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Thoughts on TWLI2 using actuals thru Monday

Posted by: Vashta Nerada (a.k.a H-Mogul) on Dec 02, 01:22

Just punching in the actuals which were weaker then expected over the weekend and Monday. It had a steeper 2nd weekend decline and ditto on its 2nd Monday then TWLIT. I'm expecting the weekdays to continue that weakness.

230.95 thru Sunday
 
142.84  10.51   11.33   14.20   9,20
230.95    2.40     2.40    2.30   2.30  3rd wknd 21,4.
261.75    1.54     1.54    1.59   1.56  4th wknd 12.8
280.78

I'm still comparing it to the first one, though the numbers are weaker, by a little over 5% once you factor out  the midnights. You can replace the estimates with actuals as the numbers come in and adjust as needed. That will give you a running total that becomes more accurate the closer to delist you get.





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Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 90.50 (+1.84)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 38.55 (-0.13)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 76.42 (-0.33)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 25000 4.75 (+0.58)          Evil Genius (EVILG) 25000 5.65 (+0.79)          Copperhead (COPRH) 20000 19.39 (+1.35)          Artificial (AIFIC) 20000 22.20 (+1.27)          River (RIVE1) 1 9.93 (-1.35)          River (RIVE1) 25000 9.93 (-1.35)          Florence Pugh (FPUGH) 25000 150.98 (-0.50)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 150000 4.75 (+0.58)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 22.20 (+1.27)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 22.20 (+1.27)          Clay (CLAY) 135 102.22 (+0.71)          Evil Genius (EVILG) 150000 5.65 (+0.79)          Run Amok (RAMOK) 150000 0.94 (-0.06)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 150000 181.63 (-1.16)          Copperhead (COPRH) 125000 19.39 (+1.35)          Evil Genius (EVILG) 150000 5.65 (+0.79)          Always Lalisa (ALISA) 50000 2.92 (+0.10)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 150000 47.10 (-0.50)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 50000 4.68 (+0.05)          The Julia Set (TJULS) 150000 1.77 (+0.03)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 10.45 (-0.33)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 102.22 (+0.71)          Bad Apples (BAPPL) 150000 1.30 (-0.08)          Bad Apples (BAPPL) 150000 1.30 (-0.08)          Mary Oliver: Saved by the Beauty (MOSBW) 150000 0.77 (+0.02)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 25000 4.75 (+0.58)          Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 19.39 (+1.35)          The Brigands of Rattlecreek (BRGND) 150000 26.04 (+0.88)          Final Destination 7 (FDES7) 150000 72.26 (+0.16)          River (RIVE1) 25000 9.93 (-1.35)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 76.29 (-1.77)          Copperhead (COPRH) 20000 19.39 (+1.35)          Artificial (AIFIC) 20000 22.20 (+1.27)          Evil Genius (EVILG) 25000 5.65 (+0.79)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 25000 4.75 (+0.58)          Always Lalisa (ALISA) 150000 2.92 (+0.10)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 150000 5.05 (+0.02)          Still Life (STILF) 150000 6.09 (-0.12)          River (RIVE1) 150000 9.93 (-1.35)          Patrick Schwarzenegger (PSCHW) 25000 5.64 (+0.64)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 88888 1.85 (-0.01)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 50000 24.36 (-0.99)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 22233 1.99 (+0.01)          Clayface (CLAYF) 77777 68.16 (-0.27)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 25556 21.83 (+0.01)          Wicker (WCKER) 44444 8.48 (+0.06)          A Talent for Murder (SWITZ) 33333 5.65 (0.00)