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Playing & Trading Strategy

Almost all blockbusters are frontloaded - just look at the first 2 days. The higher Friday is than Saturday, the more it usually drops {nm}

Posted by: JDolphin on Dec 03, 12:49 in response to Dorfman's post Didn't expect HGAM3 to be frontloaded.. Yeah I remember...

So I'm trying out PVL Admins suggestions on Delist price for HGAM3. Wanted others opinions Dorfman Dec 01, 12:07

Yeah, that's not going to work. It's obviously an exception. Besides, I have a better way to do it now that is not published yet. {nm} PVL Admin Dec 01, 13:32

...and there is a way to predict "limited" releases too... That's been useful for me. PVL Admin Dec 01, 13:39

So you think 329 is too high? {nm} Dorfman Dec 02, 05:41

LLook forward to seeing what you do publish {nm} Dorfman Dec 02, 06:22

Well, here's my best guess for HGAM3.... Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Dec 01, 17:32

Q. Who's on First? {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Dec 01, 17:53

+1 {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Dec 01, 18:20

Also compare the daily/weekend drop percentage with HGAM2, very close. So I'd use the delist multiplier for HGAM2 for HGAM3. {nm} JDolphin Dec 01, 21:01

Would be ~$275 million, right? {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Dec 01, 21:12

damn so still over valued.. hmmm {nm} Dorfman Dec 02, 05:42

Yes, And for Dorfman below, HGAM2 multiplier 2.26 {nm} JDolphin Dec 02, 13:46

Thanks {nm} Dorfman Dec 03, 07:58

What was HGAM2 delist multiplier? {nm} Dorfman Dec 02, 05:42

I appreciate all the responses. While I've been playing for a while I haven't done much with stocks after the OW adjust. Kept small port Dorfman Dec 02, 05:44

Frontloaded blockbusters and most horror films are great post-adjust shorts {nm} JDolphin Dec 02, 13:48

Didn't expect HGAM3 to be frontloaded.. Yeah I remember horror oare great post shorts. Thansk {nm} Dorfman Dec 03, 10:16

Almost all blockbusters are frontloaded - just look at the first 2 days. The higher Friday is than Saturday, the more it usually drops JDolphin Dec 03, 12:49

true.. {nm} Dorfman Dec 04, 05:28





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Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 261 577.22 (-0.18)          I Play Rocky - Opening Weekend (IPROC.OW) 57000 15.00 (0.00)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 5000 10.63 (+0.78)          I Play Rocky H$15 Call (IPROC.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Robert De Niro (RDENI) 24999 35.79 (+0.12)          Jay Duplass (JDUPL) 2000 12.28 (+0.70)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.OW) 80000 90.00 (0.00)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Hole (THHOL) 135000 6.00 (0.00)          Beanie Feldstein (BFELD) 25000 38.73 (+0.25)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 500 117.87 (-3.53)          Beanie Feldstein (BFELD) 25000 38.73 (+0.25)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 20000 74.20 (+0.48)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 20000 36.64 (+1.15)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 20000 21.43 (+1.62)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 50000 117.87 (-3.53)          I Play Rocky H$15 Put (IPROC.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.OW) 110 90.00 (0.00)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 25000 8.67 (+0.54)          I Play Rocky H$15 Call (IPROC.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Dan Stevens (DSTEV) 4000 42.44 (-0.19)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 10.63 (+0.78)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 90000 38.33 (+0.19)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.OW) 9 90.00 (0.00)          The Hole (THHOL) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Lakeith Stanfield (LSTAN) 25000 8.08 (+0.30)          Rob Delaney (RDELA) 25000 93.95 (+0.25)          Snoop (SNOOP) 150000 38.71 (+0.10)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.OW) 25000 90.00 (0.00)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 5000 89.93 (-1.81)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.OW) 100000 90.00 (0.00)          I Play Rocky H$15 Put (IPROC.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          I Play Rocky - Opening Weekend (IPROC.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          I Play Rocky H$15 Put (IPROC.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Families Stone (FAMS2) 149999 42.60 (+0.15)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 5000 115.31 (-2.20)          I Play Rocky H$15 Call (IPROC.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 5000 115.31 (-2.20)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Hole (THHOL) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Savage Hunters aka Deathstroke & (DSTRK) 149999 43.23 (+0.14)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 11000 74.20 (+0.48)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 5000 92.81 (-2.30)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.OW) 100000 90.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 5000 92.81 (-2.30)