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This kind of question is generally known as a 'gut check' and is only allowed on the day a movie opens. I can offer the following...

Posted by: MojaveMeg (a.k.a Mojave) on Jun 08, 20:40 in response to Jacob Hill's post Toy Story 3?

TOYS2 did $155 million in its first 4 weeks - including Thanksgiving weekend. (in 1999)

TOYS3 will include July 4th weekend in its run.

Your first concern will be the opening weekend adjust.  Right now it needs approx. $107 million over 3 days to meet its price.  The day before opening we'll get the actual screen count - should be somewhere over 3,000.  What else is currently in the theaters and how are they doing?  What is it opening against?

After adjust will it go up or down?  Most openers drop immediately, but may reverse within a day or two, particularly in the summer when kids are out of school.  What else is opening in the next 3 weeks?  How did it do opening weekend? 

These are some of the questions we all have to ask every week, and if we knew the answers we'd all be multi-billionairs :)  Do the research, watch the Movies Board for hints from the experts, and have fun.

 

 

 

 

Toy Story 3? Jacob Hill Jun 08, 16:46

This kind of question is generally known as a 'gut check' and is only allowed on the day a movie opens. I can offer the following... MojaveMeg Jun 08, 20:40





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Helldivers (HELDV) 10000 111.78 (-0.12)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 10000 103.50 (-0.09)          Shiver (SHVER) 100 86.48 (+0.15)          April X (APRLX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          April X (APRLX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 122044 291.89 (+0.36)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 2.32 (+0.59)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          April X (APRLX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 100000 305.10 (+0.75)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 159.00 (-1.43)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 7.36 (+0.73)          Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 20000 24.64 (+0.91)          Fuze (FUZE) 50001 4.68 (-0.09)          Ben Kingsley (BKING) 20000 14.75 (+0.08)          The Revenge of La Llorona (LORN2) 150000 23.87 (-0.08)          The Exorcist Film Directed by Mi (TEXO2) 100000 48.66 (+0.15)          Amandla Stenberg (ASTEN) 20000 61.44 (-0.05)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 16597 100.41 (-1.16)          J.K. Simmons (JKSIM) 25000 83.60 (-0.25)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 4654 74.91 (+0.48)          The Sheep Detectives H$15 Call (3BAGF.CA) 25000 2.58 (+0.17)          Mortal Kombat II H$40 Call (MKMB2.CA) 25000 3.88 (+0.36)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Comeback King (CMBKN) 150000 48.31 (-0.10)          April X (APRLX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Ben Foster (BFOST) 20000 2.17 (+0.04)          Remain (REMAN) 50000 64.90 (+0.06)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 7.36 (+0.73)          The Rescue (RSCUE) 50000 33.81 (-0.06)          Emory Cohen (ECOHE) 20000 24.97 (+0.10)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 10000 58.21 (-0.15)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 43.98 (-0.15)          White Elephant (WELEP) 500 18.00 (0.00)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 50000 35.91 (+0.03)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 2.32 (+0.59)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 10000 122.79 (-1.57)          April X (APRLX) 5000 2.00 (0.00)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 150000 9.53 (+0.49)          Finn Wolfhard (FWOLF) 20000 25.80 (-0.10)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 150000 9.53 (+0.49)          The Bookie & the Bruiser (TBATB) 150000 7.36 (+0.73)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 150000 31.52 (+0.16)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 25.87 (+0.12)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 57.84 (+3.85)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 43.68 (+0.06)          Little America (LITAM) 100000 0.15 (+0.02)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 100000 7.46 (-0.16)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 57.84 (+3.85)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 57.84 (+3.85)