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Thank you for the proper formulas...are there any important variables that may affect the numbers

Posted by: NLitend1 (a.k.a NLitend2) on Apr 20, 07:50 in response to Oleg Max's post of course it is all guestimate, but here is my take

Are those standard weekly drops? do certain types of movies drop more (eg. Scream4 isn't expected to hold well)?

The article states that marketing was/is badly done, is that a factor to consider? The grassroots marketing, on the other hand is strong--is there an historic reference to this and how does that affect the hold? What about the reviews, does that have a formula, and if so, do they make a distinction between audience reviews and critics' reviews? Finally, the exec says that the expansion is coming, but how well can that be trusted given its source? It seems a bit sketchy that they say they lacked to the film prints...maybe they are trying to manipulate the expansion.





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Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 150000 110.71 (+2.91)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 3 110.71 (+2.91)          In the Grey (NGREY) 2 15.79 (+1.18)          Monopoly (MONOP) 1 12.34 (+0.86)          Jane (JANE1) 1 14.31 (+0.85)          Naruto (NARUT) 1 20.53 (+0.57)          Obsession (OBSSN) 150000 16.68 (-0.96)          Obsession (OBSSN) 150000 16.68 (-0.96)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 150000 110.71 (+2.91)          Blade (BLAD1) 100000 40.78 (-0.47)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 76.54 (-3.19)          In the Grey (NGREY) 150000 15.79 (+1.18)          Monopoly (MONOP) 150000 12.34 (+0.86)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 14.31 (+0.85)          Naruto (NARUT) 150000 20.53 (+0.57)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 60000 26.29 (-0.98)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 26.29 (-0.98)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 1565 2.39 (+0.50)          Audition (AUDTN) 121477 4.00 (0.00)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 20000 306.15 (-1.03)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 33 110.71 (+2.91)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 5.08 (+1.37)          Kill Bill: The Whole Bloody Affa (KBWBA) 178 20.92 (-0.85)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 5.08 (+1.37)          A House of Dynamite (AHODN) 150000 0.13 (+0.02)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 25000 2.32 (-0.18)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 25000 2.32 (-0.18)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 40000 26.29 (-0.98)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 100387 359.22 (-1.02)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 40000 16.27 (+1.11)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Merrily We Roll Along (MWRAL) 137650 4.30 (+0.45)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.17 (-0.40)          The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 20000 46.42 (-0.02)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.17 (-0.40)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 94712 1.78 (-0.22)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.17 (-0.40)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 150000 49.52 (+0.11)          The Family Business Fund V (GENES) 20000 98.18 (+0.02)          The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 20000 38.98 (-0.02)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 75000 41.92 (-0.12)          Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Trans (LGBTQ) 20000 90.72 (+0.07)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 100000 110.71 (+2.91)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)