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Thank you for the proper formulas...are there any important variables that may affect the numbers

Posted by: NLitend1 (a.k.a NLitend2) on Apr 20, 07:50 in response to Oleg Max's post of course it is all guestimate, but here is my take

Are those standard weekly drops? do certain types of movies drop more (eg. Scream4 isn't expected to hold well)?

The article states that marketing was/is badly done, is that a factor to consider? The grassroots marketing, on the other hand is strong--is there an historic reference to this and how does that affect the hold? What about the reviews, does that have a formula, and if so, do they make a distinction between audience reviews and critics' reviews? Finally, the exec says that the expansion is coming, but how well can that be trusted given its source? It seems a bit sketchy that they say they lacked to the film prints...maybe they are trying to manipulate the expansion.





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The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 30 0.75 (0.00)          The Catch (TCATC) 5000 54.61 (+0.62)          Ibelin (IBELN) 30000 6.36 (-0.48)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 20000 12.12 (+0.54)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 30 0.75 (0.00)          Michael (MJACK) 1 244.13 (+0.16)          Michael (MJACK) 6 244.13 (+0.16)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 25000 10.24 (+0.76)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 20000 13.14 (+1.04)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 54.61 (+0.62)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 100 160.74 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 100000 200.82 (+0.93)          The Catch (TCATC) 20000 54.61 (+0.62)          The Catch (TCATC) 60000 54.61 (+0.62)          Adam Sandler (ASAND) 10 97.57 (0.00)          Ibelin (IBELN) 30000 6.36 (-0.48)          50 Cent Curtis Jackson (50CEN) 1 51.72 (0.00)          Michael (MJACK) 10 244.13 (+0.16)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 54.61 (+0.62)          Them (THEM) 150000 40.98 (+0.98)          The Catch (TCATC) 100000 54.61 (+0.62)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 861 77.59 (0.00)          Thumb (THUM) 1000 5.00 (+0.05)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 500 67.77 (-0.12)          Hershey (HERSH) 10000 14.87 (-0.02)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 999 72.22 (-0.25)          Ibelin (IBELN) 150000 6.36 (-0.48)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 13.14 (+1.04)          Cold War 1994 (CWAR3) 150000 0.58 (0.00)          Affection (AFECT) 150000 0.22 (-0.02)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 200.82 (+0.93)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 200.82 (+0.93)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 7.28 (+0.39)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 7.28 (+0.39)          Them (THEM) 150000 40.98 (+0.98)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 150000 10.24 (+0.76)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 12.12 (+0.54)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 4.65 (+0.03)          Taylor Swift (TSWIF) 25000 57.14 (+0.16)          Them (THEM) 150000 40.98 (+0.98)          Bad Bunny (BBUNN) 2 42.25 (-0.16)          In the Grey (NGREY) 5 19.53 (+0.67)          Bad Bunny (BBUNN) 1 42.25 (-0.16)          Michael (MJACK) 4 244.13 (+0.16)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 20000 13.14 (+1.04)          Remain (REMAN) 25 64.94 (+0.10)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 1 14.14 (+0.85)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 150 101.98 (+0.41)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 3 13.14 (+1.04)          Sope Dirisu (SDIRI) 25000 13.16 (-0.10)