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Thank you for the proper formulas...are there any important variables that may affect the numbers

Posted by: NLitend1 (a.k.a NLitend2) on Apr 20, 07:50 in response to Oleg Max's post of course it is all guestimate, but here is my take

Are those standard weekly drops? do certain types of movies drop more (eg. Scream4 isn't expected to hold well)?

The article states that marketing was/is badly done, is that a factor to consider? The grassroots marketing, on the other hand is strong--is there an historic reference to this and how does that affect the hold? What about the reviews, does that have a formula, and if so, do they make a distinction between audience reviews and critics' reviews? Finally, the exec says that the expansion is coming, but how well can that be trusted given its source? It seems a bit sketchy that they say they lacked to the film prints...maybe they are trying to manipulate the expansion.





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Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 5.32 (-0.80)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 144208 101.95 (+1.95)          Photograph 51 (PHO51) 150000 7.80 (+0.58)          Photograph 51 (PHO51) 150000 7.80 (+0.58)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 150000 15.90 (+0.34)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 150000 15.90 (+0.34)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 149999 120.79 (+0.73)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 101.95 (+1.95)          Hexed (HEXED) 25000 106.15 (+0.61)          Owen Wilson (OWILS) 25000 20.31 (+0.12)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 5.32 (-0.80)          Single Female (SIFEM) 100000 19.90 (-0.18)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 101.95 (+1.95)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 25000 9.16 (-0.37)          Cameron Winter at Carnegie Hall (CWACH) 150000 1.12 (-0.02)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 25000 4.37 (-0.61)          Best Pancakes in the County (BPITC) 150000 1.25 (-0.02)          Turpentine (TURPN) 25000 7.69 (+0.79)          Photograph 51 (PHO51) 25000 7.80 (+0.58)          The Kids Fund (KIDS) 20000 22.09 (-0.01)          Jason Schwartzman (JSCHW) 25000 4.20 (-0.10)          Turpentine (TURPN) 150000 7.69 (+0.79)          Jason Schwartzman (JSCHW) 25000 4.20 (-0.10)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 150000 27.03 (+1.39)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 5.32 (-0.80)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 150000 27.03 (+1.39)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 150000 4.37 (-0.61)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 5.32 (-0.80)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 3.27 (+0.08)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 150000 4.37 (-0.61)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 3.27 (+0.08)          Single Female (SIFEM) 150000 19.90 (-0.18)          Nico Bravo (NBRVO) 50000 51.39 (-0.20)          Donkey (DONKE) 25000 159.81 (+0.05)          Owen Wilson (OWILS) 25000 20.31 (+0.12)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 150000 206.67 (-0.33)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 150000 89.55 (+0.41)          Turpentine (TURPN) 150000 7.69 (+0.79)          Hexed (HEXED) 150000 106.15 (+0.61)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 106.23 (+0.23)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 150000 9.16 (-0.37)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 101.95 (+1.95)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 112869 5.32 (-0.80)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 37131 5.32 (-0.80)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 5.32 (-0.80)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 89087 101.95 (+1.95)          Nasty (NASTY) 50000 16.40 (-0.39)          Molepeople (MOLEP) 100000 22.77 (-0.32)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 100000 5.32 (-0.80)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 49999 5.32 (-0.80)