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Movies

oh boy, way too many questions...

Posted by: Oleg Max (a.k.a Oleg_Max) on Apr 20, 07:58 in response to NLitend1's post Thank you for the proper formulas...are there any...

i'll answer some of them.

each movie drops differently.  it is possible that drops could be more than 30% and 40% that I've assumed (or less).  some movies in a particular genre are known for big drops (sci-fi, horror, etc) but there are always exceptions.  just look at nsidi drops.  remarkable.

so, you can go for a worse case scenario, lets say 50% drops each weekend, and see what final gustimate will be, or you can plug in better case scenario, only 25% drops and see what happens.  i just picked something in the middle.  next weekend's take should tell the tale.  if movie (per screen avg) drops a lot, they might not be more aggressive expansion in week 3...  just keep your eyes open.





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Soulm8te (SOM8T) 4611 14.77 (-2.10)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 1500 105.86 (-0.01)          The Chronology of Water (CHROW) 150000 0.54 (-0.03)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 2000 105.86 (-0.01)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Glenn Close (GCLOS) 25000 6.00 (+0.03)          Merrily We Roll Along (MWRAL) 150000 4.34 (+0.49)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 5000 105.86 (-0.01)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 150000 1.71 (-0.29)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 25000 30.47 (+0.06)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Kill Bill: The Whole Bloody Affa (KBWBA) 150000 20.84 (-0.93)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 9.06 (-0.94)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 2.40 (+0.51)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 23.07 (-2.29)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.15 (-0.42)          The Housemaid H$20 Put (HMAID.PU) 25000 1.40 (-0.11)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 19.71 (-0.52)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 23.20 (+0.51)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 25000 3.04 (+0.15)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 2.61 (+0.18)          Fackham Hall (FACKH) 150000 5.57 (-0.81)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 202 257.88 (-1.62)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 26.09 (-1.18)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 25000 2.28 (-0.22)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 1.79 (+0.09)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 128.64 (+1.50)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 136923 9.06 (-0.94)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 3.10 (+0.22)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 5.40 (-0.28)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 123963 5.11 (+1.40)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 4202 257.88 (-1.62)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 27 2.15 (-0.42)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 150000 16.22 (+1.06)          Not Without Hope (NWOHP) 100000 0.02 (-0.01)          Atropia (ATROP) 150000 2.08 (+0.01)          Paul Greengrass (PGREE) 19716 80.22 (-0.44)          Emily Watson (EWATS) 25000 16.54 (-0.30)          Katy O'Brian (KOBRI) 25000 133.53 (+0.66)          100 Nights of Hero (100NH) 150000 7.85 (-0.13)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 150000 21.11 (+0.80)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 150000 13.24 (+0.48)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 9.06 (-0.94)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 2.40 (+0.51)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 23.07 (-2.29)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 150000 38.26 (-0.13)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.15 (-0.42)