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This is a much smoke as the posts above. INCPT would have to have

Posted by: H-Mogul on Jul 21, 14:13 in response to grammar's post To be taken seriously, one has to supply some sort of...

declines of 60% both weekend and weekdays to make this price.  Also that hasn't been updated with the weekdays. With the 1st weekend holds and the great WOM I don't see this happening. There is not one numbers person here that didn't do this before we got Monday est/act, it gives you an idea of how to play the post adjust movements in relation to what maybe the eventual delist.

Assuming that it does $9M Wed and Thurs and use that as a base and we just do declines of 50% weekday and weekends you get a delist of $192. 

To get a delist of $240 INCPT would need a hold of 30% all things being equal. Which is a better multiple then Dragon had earlier this year. It won't get the young sub 13, it will get adults that don't go first weekend and wait for what their friends and critics, and those that tend only to go to event movies. Plus those that have to see it again so they can figure it out. :)

Now of course the only big mindf*** movie I can think of off the top of my head is "The Sixth Sense" it had massive holds I don't think INCPT will get anywhere near those holds.

Remember that your mileage may vary.  But everybody is going to be watching for  the early Friday numbers.





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Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 1000 44.06 (+0.25)          Tom Hanks (THANK) 3000 74.92 (-0.72)          Please (PLESE) 150000 21.75 (-0.07)          Please (PLESE) 150000 21.75 (-0.07)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Supergirl H$55 Put (SUPGR.PU) 25000 2.87 (+0.03)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 28.49 (+0.98)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 3.56 (+0.01)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 28.49 (+0.98)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 77777 54.43 (-1.81)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 104058 16.57 (-0.45)          Alan Cumming (ACUMM) 10000 33.17 (+0.05)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 11500 13.73 (-0.08)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 55555 143.66 (+4.93)          Bad Bunny (BBUNN) 5000 60.30 (+0.36)          Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 9667 47.72 (+0.27)          The Passenger (ZELOT) 150000 0.71 (+0.01)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 63.70 (+0.75)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 108117 10.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 63.70 (+0.75)          King Spawn (SPWN2) 100000 0.10 (0.00)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 54.43 (-1.81)          Olivia Colman (OCOLM) 1 56.42 (0.00)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 3000 60.24 (-0.11)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Put (TOYS5.PU) 300 0.81 (+0.10)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 3000 41.89 (+0.09)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 25000 12.89 (+0.64)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 3000 132.54 (-0.02)          Elizabeth Debicki (EDEBI) 1 77.48 (-1.25)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 3000 67.29 (+0.10)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 150000 21.87 (-0.46)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 81559 21.87 (-0.46)          Alexander Skarsgard (ASKAR) 1 10.17 (-0.30)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 204.52 (-1.65)          Backrooms (BACRM) 150000 165.45 (+0.40)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 3.00 (+1.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 411.44 (+2.15)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 16.57 (-0.45)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 143.66 (+4.93)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 74386 41.15 (+1.09)          Charli XCX (CXCX) 25000 24.29 (-0.38)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 16.57 (-0.45)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 149999 18.58 (-0.06)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 20000 77.31 (+2.31)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 119937 204.52 (-1.65)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 3770 303.87 (-3.40)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 434 143.66 (+4.93)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 10000 204.52 (-1.65)