HSX Forum

Movies

Thoughts on TWLI2 using actuals thru Monday

Posted by: Vashta Nerada (a.k.a H-Mogul) on Dec 02, 01:22

Just punching in the actuals which were weaker then expected over the weekend and Monday. It had a steeper 2nd weekend decline and ditto on its 2nd Monday then TWLIT. I'm expecting the weekdays to continue that weakness.

230.95 thru Sunday
 
142.84  10.51   11.33   14.20   9,20
230.95    2.40     2.40    2.30   2.30  3rd wknd 21,4.
261.75    1.54     1.54    1.59   1.56  4th wknd 12.8
280.78

I'm still comparing it to the first one, though the numbers are weaker, by a little over 5% once you factor out  the midnights. You can replace the estimates with actuals as the numbers come in and adjust as needed. That will give you a running total that becomes more accurate the closer to delist you get.





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Buy Max    Sell All    Short Max    Cover All    Radar

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 146.05 (+1.05)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 150000 40.70 (+0.90)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 243.66 (+0.91)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 5000 123.25 (-0.12)          James Franco (JAFRA) 25000 22.01 (-1.00)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 209.18 (+1.35)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 150000 254.25 (+2.37)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 50000 136.74 (-0.24)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 150000 22.11 (+2.48)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 2.48 (-0.06)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 7.29 (-4.87)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 4.15 (+0.67)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 50000 66.89 (+0.10)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 75420 2.00 (0.00)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 15.91 (+0.86)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 78.01 (+1.15)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 150000 136.74 (-0.24)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 9.74 (-0.06)          Nirvanna The Band The Show The M (NTBTS) 149999 4.14 (-0.17)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 4.15 (+0.67)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 4.15 (+0.67)          Vampires of the Velvet Lounge (VOTVL) 150000 0.37 (-0.08)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 78.01 (+1.15)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 78.01 (+1.15)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 2.48 (-0.06)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 2.48 (-0.06)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 209.18 (+1.35)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 49999 17.11 (-1.05)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 209.18 (+1.35)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 100000 12.96 (-0.45)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 149999 25.71 (-0.69)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 49999 12.96 (-0.45)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 25000 137.75 (+0.67)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 11.35 (+0.38)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 12.31 (-0.44)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 5000 209.18 (+1.35)          James Franco (JAFRA) 25000 22.01 (-1.00)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 7.29 (-4.87)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 146.05 (+1.05)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 4.15 (+0.67)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 638 3.15 (+1.15)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 3.15 (+1.15)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 11.35 (+0.38)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 7.29 (-4.87)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 3217 100.40 (-2.75)