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Is 19 far enough below mid 20s for "the rule" to kick in? {nm}

Posted by: second gary (a.k.a 80181597) on Nov 07, 17:42 in response to xiayun's post So not great news for J&J; the two trackings are...

Rs mid 20s jack and Immortals. Low teens Edgar {nm} notfabio Nov 07, 15:53

Tagging RS: [JAJIL] [IMRTL] [HOOVR] {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 07, 16:03

So not great news for J&J; the two trackings are close for the other two, so they could go anywhere xiayun Nov 07, 16:04

Is 19 far enough below mid 20s for "the rule" to kick in? second gary Nov 07, 17:42

It's over 25%, so could be considered significant, especially with MTC being lower {nm} xiayun Nov 07, 18:03

sorry actually 24% {nm} xiayun Nov 07, 18:03

The Shawn/RT-Flixster number for JAJIL is low, too: 4.9k. {nm} second gary Nov 07, 18:08

It's been low for pretty much everything recently (even adjusting for movies coming in for OW lower than expected). Maybe less traffic {nm} GMov Nov 07, 18:11

I think the number for HAKU3 was ballparky, around 13k-15k. The TWRHS number was under 10k. {nm} second gary Nov 07, 18:14

So is this just saying that we can't be 100% sure using this method? {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 07, 18:21

Well, this "method" began as a coincidence group one week in the summer and a lark. But last week I felt my own suspicions about TWRHS... second gary Nov 07, 18:29

Ah, I see. Is there any way to actually get those figures for myself (and do some "research" on future movies using that method)? {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 07, 19:04

Sure: this is the number on any given film's page at Rotten Tomatoes, the "user ratings" number below the large-font percentage #. second gary Nov 07, 20:32

Thanks for that, Gary. I'll have a play around with it. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 07, 22:29

So why did it go up $5 after I left my computer? {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Nov 07, 19:28

RS numbers. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 07, 19:57

But MTC is below RS and according to xiayun, that's bad. {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Nov 07, 20:15

Yes, but RS numbers were posted *after* MTC. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 07, 20:31

Now it's going back down accordingly. {nm} Jay_Beezy Nov 08, 04:01





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Superman H$125 Call (SUPRM.CA) 25000 5.48 (+0.03)          Superman - Opening Weekend (SUPRM.OW) 100000 125.96 (+0.12)          Featherwood (FTHRW) 150000 10.08 (+0.75)          Sound of Falling (SOFAL) 150000 0.91 (-0.09)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 150000 16.03 (+0.06)          Ralph Fiennes (RFIEN) 25000 23.48 (+0.12)          Jack O'Connell (JAOCO) 25000 49.02 (-0.16)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 150000 67.88 (-0.19)          Sound of Falling (SOFAL) 150000 0.91 (-0.09)          Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 150000 24.79 (-0.20)          The Authority (AUTHO) 5000 24.07 (-0.02)          Alpha Gang (ALPHG) 150000 3.11 (-0.02)          Artificial (AIFIC) 50000 27.28 (+0.89)          Artificial (AIFIC) 50000 27.28 (+0.89)          Featherwood (FTHRW) 150000 10.08 (+0.75)          Featherwood (FTHRW) 150000 10.08 (+0.75)          Bunker (BUNKR) 150000 6.65 (-0.36)          Bunker (BUNKR) 150000 6.65 (-0.36)          7 Dogs (7DOGS) 150000 1.61 (+0.02)          100 Nights of Hero (100NH) 1 15.15 (0.00)          The Long Walk (TLWLK) 4 36.51 (+0.03)          The Fantastic Four: First Steps (FANF2) 3 237.51 (0.00)          Nick Offerman (NOFFE) 25000 54.80 (+0.34)          Nick Offerman (NOFFE) 25000 54.80 (+0.34)          Brian (BRIAN) 149999 4.21 (+0.35)          Brian (BRIAN) 150000 4.21 (+0.35)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 149999 20.59 (+0.36)          Pierce Brosnan (PBROS) 25000 50.85 (+0.33)          Pierce Brosnan (PBROS) 25000 50.85 (+0.33)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 150000 20.59 (+0.36)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 45 294.82 (-0.01)          Brian (BRIAN) 75000 4.21 (+0.35)          The Home (THOME) 149999 7.75 (+0.49)          David (DAVID) 149999 48.42 (+0.64)          Featherwood (FTHRW) 75000 10.08 (+0.75)          Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 25000 71.55 (+0.50)          David (DAVID) 150000 48.42 (+0.64)          I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4.CA) 24999 1.64 (+0.02)          Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 25000 71.55 (+0.50)          Smurfs H$20 Call (SMRF4.CA) 24999 2.60 (+0.02)          The Home (THOME) 149999 7.75 (+0.49)          The Home (THOME) 150000 7.75 (+0.49)          Featherwood (FTHRW) 149999 10.08 (+0.75)          Featherwood (FTHRW) 150000 10.08 (+0.75)          Vincent Cassel (VCASS) 25000 36.22 (+0.12)          Kung Fury 2 (KFURY) 1000 0.03 (0.00)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 149999 24.47 (+0.73)          Superman (SUPRM) 1 275.30 (-0.29)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 150000 24.47 (+0.73)          Artificial (AIFIC) 149999 27.28 (+0.89)