HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

Now finishing 1st version of my HSX Excel tools. My formulas ideas, your thoughts and suggestions.

Posted by: Smartlink on Feb 05, 14:34

Greetings;

Well I am still trying to get more and more envolved in the game and it's community as some of you already know. When I started playing more seriously I started playing around with various excel tables and formulas that could help me out. I tought it would be great to share it with you all. 

So far I am working with the 6 diffrent sheets, for better structure. Right now my Derivatives OW and BW sheets are looking good and make accurate projections. For the BW options, it just calculates if the specific BW are currently ABR using current box office result and/or projected result when available I am working on a multiplier for the opening weekend that could help with BW. I also keep track of my Gross Gain on each to get Net invesment and therefore net profit. 

The OW portion is working good also thus far. I enter manually the .OW stock prices as well as put and call strike prices and current stock price.. Then using box office prediction avrage from 5 sources (Assasin's, HSXblog, Guru .. ...), I get the + or - change between options and current price plus an indication to buy or short each options. Been tracking past month releases and so far it is accurate, it did not predict exact figures but always predicted right way to bet on options.

To get "OW Change": Cell B4 = Avg Prediction - Current .OW stock price

Then I use this for Buy/Short indicator in the next cell =IF(B4="";"";IF(B4<=0,01;"Short OW ;IF(B4>=0,01;"Buy OW";)))  B4 would be cell with call change result

To get the "Call Change": C4= (Avg Prediction - Strick Price) - Call Stock Price 

Then use same indicator formula mentioned above. (but using C4)

To get the "Put Change": D4= (Strick Price- Avg Prediction) - Put Stock Price 

Then use same indicator formula mentioned above. (but using D4)

I also use a few conditional formating rules to change the color of certain cells. I also use the following custom number in cell formating (color10)+0,00;(Red)-0,00;;@ note that () are brackets. This will display in positive result in a cell green with a plus sign and all negative numbers red with minus sign

Now working on Movie Stock and Star Bond sheets as well as a networth sheet to keep track of various stats. I will share my ideas and formulas with you when I get somewhere. Any toughts or ideas so far?





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 141994 74.32 (-0.25)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 150000 4.38 (+1.34)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 20000 222.91 (-3.94)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 58.57 (+1.82)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 150000 0.81 (-0.19)          Harris Dickinson (HDICK) 25000 16.07 (+0.20)          Harris Dickinson (HDICK) 25000 16.07 (+0.20)          Morfydd Clark (MCLAR) 25000 15.72 (-0.10)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 222.91 (-3.94)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 150000 20.67 (+3.03)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 8.24 (-1.46)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 8.24 (-1.46)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 25000 120.72 (+0.60)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 90000 160.45 (+1.91)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 120000 160.45 (+1.91)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 30000 422.07 (+2.04)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 20000 20.67 (+3.03)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 130000 7.36 (+0.62)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 150000 37.93 (-1.77)          Evan Rachel Wood (ERWOO) 25000 49.43 (0.00)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 150000 37.93 (-1.77)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 5000 96.67 (+0.60)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 5000 96.67 (+0.60)          Nimrods aka New Years Rev (NIMRD) 20000 4.86 (+0.67)          King Snake (KSNAK) 1 13.05 (-0.14)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 1 15.00 (-0.02)          Green Hornet and Kato (GHKTO) 149999 8.05 (-0.04)          Fatherland aka 1949 (FTHRL) 1 1.53 (0.00)          Baton (BATON) 1 5.10 (-0.05)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 150000 5.01 (-1.04)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 1 8.00 (0.00)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 30000 9.37 (+0.10)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 5000 9.37 (+0.10)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 149999 89.33 (-1.05)          Dominic Sessa (DSESS) 25000 26.86 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 149999 198.87 (-2.75)          The Housewife (THSWF) 150000 1.22 (+0.02)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 92033 222.91 (-3.94)          Allison Janney (AJANN) 12586 61.94 (+0.12)          Giant (GIANT) 150000 1.21 (+0.29)          The Gauntlet (GNTLT) 149999 34.15 (+0.23)          Giant (GIANT) 150000 1.21 (+0.29)          Verity (VERTY) 1000 47.38 (+1.08)          Verity (VERTY) 10000 47.38 (+1.08)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 10000 98.26 (-0.27)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 113585 3.38 (+0.01)