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Oh... I guess i should show math...

Posted by: secretstalker (a.k.a TheWeekendWarrior) on May 24, 13:04 in response to secretstalker's post Won't matter. I can't imagine it will delist below $200...

just the simple version is that Shrek 2 opened with over $100 million and it delisted at 3.23 times its opening weekend.... Shrek 3 was very frontloaded and delisted at 2.3 but it also had Pirates opening the weekend afterwards. Like I said, Shrek 4 has no real strong family films until Toy Story 3 and it's the only 3D/IMAX movie until then, so it shouldn't have a problem delisting above adjust. I'll tag it for future reference cause I am confident [SHRK4] will have better legs than [SHRK3]


Tag(s): SHRK4, SHRK3

Damn... knew I should have shorted DreamWorks Animation stock this morning...   secretstalker on May 24, 12:26

Or maybe even last Friday :) {nm}   amnesiac on May 24, 12:32

Even more bad news, Shrek was overestimated, 70.8 actual vs 71.3, Macgruber was also overestimated.   notfabio on May 24, 12:51

I feel sorry for Brad Pitt, I can only imagine the hard pimpin' DWA is going to make him do for Megamind now. {nm}   notfabio on May 24, 12:53

(spoiler)   notfabio on May 24, 12:54

Won't matter. I can't imagine it will delist below $200 based on past family films opening in May.   secretstalker on May 24, 13:00

Oh... I guess i should show math...   secretstalker on May 24, 13:04

There's also The Karate Kid on 6/11 in addition to Marmaduke to chip away at it. {nm}   notfabio on May 24, 13:08

But I don't think either of those would chip away to that great effect, not like SHRK4 did to Dragon.   secretstalker on May 24, 13:13

LATIMES: It did manage an A CinemaScore on the plus side (though so did Robin Hood) {nm}   notfabio on May 24, 13:32

RBNHD only dropped 48% which is not disastrous and not as frontloaded as a "bomb" might have been. {nm}   secretstalker on May 24, 13:52

Narnia 2 had only 2.57 multiplier as well; it's certainly no gaurantee Shrek 4 could get 3.0 multiplier for the entire run {nm}   xiayun on May 24, 14:17

I hear you, but i lean toward Secretstalker; I don't think PRSIA will bite into SHRK4, plus there's the 3D bump.    goodvibe61 on May 24, 16:15





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