1 million. Shark Night 3D is opening against a glut of 3D horror competitors this year which have all under-performed. Released in 2806 theaters, Shark Night 3D may draw in $11 million through Monday.

Focus targets older adult moviegoers with the spy thriller The Debt [TDEBT] starring Sam Worthington [SWORT] and Helen Mirren [HMIRR]. The R-rated film has earned respectable reviews and opening on Wednesday, where it grossed $0.97 million, should spread the word of mouth. George Clooney’s The American also opened on the Wednesday before Labor Day last year grossing $1.7 million on its way to $16.7 million from Friday to Monday. With less starpower and only 1786 locations, The Debt could settle with $7 million over the four-day weekend.

After hurricane Irene took away some of its opening weekend business, the actioner Colombiana [CLMBA] looks to make up $7 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): APO18, THELP, SHK3D, TDEBT, SWORT, HMIRR, CLMBA

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, September 1, 2011 @ 03:10 PM 2798 views

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Abigail (ABGAL) 40000 31.31 (-0.50)          Amy Schumer (ASCHU) 19400 65.20 (+1.26)          Fantastic Four (FANF2) 150000 161.40 (+0.88)          Amy Schumer (ASCHU) 25000 65.20 (+1.26)          Daddio (DADIO) 150000 2.86 (-0.17)          Daddio (DADIO) 150000 2.86 (-0.17)          Maria (MARIA) 150000 13.51 (+0.28)          Amy Schumer (ASCHU) 600 65.20 (+1.26)          Maria (MARIA) 150000 13.51 (+0.28)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 23.32 (-0.79)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 23.32 (-0.79)          Civil War (CVLWR) 150000 59.41 (-0.79)          Civil War (CVLWR) 150000 59.41 (-0.79)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 2000 43.67 (-1.67)          Asa Butterfield (ABUTT) 999 3.64 (0.00)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.88 (+0.88)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 485 43.67 (-1.67)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 45000 43.67 (-1.67)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.88 (+0.88)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 2485 43.67 (-1.67)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 150000 8.46 (-0.35)          Sasquatch Sunset (SQTCH) 150000 4.59 (+0.02)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 20000 8.46 (-0.35)          Daisy Ridley (DRIDL) 25000 51.61 (-0.35)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 25000 33.49 (-1.18)          Madden (MADEN) 1 25.88 (+0.88)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 150000 8.46 (-0.35)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 1537 124.03 (-2.41)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 2485 43.67 (-1.67)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.88 (+0.88)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 63930 43.67 (-1.67)          Speak No Evil (SPNOE) 150000 39.56 (-1.15)          Speak No Evil (SPNOE) 150000 39.56 (-1.15)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 63930 43.67 (-1.67)          Ilana Glazer (IGLAZ) 25000 22.52 (-0.01)          Clue (CLUE) 150000 18.44 (+2.47)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 150000 8.64 (+0.97)          What You Wish For (WYWF) 150000 0.86 (+0.08)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 150000 17.28 (+1.18)          Fall 2 (FALL2) 2009 6.90 (+0.09)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 22.55 (+1.70)          Chestnut (CHSNT) 150000 0.66 (-0.10)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 150000 53.16 (+1.55)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 10.95 (-1.60)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 150000 54.11 (+1.84)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 150000 54.11 (+1.84)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.21 (-0.18)          The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 24984 4.05 (+0.53)          The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 24984 4.05 (+0.53)          IF (IMGNF) 20000 150.38 (-1.30)