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Thank you for the proper formulas...are there any important variables that may affect the numbers

Posted by: NLitend1 (a.k.a NLitend2) on Apr 20, 07:50 in response to Oleg Max's post of course it is all guestimate, but here is my take

Are those standard weekly drops? do certain types of movies drop more (eg. Scream4 isn't expected to hold well)?

The article states that marketing was/is badly done, is that a factor to consider? The grassroots marketing, on the other hand is strong--is there an historic reference to this and how does that affect the hold? What about the reviews, does that have a formula, and if so, do they make a distinction between audience reviews and critics' reviews? Finally, the exec says that the expansion is coming, but how well can that be trusted given its source? It seems a bit sketchy that they say they lacked to the film prints...maybe they are trying to manipulate the expansion.





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Ed Harris (EHARR) 25000 52.55 (-0.16)          Domhnall Gleeson (DGLEE) 25000 86.66 (-0.25)          Tiffany Haddish (THADD) 25000 51.30 (-0.16)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 150000 4.55 (+0.01)          Jason Statham (JSTAT) 9000 32.26 (+0.42)          Jason Statham (JSTAT) 25000 32.26 (+0.42)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 150000 4.55 (+0.01)          Oprah Winfrey (OWINF) 25000 48.53 (-0.66)          Oprah Winfrey (OWINF) 25000 48.53 (-0.66)          Oprah Winfrey (OWINF) 25000 48.53 (-0.66)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 327 259.35 (0.00)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 24979 75.64 (+0.04)          Leo Woodall (LWOOD) 25000 11.49 (+0.10)          Jason Statham (JSTAT) 25000 32.26 (+0.42)          Jason Statham (JSTAT) 25000 32.26 (+0.42)          Verity H$25 Put (VERTY.PU) 25000 1.93 (-0.07)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.23 (+0.23)          Eva Victor (EVICT) 25000 3.33 (+0.05)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.37 (+0.37)          Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 25000 2.18 (+0.18)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 2.02 (+0.02)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 100000 24.45 (-0.55)          Dominic Sessa (DSESS) 25000 24.15 (-0.12)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 25000 5.47 (+0.01)          Annabelle Wallis (AWALL) 25000 37.88 (+0.12)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 70000 71.52 (-1.10)          Andrew Garfield (AGARF) 25000 56.17 (-0.16)          Anna Faris (AFARI) 25000 69.50 (0.00)          Antonio Banderas (ABAND) 25000 53.14 (+0.16)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 150000 6.19 (+0.11)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 150000 6.19 (+0.11)          Stiletto (STLTO) 1 2.72 (0.00)          Seasons (SEASN) 150000 24.87 (+0.07)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 2000 155.62 (-0.12)          Artificial (AIFIC) 1 20.98 (-0.37)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 2000 162.53 (0.00)          Resident Evil H$40 Call (RESE8.CA) 25000 4.65 (+0.03)          April X (APRLX) 150000 1.06 (+0.02)          The Edge Of Normal (TEONM) 149999 2.15 (+0.12)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 149999 12.09 (+0.98)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 75000 17.99 (+1.17)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 50000 25.37 (+0.37)          Verity H$25 Put (VERTY.PU) 25000 1.93 (-0.07)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.23 (+0.23)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 100000 24.45 (-0.55)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 2.02 (+0.02)          Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 25000 2.18 (+0.18)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 1.84 (-0.16)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 1250 93.42 (+0.62)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 150000 18.30 (+0.03)