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Can AVATR be #1 for a 6th weekend in a row........

Posted by: tonyj1 on Jan 18, 14:33

Lets look at the numbers.Ā  According to BOM the 3 day take this weekend was 42.8M. Sundays portion of that (15,150) is inflated because late night shows were full because of thge holiday next day. So lets say if the next day wasn't a holiday it would heve done 12,70. I got that number by reducing saturday by 26% which is what it did last weekend, a non holiday weekend. Using that formula this past week fri-sun period would have been about 40.35M without the big sunday night.

Now it gets tricky figuring the multiple for next weekend. Against is the the theory that its got to start dropping at some point, why not next week? Going for it it won the Golden Globe and some of the older people who didn't want to see it may see it now.

My guess is that a 25% drop off the 40.35 gives us 30.26M for next weekend. (a 30% drop, which I think might to to high would bring 28.25. Remember I did not figure Mondays total in this at all. we're just talking 3 day wekend numbers here.

So 28-30 for next weekend. Can the tooth fairy beat that? Is Legion undervalued? If it is I don't think by that much. Leaving AVATR #1 for a 6th week.

One more thing to consider is the record for the biggest 6th weekend which is the 25M held by Titanic. My money says good-bye to that record also.





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Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 440.38 (-4.47)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 29997 66.98 (+1.34)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 25000 2.86 (-0.03)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 10000 440.38 (-4.47)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 50000 4.89 (-0.11)          Dreams (DREMS) 140000 1.37 (+0.25)          Dreams (DREMS) 150000 1.37 (+0.25)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 100000 6.93 (-0.12)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 1 9.94 (-3.30)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 9.94 (-3.30)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 150000 6.93 (-0.12)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 50000 9.70 (-0.30)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 5000 440.38 (-4.47)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 95000 43.58 (+1.43)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 43.58 (+1.43)          Fellowship (FELWS) 1 15.00 (0.00)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Babies (BBIES) 1 12.70 (+2.70)          Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 10000 9.75 (-0.04)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.70 (+2.70)          Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 10000 9.75 (-0.04)          Pierce Brosnan (PBROS) 25000 50.59 (0.00)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.70 (+2.70)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 26594 440.38 (-4.47)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 150000 289.43 (-1.00)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 123406 440.38 (-4.47)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.70 (+2.70)          The Bitter End (BTRND) 1 1.40 (-0.02)          The Bitter End (BTRND) 1 1.40 (-0.02)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 10060 440.38 (-4.47)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 5.41 (+0.43)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 5.41 (+0.43)          David (DAVID) 150000 74.37 (-1.49)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 0.55 (+0.13)          David (DAVID) 149999 74.37 (-1.49)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 1 440.38 (-4.47)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 1 440.38 (-4.47)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 1 9.94 (-3.30)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 1 9.94 (-3.30)          Rich Flu (RCFLU) 149641 0.12 (-0.01)          Fellowship (FELWS) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 50000 64.73 (+2.53)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 9.94 (-3.30)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 9.94 (-3.30)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 5.41 (+0.43)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 150000 37.08 (+2.39)          David (DAVID) 50000 74.37 (-1.49)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 4.43 (+0.55)