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Movies

oh boy, way too many questions...

Posted by: Oleg Max (a.k.a Oleg_Max) on Apr 20, 07:58 in response to NLitend1's post Thank you for the proper formulas...are there any...

i'll answer some of them.

each movie drops differently.  it is possible that drops could be more than 30% and 40% that I've assumed (or less).  some movies in a particular genre are known for big drops (sci-fi, horror, etc) but there are always exceptions.  just look at nsidi drops.  remarkable.

so, you can go for a worse case scenario, lets say 50% drops each weekend, and see what final gustimate will be, or you can plug in better case scenario, only 25% drops and see what happens.  i just picked something in the middle.  next weekend's take should tell the tale.  if movie (per screen avg) drops a lot, they might not be more aggressive expansion in week 3...  just keep your eyes open.





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When Darkness Loves Us (WDLUS) 150000 7.86 (+0.09)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 10.25 (+0.97)          Buddy (BUDDY) 150000 7.92 (+1.08)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.85 (+0.85)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 1.92 (-0.08)          Bradley Cooper (BCOOP) 100 131.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 306.12 (-1.15)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.85 (+0.85)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.55 (+0.55)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 1 410.23 (+0.94)          David Jonsson (DJONS) 25000 39.31 (-0.25)          David Jonsson (DJONS) 25000 39.31 (-0.25)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          RuPaul (RUPAU) 25000 25.69 (-0.12)          RuPaul (RUPAU) 25000 25.69 (-0.12)          Young Washington H$10 Put (YWASH.PU) 10000 1.83 (-0.17)          Joel McHale (JMCHA) 25000 29.98 (-0.12)          Joel McHale (JMCHA) 25000 29.98 (-0.12)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 10000 1.92 (-0.08)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Adam Shankman (ASHAN) 25000 65.59 (-0.50)          Adam Shankman (ASHAN) 25000 65.59 (-0.50)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Steven Spielberg (SSPIE) 25000 42.03 (-0.50)          Steven Spielberg (SSPIE) 25000 42.03 (-0.50)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 95000 10.00 (0.00)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 10000 10.20 (+0.20)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 150000 25.53 (+0.40)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 10000 75.85 (+0.85)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 150000 25.53 (+0.40)          Lice (LICE) 10000 3.76 (-0.24)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 17.32 (+0.30)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 17.32 (+0.30)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 6559 10.00 (0.00)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 3000 43.87 (+0.03)          Chris Rock (CROCK) 25000 21.06 (+0.12)          Chris Rock (CROCK) 25000 21.06 (+0.12)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Bill Hader (BHADE) 25000 63.43 (-0.50)          Bill Hader (BHADE) 25000 63.43 (-0.50)          Backrooms (BACRM) 10000 165.29 (+0.24)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 3.97 (-0.34)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 3.97 (-0.34)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 10.25 (+0.97)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 10.25 (+0.97)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 13.73 (-0.08)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 13.73 (-0.08)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)