HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

Now finishing 1st version of my HSX Excel tools. My formulas ideas, your thoughts and suggestions.

Posted by: Smartlink on Feb 05, 14:34

Greetings;

Well I am still trying to get more and more envolved in the game and it's community as some of you already know. When I started playing more seriously I started playing around with various excel tables and formulas that could help me out. I tought it would be great to share it with you all. 

So far I am working with the 6 diffrent sheets, for better structure. Right now my Derivatives OW and BW sheets are looking good and make accurate projections. For the BW options, it just calculates if the specific BW are currently ABR using current box office result and/or projected result when available I am working on a multiplier for the opening weekend that could help with BW. I also keep track of my Gross Gain on each to get Net invesment and therefore net profit. 

The OW portion is working good also thus far. I enter manually the .OW stock prices as well as put and call strike prices and current stock price.. Then using box office prediction avrage from 5 sources (Assasin's, HSXblog, Guru .. ...), I get the + or - change between options and current price plus an indication to buy or short each options. Been tracking past month releases and so far it is accurate, it did not predict exact figures but always predicted right way to bet on options.

To get "OW Change": Cell B4 = Avg Prediction - Current .OW stock price

Then I use this for Buy/Short indicator in the next cell =IF(B4="";"";IF(B4<=0,01;"Short OW ;IF(B4>=0,01;"Buy OW";)))  B4 would be cell with call change result

To get the "Call Change": C4= (Avg Prediction - Strick Price) - Call Stock Price 

Then use same indicator formula mentioned above. (but using C4)

To get the "Put Change": D4= (Strick Price- Avg Prediction) - Put Stock Price 

Then use same indicator formula mentioned above. (but using D4)

I also use a few conditional formating rules to change the color of certain cells. I also use the following custom number in cell formating (color10)+0,00;(Red)-0,00;;@ note that () are brackets. This will display in positive result in a cell green with a plus sign and all negative numbers red with minus sign

Now working on Movie Stock and Star Bond sheets as well as a networth sheet to keep track of various stats. I will share my ideas and formulas with you when I get somewhere. Any toughts or ideas so far?





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Beach Read (BCHRD) 3000 28.73 (-0.03)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 1000 41.59 (-0.10)          The Wild Robot Escapes (TWRB2) 149000 38.29 (+0.09)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 40000 24.20 (-0.57)          Anna Faris (AFARI) 25000 87.73 (+0.50)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 165 13.28 (0.00)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 5 3.97 (-0.02)          Teyana Taylor (TETAY) 25000 43.23 (+0.16)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 40 198.75 (0.00)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 120 17.77 (+0.02)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 150000 170.70 (+0.30)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 424.68 (-1.75)          The Saint (TSAIN) 4 4.57 (-0.01)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 3 28.27 (+0.03)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 150000 170.70 (+0.30)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 10000 30.90 (-1.71)          Voltron (VOLTN) 3 20.80 (-0.01)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 106854 25.49 (+0.01)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 3 46.68 (-0.06)          White Elephant (WELEP) 120 14.77 (+1.37)          The Last Druid (TLDRU) 150000 5.92 (+1.03)          White Lies (WHTLI) 739 10.41 (-1.82)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 66 66.17 (-0.06)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 3 37.36 (-0.03)          Wind River: The Next Chapter (WNRV2) 6 2.25 (+0.01)          Wind of Change (WNDOC) 3 4.22 (+0.01)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 64.50 (+4.50)          Without Blood (WOBLD) 700 2.28 (0.00)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 3 43.44 (-0.07)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 1100 55.26 (+0.14)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 150000 122.52 (+0.33)          The Invite (TINVT) 150000 19.65 (-0.07)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 23.59 (+0.12)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 23.59 (+0.12)          Moana H$100 Call (MOAN1.CA) 25000 2.89 (-0.08)          Regina Hall (RHALL) 25000 52.64 (+0.16)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 150000 488.97 (-0.75)          Fall 2: Deadpoint (FALL2) 150000 7.89 (+0.11)          Fall 2: Deadpoint (FALL2) 150000 7.89 (+0.11)          Jessica Henwick (JHENW) 120 10.20 (0.00)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 185 9.49 (0.00)          Jared Leto (JLETO) 25000 63.67 (0.00)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 14.83 (+0.67)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 750 118.58 (-0.02)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 14.83 (+0.67)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 150000 10.15 (+0.54)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 150000 10.15 (+0.54)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 4.63 (+0.53)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 4.63 (+0.53)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 150000 64.50 (+4.50)