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This is a much smoke as the posts above. INCPT would have to have

Posted by: H-Mogul on Jul 21, 14:13 in response to grammar's post To be taken seriously, one has to supply some sort of...

declines of 60% both weekend and weekdays to make this price.  Also that hasn't been updated with the weekdays. With the 1st weekend holds and the great WOM I don't see this happening. There is not one numbers person here that didn't do this before we got Monday est/act, it gives you an idea of how to play the post adjust movements in relation to what maybe the eventual delist.

Assuming that it does $9M Wed and Thurs and use that as a base and we just do declines of 50% weekday and weekends you get a delist of $192. 

To get a delist of $240 INCPT would need a hold of 30% all things being equal. Which is a better multiple then Dragon had earlier this year. It won't get the young sub 13, it will get adults that don't go first weekend and wait for what their friends and critics, and those that tend only to go to event movies. Plus those that have to see it again so they can figure it out. :)

Now of course the only big mindf*** movie I can think of off the top of my head is "The Sixth Sense" it had massive holds I don't think INCPT will get anywhere near those holds.

Remember that your mileage may vary.  But everybody is going to be watching for  the early Friday numbers.





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Finding Emily (CCEML) 149999 4.39 (-0.09)          Tony (TONY) 149999 17.90 (+1.11)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 5000 52.60 (+0.15)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 149999 12.01 (-0.28)          Samara Weaving (SAWEA) 25000 6.11 (0.00)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 150000 122.53 (+0.33)          Motor City (MTRCT) 150000 3.87 (-0.05)          Shailene Woodley (SWOOD) 25000 15.42 (-0.20)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 102504 77.41 (+1.57)          Pablo Schreiber (PSCHR) 25000 35.17 (-0.12)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 150000 45.51 (+0.20)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 52.60 (+0.15)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 52.60 (+0.15)          Naruto (NARUT) 150000 25.63 (+0.23)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 150000 5.36 (-0.43)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 150000 5.36 (-0.43)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 59000 11.41 (+0.06)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 87000 198.10 (-0.29)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 107000 21.19 (-0.22)          Anika Noni Rose (ANROS) 3 138.57 (0.00)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 124000 58.58 (-0.32)          Angela Bassett (ABASS) 7 170.91 (0.00)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 77.41 (+1.57)          Ang Lee (ALEE) 20782 38.18 (-0.12)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.48 (+0.48)          Andy Serkis (ASERK) 8837 89.87 (+0.08)          Buddy (BUDDY) 1000 8.87 (+0.01)          Andy Samberg (ASAMB) 14211 61.03 (+0.14)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 615.32 (-1.53)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 42000 7.80 (+0.85)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 116000 17.79 (+1.46)          Andrea Riseborough (ARISE) 5 6.82 (0.00)          Margie Claus (MARGC) 10000 28.27 (-0.04)          Ana de Armas (ADARM) 1 95.02 (0.00)          Wicker (WCKER) 10000 6.68 (+0.18)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 30000 21.03 (+0.16)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.48 (+0.48)          Amy Ryan (AMRYA) 6 19.51 (-0.10)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 100000 48.14 (+0.34)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 104000 102.14 (+1.03)          Peter Sarsgaard (PSARS) 1823 46.52 (0.00)          Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 1047 81.04 (+0.01)          Peter Berg (PEBER) 2721 73.74 (0.00)          Pete Davidson (PDAVI) 1877 46.14 (-0.01)          Paul Rudd (PRUDD) 3857 52.05 (+0.02)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.48 (+0.48)          Eva Victor (EVICT) 24999 1.74 (+0.04)          Paul Dano (PDANO) 3685 55.51 (-0.02)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 35821 77.41 (+1.57)          Patrick Dempsey (PDEMP) 2 71.21 (+0.25)