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This is a much smoke as the posts above. INCPT would have to have

Posted by: H-Mogul on Jul 21, 14:13 in response to grammar's post To be taken seriously, one has to supply some sort of...

declines of 60% both weekend and weekdays to make this price.  Also that hasn't been updated with the weekdays. With the 1st weekend holds and the great WOM I don't see this happening. There is not one numbers person here that didn't do this before we got Monday est/act, it gives you an idea of how to play the post adjust movements in relation to what maybe the eventual delist.

Assuming that it does $9M Wed and Thurs and use that as a base and we just do declines of 50% weekday and weekends you get a delist of $192. 

To get a delist of $240 INCPT would need a hold of 30% all things being equal. Which is a better multiple then Dragon had earlier this year. It won't get the young sub 13, it will get adults that don't go first weekend and wait for what their friends and critics, and those that tend only to go to event movies. Plus those that have to see it again so they can figure it out. :)

Now of course the only big mindf*** movie I can think of off the top of my head is "The Sixth Sense" it had massive holds I don't think INCPT will get anywhere near those holds.

Remember that your mileage may vary.  But everybody is going to be watching for  the early Friday numbers.





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Resident Evil (RESE8) 29570 97.66 (+4.86)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 3000 53.59 (-0.10)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 31000 44.46 (-0.23)          Iron Jane (IRONJ) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Hope (HOPE) 10 10.74 (+0.12)          Hope (HOPE) 10 10.74 (+0.12)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 3 27.43 (+0.20)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 3 27.43 (+0.20)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 24050 97.66 (+4.86)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 3 52.25 (+0.28)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 3 52.25 (+0.28)          Naughty (NAUTY) 5000 41.92 (+0.30)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 68402 124.73 (-0.24)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 3 7.70 (+0.50)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 3 7.70 (+0.50)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 3 286.99 (+0.50)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 24050 97.66 (+4.86)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 3 286.99 (+0.50)          Primetime - Opening Weekend (PRMTM.OW) 40000 11.68 (+0.19)          Wife and Dog (WIFDG) 3 9.92 (+0.87)          Wife and Dog (WIFDG) 3 9.92 (+0.87)          Heart of the Beast H$15 Call (HOTBS.CA) 25000 2.73 (+0.18)          King Conan (CONA2) 1 53.53 (+0.94)          King Conan (CONA2) 1 53.53 (+0.94)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 5000 62.01 (+0.31)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 1 13.25 (+2.14)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 1 13.25 (+2.14)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 1.85 (-0.15)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 3000 201.07 (+0.38)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 1.85 (-0.15)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 97.66 (+4.86)          Zach Cregger (ZCREG) 24997 72.30 (+0.50)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 111000 34.51 (-0.10)          Harbinger (HARBN) 48999 0.01 (0.00)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 5000 13.25 (+2.14)          Wife and Dog (WIFDG) 10000 9.92 (+0.87)          River (RIVE1) 2 11.49 (+0.79)          Copperhead (COPRH) 50000 17.00 (-0.88)          Kit Harington (KHARI) 25000 74.89 (-0.75)          Kit Harington (KHARI) 3 74.89 (-0.75)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 5000 18.42 (+1.60)          Logan Marshall-Green (LMARS) 17521 95.38 (-0.17)          Logan Marshall-Green (LMARS) 25000 95.38 (-0.17)          Iron Jane (IRONJ) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 89000 3.83 (-0.05)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 5000 13.25 (+2.14)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 149997 44.46 (-0.23)          CBS: NCIS: New York (NCISNY) 25000 12.39 (+0.49)          Kelly Marie Tran (KMTRA) 25000 77.10 (-0.25)          Iron Jane (IRONJ) 150000 10.00 (0.00)