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Is 19 far enough below mid 20s for "the rule" to kick in? {nm}

Posted by: second gary (a.k.a 80181597) on Nov 07, 17:42 in response to xiayun's post So not great news for J&J; the two trackings are...

Rs mid 20s jack and Immortals. Low teens Edgar {nm} notfabio Nov 07, 15:53

Tagging RS: [JAJIL] [IMRTL] [HOOVR] {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 07, 16:03

So not great news for J&J; the two trackings are close for the other two, so they could go anywhere xiayun Nov 07, 16:04

Is 19 far enough below mid 20s for "the rule" to kick in? second gary Nov 07, 17:42

It's over 25%, so could be considered significant, especially with MTC being lower {nm} xiayun Nov 07, 18:03

sorry actually 24% {nm} xiayun Nov 07, 18:03

The Shawn/RT-Flixster number for JAJIL is low, too: 4.9k. {nm} second gary Nov 07, 18:08

It's been low for pretty much everything recently (even adjusting for movies coming in for OW lower than expected). Maybe less traffic {nm} GMov Nov 07, 18:11

I think the number for HAKU3 was ballparky, around 13k-15k. The TWRHS number was under 10k. {nm} second gary Nov 07, 18:14

So is this just saying that we can't be 100% sure using this method? {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 07, 18:21

Well, this "method" began as a coincidence group one week in the summer and a lark. But last week I felt my own suspicions about TWRHS... second gary Nov 07, 18:29

Ah, I see. Is there any way to actually get those figures for myself (and do some "research" on future movies using that method)? {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 07, 19:04

Sure: this is the number on any given film's page at Rotten Tomatoes, the "user ratings" number below the large-font percentage #. second gary Nov 07, 20:32

Thanks for that, Gary. I'll have a play around with it. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 07, 22:29

So why did it go up $5 after I left my computer? {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Nov 07, 19:28

RS numbers. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 07, 19:57

But MTC is below RS and according to xiayun, that's bad. {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Nov 07, 20:15

Yes, but RS numbers were posted *after* MTC. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 07, 20:31

Now it's going back down accordingly. {nm} Jay_Beezy Nov 08, 04:01





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Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 11.75 (+0.81)          Touch (TOUC) 150000 0.85 (+0.15)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 11.75 (+0.81)          Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 5000 23.27 (+0.02)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 64.22 (+0.30)          Bill Nighy (BNIGH) 25000 35.18 (0.00)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 64.22 (+0.30)          Michael (MJACK) 150000 62.48 (+0.30)          Michael (MJACK) 150000 62.48 (+0.30)          Dave Bautista (DBAUT) 6250 157.05 (+0.12)          Smile 2 aka Smiles (SMIL2) 150000 51.46 (+0.30)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.OW) 6250 45.59 (-0.14)          Alia Shawkat (ASHAW) 5000 0.94 (0.00)          Challengers - Opening Weekend (CHALN.OW) 100000 14.47 (+0.05)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 39.69 (+0.59)          Smile 2 aka Smiles (SMIL2) 150000 51.46 (+0.30)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 39.69 (+0.59)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 123.69 (-0.33)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 43.40 (-0.26)          Karate Kid (KKID2) 150000 102.89 (+0.33)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.17 (-0.04)          The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 25000 4.21 (+0.16)          The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 25000 4.21 (+0.16)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZ2) 150000 62.71 (+0.30)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZ2) 150000 62.71 (+0.30)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.17 (-0.04)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 43.40 (-0.26)          The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 25000 4.21 (+0.16)          Challengers H$10 Call (CHALN.CA) 25000 4.48 (+0.06)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 150000 156.22 (-1.00)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 150000 156.22 (-1.00)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 39.69 (+0.59)          Never Let Go (MTHRL) 150000 15.63 (+0.14)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 39.69 (+0.59)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 26.74 (+0.82)          Never Let Go (MTHRL) 150000 15.63 (+0.14)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 68 174.69 (-0.40)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 50000 14.75 (+0.02)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 23.49 (+0.17)          Sasquatch Sunset (SQTCH) 102005 4.68 (+0.09)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 26.74 (+0.82)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 50000 0.12 (0.00)          Shayda (SHDYA) 150000 0.01 (-0.01)          Unsung Hero H$10 Put (UNSUN.PU) 25000 3.29 (+0.06)          Unsung Hero H$10 Call (UNSUN.CA) 25000 1.07 (-0.04)          Unsung Hero - Opening Weekend (UNSUN.OW) 100000 8.95 (-0.04)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 21.81 (+0.48)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 879 243.69 (+0.17)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 888 243.69 (+0.17)          The Long Game (TLNGM) 74999 3.96 (+0.01)