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oh boy, way too many questions...

Posted by: Oleg Max (a.k.a Oleg_Max) on Apr 20, 07:58 in response to NLitend1's post Thank you for the proper formulas...are there any...

i'll answer some of them.

each movie drops differently.  it is possible that drops could be more than 30% and 40% that I've assumed (or less).  some movies in a particular genre are known for big drops (sci-fi, horror, etc) but there are always exceptions.  just look at nsidi drops.  remarkable.

so, you can go for a worse case scenario, lets say 50% drops each weekend, and see what final gustimate will be, or you can plug in better case scenario, only 25% drops and see what happens.  i just picked something in the middle.  next weekend's take should tell the tale.  if movie (per screen avg) drops a lot, they might not be more aggressive expansion in week 3...  just keep your eyes open.





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Naomie Harris (NHARR) 1106 96.75 (-0.51)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 30 0.75 (0.00)          The Catch (TCATC) 5000 54.61 (+0.62)          Ibelin (IBELN) 30000 6.36 (-0.48)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 20000 12.12 (+0.54)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 30 0.75 (0.00)          Michael (MJACK) 1 244.13 (+0.16)          Michael (MJACK) 6 244.13 (+0.16)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 25000 10.24 (+0.76)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 20000 13.14 (+1.04)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 54.61 (+0.62)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 100 160.74 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 100000 200.82 (+0.93)          The Catch (TCATC) 20000 54.61 (+0.62)          The Catch (TCATC) 60000 54.61 (+0.62)          Adam Sandler (ASAND) 10 97.57 (0.00)          Ibelin (IBELN) 30000 6.36 (-0.48)          50 Cent Curtis Jackson (50CEN) 1 51.72 (0.00)          Michael (MJACK) 10 244.13 (+0.16)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 54.61 (+0.62)          Them (THEM) 150000 40.98 (+0.98)          The Catch (TCATC) 100000 54.61 (+0.62)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 861 77.59 (0.00)          Thumb (THUM) 1000 5.00 (+0.05)          Gladys aka Weapons prequel (WEPN2) 500 67.77 (-0.12)          Hershey (HERSH) 10000 14.87 (-0.02)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 999 72.22 (-0.25)          Ibelin (IBELN) 150000 6.36 (-0.48)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 13.14 (+1.04)          Cold War 1994 (CWAR3) 150000 0.58 (0.00)          Affection (AFECT) 150000 0.22 (-0.02)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 200.82 (+0.93)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 200.82 (+0.93)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 7.28 (+0.39)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 7.28 (+0.39)          Them (THEM) 150000 40.98 (+0.98)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 150000 10.24 (+0.76)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 12.12 (+0.54)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 4.65 (+0.03)          Taylor Swift (TSWIF) 25000 57.14 (+0.16)          Them (THEM) 150000 40.98 (+0.98)          Bad Bunny (BBUNN) 2 42.25 (-0.16)          In the Grey (NGREY) 5 19.53 (+0.67)          Bad Bunny (BBUNN) 1 42.25 (-0.16)          Michael (MJACK) 4 244.13 (+0.16)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 20000 13.14 (+1.04)          Remain (REMAN) 25 64.94 (+0.10)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 1 14.14 (+0.85)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 150 101.98 (+0.41)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 3 13.14 (+1.04)