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Movies

oh boy, way too many questions...

Posted by: Oleg Max (a.k.a Oleg_Max) on Apr 20, 07:58 in response to NLitend1's post Thank you for the proper formulas...are there any...

i'll answer some of them.

each movie drops differently.  it is possible that drops could be more than 30% and 40% that I've assumed (or less).  some movies in a particular genre are known for big drops (sci-fi, horror, etc) but there are always exceptions.  just look at nsidi drops.  remarkable.

so, you can go for a worse case scenario, lets say 50% drops each weekend, and see what final gustimate will be, or you can plug in better case scenario, only 25% drops and see what happens.  i just picked something in the middle.  next weekend's take should tell the tale.  if movie (per screen avg) drops a lot, they might not be more aggressive expansion in week 3...  just keep your eyes open.





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John Rambo (RAMB6) 7000 35.76 (-0.12)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 2665 35.76 (-0.12)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 31000 30.11 (-0.15)          Rihanna documentary (RHANA) 150000 1.17 (+0.08)          Rihanna documentary (RHANA) 150000 1.17 (+0.08)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 5000 46.33 (-0.15)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 150000 29.07 (+0.30)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 40000 23.40 (-0.25)          Mile End Kicks (MILEK) 150000 0.84 (+0.07)          Mile End Kicks (MILEK) 150000 0.84 (+0.07)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 149999 10.23 (+0.38)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 150000 10.23 (+0.38)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 10000 103.35 (-0.46)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 6000 103.35 (-0.46)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 5000 495.00 (-0.56)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 8000 17.09 (-1.07)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 7.07 (+1.10)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 7.07 (+1.10)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 149999 15.73 (+0.68)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 15.73 (+0.68)          The Pout-pout Fish (POUTF) 150000 2.16 (+0.36)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 20000 135.75 (-1.23)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 20000 209.78 (+1.95)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 150000 23.40 (-0.25)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 3000 262.17 (+1.50)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 150000 23.40 (-0.25)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 120000 21.92 (+2.29)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 25000 20.00 (0.00)          Forbidden Fruits (FRBDF) 150000 2.71 (+0.15)          Forbidden Fruits (FRBDF) 150000 2.71 (+0.15)          Baton (BATON) 150000 6.08 (+0.15)          The Pout-pout Fish (POUTF) 150000 2.16 (+0.36)          The Pout-pout Fish (POUTF) 150000 2.16 (+0.36)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 20000 100.40 (-2.75)          Tow (TOW) 150000 2.49 (-0.07)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 150000 219.59 (+0.96)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 105000 95.56 (+0.99)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 55000 95.56 (+0.99)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 25000 137.74 (+0.66)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 150000 219.59 (+0.96)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 146.05 (+1.05)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 11.34 (+0.37)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 150000 21.92 (+2.29)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Weight (THEWT) 25000 7.07 (+1.10)          Phil Lord (PLORD) 25000 180.42 (0.00)          Christopher Miller (CMILL) 25000 184.60 (+0.50)          The Drama - Opening Weekend (TDRAM.OW) 100000 15.64 (+0.64)