HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

Right now, it doesn't matter what it's total take is, only opening weekend.

Posted by: ndmaster (a.k.a JonHH) on Dec 11, 07:25 in response to platonm's post Selling stock at the right time

Once it adjusts, based on OW numbers, then the total take over the first four weeks will determine its price until delist. In other words, right now, its total speculation. After delist it is based on actual box office numbers.

The reason Avatar delisted higher and the others lower than adjust is that only Avatar had good "legs", or it performed better over the four week period than opening weekend predicted. This is called the internal multiplier or IM. The adjustment is supposed to give an estimate of where it will delist. If the movie does better than predicted by the formula (2.7*OW), then it will delist higher, if not, it will delist lower. It all comes down to whether or not the movie is front loaded or has good legs.





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Company (COMPN) 150000 9.38 (+0.79)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 25 158.75 (0.00)          Everytime (EVRTM) 33 0.27 (0.00)          Zero A.D.: The Birth of Christ (BTLHM) 150000 33.66 (-0.20)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 149997 6.75 (+0.90)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 41472 230.32 (+1.54)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 149993 6.75 (+0.90)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 100000 53.85 (+0.47)          Emily the Strange (EMILY) 150000 13.92 (-0.04)          Kristen Wiig (KWIIG) 25000 80.60 (-0.50)          April X (APRLX) 150000 1.12 (-0.03)          Samara Weaving (SAWEA) 22 6.53 (0.00)          Company (COMPN) 150000 9.38 (+0.79)          Insidious: Out of the Further - (NSID6.OW) 100000 26.98 (+0.29)          Corey Hawkins (CHAWK) 25000 69.18 (+0.25)          Company (COMPN) 150000 9.38 (+0.79)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 632 15.63 (+0.06)          Drifter (DRFTR) 149996 5.12 (+1.59)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 150000 46.95 (-2.73)          Drifter (DRFTR) 149993 5.12 (+1.59)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 150000 46.95 (-2.73)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 2000 4.00 (0.00)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 2000 6.00 (0.00)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 10000 7.57 (-1.07)          Helldivers (HELDV) 120000 111.76 (+1.03)          Late Fame (LTFAM) 9000 0.30 (+0.02)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 45 697.19 (+9.87)          Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 25000 59.32 (+0.33)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 110 697.19 (+9.87)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          The Fence (TCOTG) 1000 0.07 (+0.02)          Tony (TONY) 12026 14.92 (+0.11)          Drifter (DRFTR) 150000 5.12 (+1.59)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 50000 46.95 (-2.73)          Late Fame (LTFAM) 2026 0.30 (+0.02)          One Night Only (ONTON) 7 19.40 (-0.63)          Father Joe (FTJOE) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          The Weight (THEWT) 31000 8.46 (-0.02)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 10000 180.62 (+0.29)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 12 448.70 (+1.00)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 10000 7.57 (-1.07)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 150000 46.95 (-2.73)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 150000 46.95 (-2.73)          Hercules (HRCUL) 10000 14.93 (-0.02)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 1000 4.00 (0.00)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 150000 46.95 (-2.73)          Last Night At The Lobster (LNATL) 12026 4.00 (0.00)          Onwards and Sideways (OWASW) 150000 1.80 (-0.20)