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Movies

oh boy, way too many questions...

Posted by: Oleg Max (a.k.a Oleg_Max) on Apr 20, 07:58 in response to NLitend1's post Thank you for the proper formulas...are there any...

i'll answer some of them.

each movie drops differently.  it is possible that drops could be more than 30% and 40% that I've assumed (or less).  some movies in a particular genre are known for big drops (sci-fi, horror, etc) but there are always exceptions.  just look at nsidi drops.  remarkable.

so, you can go for a worse case scenario, lets say 50% drops each weekend, and see what final gustimate will be, or you can plug in better case scenario, only 25% drops and see what happens.  i just picked something in the middle.  next weekend's take should tell the tale.  if movie (per screen avg) drops a lot, they might not be more aggressive expansion in week 3...  just keep your eyes open.





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Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 5.32 (-0.80)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 144208 101.95 (+1.95)          Photograph 51 (PHO51) 150000 7.80 (+0.58)          Photograph 51 (PHO51) 150000 7.80 (+0.58)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 150000 15.90 (+0.34)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 150000 15.90 (+0.34)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 149999 120.79 (+0.73)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 101.95 (+1.95)          Hexed (HEXED) 25000 106.15 (+0.61)          Owen Wilson (OWILS) 25000 20.31 (+0.12)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 5.32 (-0.80)          Single Female (SIFEM) 100000 19.90 (-0.18)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 101.95 (+1.95)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 25000 9.16 (-0.37)          Cameron Winter at Carnegie Hall (CWACH) 150000 1.12 (-0.02)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 25000 4.37 (-0.61)          Best Pancakes in the County (BPITC) 150000 1.25 (-0.02)          Turpentine (TURPN) 25000 7.69 (+0.79)          Photograph 51 (PHO51) 25000 7.80 (+0.58)          The Kids Fund (KIDS) 20000 22.09 (-0.01)          Jason Schwartzman (JSCHW) 25000 4.20 (-0.10)          Turpentine (TURPN) 150000 7.69 (+0.79)          Jason Schwartzman (JSCHW) 25000 4.20 (-0.10)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 150000 27.03 (+1.39)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 5.32 (-0.80)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 150000 27.03 (+1.39)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 150000 4.37 (-0.61)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 5.32 (-0.80)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 3.27 (+0.08)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 150000 4.37 (-0.61)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 3.27 (+0.08)          Single Female (SIFEM) 150000 19.90 (-0.18)          Nico Bravo (NBRVO) 50000 51.39 (-0.20)          Donkey (DONKE) 25000 159.81 (+0.05)          Owen Wilson (OWILS) 25000 20.31 (+0.12)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 150000 206.67 (-0.33)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 150000 89.55 (+0.41)          Turpentine (TURPN) 150000 7.69 (+0.79)          Hexed (HEXED) 150000 106.15 (+0.61)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 106.23 (+0.23)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 150000 9.16 (-0.37)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 101.95 (+1.95)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 112869 5.32 (-0.80)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 37131 5.32 (-0.80)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 5.32 (-0.80)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 89087 101.95 (+1.95)          Nasty (NASTY) 50000 16.40 (-0.39)          Molepeople (MOLEP) 100000 22.77 (-0.32)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 100000 5.32 (-0.80)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 49999 5.32 (-0.80)