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Thank you for the proper formulas...are there any important variables that may affect the numbers

Posted by: NLitend1 (a.k.a NLitend2) on Apr 20, 07:50 in response to Oleg Max's post of course it is all guestimate, but here is my take

Are those standard weekly drops? do certain types of movies drop more (eg. Scream4 isn't expected to hold well)?

The article states that marketing was/is badly done, is that a factor to consider? The grassroots marketing, on the other hand is strong--is there an historic reference to this and how does that affect the hold? What about the reviews, does that have a formula, and if so, do they make a distinction between audience reviews and critics' reviews? Finally, the exec says that the expansion is coming, but how well can that be trusted given its source? It seems a bit sketchy that they say they lacked to the film prints...maybe they are trying to manipulate the expansion.





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Charlotte Rampling (CRAMP) 25000 51.43 (-0.33)          Charlotte Rampling (CRAMP) 25000 51.43 (-0.33)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 17.70 (+0.19)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 50000 10.00 (0.00)          Please (PLESE) 150000 22.32 (+0.50)          The Worst (TWORS) 150000 7.02 (+0.10)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 150000 6.54 (+0.50)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 13.96 (+0.75)          Buddy (BUDDY) 150000 7.92 (+1.08)          When Darkness Loves Us (WDLUS) 150000 7.86 (+0.09)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 10.25 (+0.97)          Buddy (BUDDY) 150000 7.92 (+1.08)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.85 (+0.85)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 1.92 (-0.08)          Bradley Cooper (BCOOP) 100 131.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 306.12 (-1.15)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.85 (+0.85)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.55 (+0.55)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 1 410.23 (+0.94)          David Jonsson (DJONS) 25000 39.31 (-0.25)          David Jonsson (DJONS) 25000 39.31 (-0.25)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          RuPaul (RUPAU) 25000 25.69 (-0.12)          RuPaul (RUPAU) 25000 25.69 (-0.12)          Young Washington H$10 Put (YWASH.PU) 10000 1.83 (-0.17)          Joel McHale (JMCHA) 25000 29.98 (-0.12)          Joel McHale (JMCHA) 25000 29.98 (-0.12)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 10000 1.92 (-0.08)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Adam Shankman (ASHAN) 25000 65.59 (-0.50)          Adam Shankman (ASHAN) 25000 65.59 (-0.50)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Steven Spielberg (SSPIE) 25000 42.03 (-0.50)          Steven Spielberg (SSPIE) 25000 42.03 (-0.50)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 95000 10.00 (0.00)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 10000 10.20 (+0.20)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 150000 25.53 (+0.40)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 10000 75.85 (+0.85)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 150000 25.53 (+0.40)          Lice (LICE) 10000 3.76 (-0.24)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 17.32 (+0.30)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 17.32 (+0.30)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 6559 10.00 (0.00)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 3000 43.87 (+0.03)          Chris Rock (CROCK) 25000 21.06 (+0.12)          Chris Rock (CROCK) 25000 21.06 (+0.12)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Bill Hader (BHADE) 25000 63.43 (-0.50)