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Playing & Trading Strategy

Well, here's my best guess for HGAM3....

Posted by: Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin on Dec 01, 17:32 in response to Dorfman's post So I'm trying out PVL Admins suggestions on Delist price...

http://boxofficemojo.com/showdowns/chart/?view=daily&id=katnisspotter.htm

I know this has been posted multiple times, but compare HGAME3 to Deathly Hallows pt 1 - they are $6M apart right now.  On trend, HGAME3 will delist about $11M higher, or slightly under $270 mil.

Then they will end up a question in Movie Mogul: Which movie earned more at the box office, and the answer will be HGAM3 by like $11m.

Wait - what was the question?

So I'm trying out PVL Admins suggestions on Delist price for HGAM3. Wanted others opinions Dorfman Dec 01, 12:07

Yeah, that's not going to work. It's obviously an exception. Besides, I have a better way to do it now that is not published yet. {nm} PVL Admin Dec 01, 13:32

...and there is a way to predict "limited" releases too... That's been useful for me. PVL Admin Dec 01, 13:39

So you think 329 is too high? {nm} Dorfman Dec 02, 05:41

LLook forward to seeing what you do publish {nm} Dorfman Dec 02, 06:22

Well, here's my best guess for HGAM3.... Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Dec 01, 17:32

Q. Who's on First? {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Dec 01, 17:53

+1 {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Dec 01, 18:20

Also compare the daily/weekend drop percentage with HGAM2, very close. So I'd use the delist multiplier for HGAM2 for HGAM3. {nm} JDolphin Dec 01, 21:01

Would be ~$275 million, right? {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Dec 01, 21:12

damn so still over valued.. hmmm {nm} Dorfman Dec 02, 05:42

Yes, And for Dorfman below, HGAM2 multiplier 2.26 {nm} JDolphin Dec 02, 13:46

Thanks {nm} Dorfman Dec 03, 07:58

What was HGAM2 delist multiplier? {nm} Dorfman Dec 02, 05:42

I appreciate all the responses. While I've been playing for a while I haven't done much with stocks after the OW adjust. Kept small port Dorfman Dec 02, 05:44

Frontloaded blockbusters and most horror films are great post-adjust shorts {nm} JDolphin Dec 02, 13:48

Didn't expect HGAM3 to be frontloaded.. Yeah I remember horror oare great post shorts. Thansk {nm} Dorfman Dec 03, 10:16

Almost all blockbusters are frontloaded - just look at the first 2 days. The higher Friday is than Saturday, the more it usually drops {nm} JDolphin Dec 03, 12:49

true.. {nm} Dorfman Dec 04, 05:28





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