HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

Batman V Superman executive summary: If you haven't already shorted it already what are you waiting for? Get on it yo!

Posted by: MattW on Mar 31, 00:38

Wednesday comes in at about 8.5 according to Rth.  Thursday close to that brings week 1 to a very nice round $210 million

Week 1: $209.8m

Weekend 2: 55-60 seems to be the consensus among industry sites giving weekend previews and predictions
Weekdays 2: 14-16 A hair above Furious 7 for its 2nd set of weekdays, probably too generous
Week 2:  70-75

Week 3: 32-42  (45-55% drop)

Weekend 4: 12-19  (45-55% drop)

Low end:
209+70+32+12=323

High end:
210+75+42+19=346

Given reviews, audience reception, and general expectations a 55% drop might be too soft for weeks 3 and 4.  But for the sake of not overstating things too much that's what I'll go with.  It's a clear short and could be even more of a short than I'm stating here.  

 

Current price: H$406
Delist H$346
100k shares shorted today = H$5.59m profit (after commission)
Divided by 18 days = H$310k per day





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Tyrant (TYRNT) 149999 20.46 (+0.42)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 5.11 (+0.48)          Rob Delaney (RDELA) 25000 92.94 (+0.25)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 22.61 (+0.47)          Nasty (NASTY) 150000 17.04 (+0.47)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 5.11 (+0.48)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 26.05 (+0.67)          Nasty (NASTY) 150000 17.04 (+0.47)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 5.11 (+0.48)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 26.05 (+0.67)          Wizards! (WIZRD) 150000 0.01 (0.00)          The Collaboration (COLAB) 150000 0.01 (0.00)          Molepeople (MOLEP) 150000 23.55 (+0.66)          Nasty (NASTY) 150000 17.04 (+0.47)          Nasty (NASTY) 150000 17.04 (+0.47)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 5.11 (+0.48)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 149999 5.11 (+0.48)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 3.66 (+0.19)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 3.66 (+0.19)          Molepeople (MOLEP) 150000 23.55 (+0.66)          Molepeople (MOLEP) 150000 23.55 (+0.66)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 5.11 (+0.48)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 150000 9.45 (+0.40)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 149999 9.45 (+0.40)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 22.61 (+0.47)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 22.61 (+0.47)          Molepeople (MOLEP) 150000 23.55 (+0.66)          Molepeople (MOLEP) 149999 23.55 (+0.66)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 8.32 (+0.32)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 10000 8.32 (+0.32)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 150000 26.05 (+0.67)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 149999 26.05 (+0.67)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 3.66 (+0.19)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 13.86 (+0.06)          Drummer Boy - Opening Weekend (DRUMB.OW) 100000 4.74 (+0.03)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 105.54 (0.00)          Tangles (TNGLS) 150000 2.61 (+0.12)          Tangles (TNGLS) 150000 2.61 (+0.12)          Jimmy (JIMYS) 150000 7.83 (+0.19)          Jimmy (JIMYS) 150000 7.83 (+0.19)          King (KING) 150000 3.18 (-0.34)          King (KING) 149999 3.18 (-0.34)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 5.11 (+0.48)          Nasty (NASTY) 149999 17.04 (+0.47)          Nasty (NASTY) 150000 17.04 (+0.47)          Tangles (TNGLS) 149999 2.61 (+0.12)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 8.47 (+0.25)          Tangles (TNGLS) 150000 2.61 (+0.12)          Jimmy (JIMYS) 149999 7.83 (+0.19)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 8.47 (+0.25)