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This is a much smoke as the posts above. INCPT would have to have

Posted by: H-Mogul on Jul 21, 14:13 in response to grammar's post To be taken seriously, one has to supply some sort of...

declines of 60% both weekend and weekdays to make this price.  Also that hasn't been updated with the weekdays. With the 1st weekend holds and the great WOM I don't see this happening. There is not one numbers person here that didn't do this before we got Monday est/act, it gives you an idea of how to play the post adjust movements in relation to what maybe the eventual delist.

Assuming that it does $9M Wed and Thurs and use that as a base and we just do declines of 50% weekday and weekends you get a delist of $192. 

To get a delist of $240 INCPT would need a hold of 30% all things being equal. Which is a better multiple then Dragon had earlier this year. It won't get the young sub 13, it will get adults that don't go first weekend and wait for what their friends and critics, and those that tend only to go to event movies. Plus those that have to see it again so they can figure it out. :)

Now of course the only big mindf*** movie I can think of off the top of my head is "The Sixth Sense" it had massive holds I don't think INCPT will get anywhere near those holds.

Remember that your mileage may vary.  But everybody is going to be watching for  the early Friday numbers.





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Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 5000 455.50 (-0.68)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 10000 167.19 (-0.33)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 73.44 (-6.29)          Colman Domingo (CDOMI) 25000 41.18 (-0.50)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 700 13.50 (-3.37)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 73.44 (-6.29)          Brandon Sklenar (BSKLE) 25000 48.76 (+0.16)          Andy Warhol biopic (WARHL) 9000 0.18 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 150000 112.27 (+4.47)          Urchin (URCHN) 100 0.25 (0.00)          Wife & Dog (WIFDG) 50 9.65 (-0.04)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 4 116.59 (-0.11)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 4 31.24 (-0.09)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 4 29.69 (+0.08)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 4 16.57 (-0.01)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 10000 69.49 (+0.54)          JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 150000 8.93 (+0.72)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 132.67 (+0.78)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 66 22.21 (-0.02)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 3 22.21 (-0.02)          The Uprising aka The Hood (THOOD) 135 9.28 (-0.09)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 10000 105.98 (+0.11)          Outcome (OUTCM) 5 10.84 (+0.02)          Afterburn (AFBRN) 150000 0.51 (-0.08)          Painter (PANTR) 5 14.30 (-0.06)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 150000 13.33 (+0.57)          Afterburn (AFBRN) 150000 0.51 (-0.08)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 4 15.40 (+0.06)          Voltron (VOLTN) 4 23.26 (+0.05)          The Valley (VALEY) 65 21.62 (-0.10)          Charlotte Gainsbourg (CGAIN) 1 3.90 (-0.09)          Pressure (PRSUR) 40 11.76 (+0.04)          Sugar Bandits (SUGBN) 4 18.62 (-0.04)          Starship Troopers (STRPR) 4 51.71 (-0.06)          Greenland 2: Migration (GRNL2) 149999 23.54 (-0.60)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 10000 104.92 (+0.02)          Sing 3 (SING3) 65 58.72 (-0.57)          Reptilia (REPTI) 140 7.20 (+0.02)          Sam & Victor’s Day Off (SAVDO) 60 9.26 (-0.32)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 459.19 (-1.25)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 10000 162.61 (+0.50)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 1.84 (+0.14)          Pokemon: Detective Pikachu 2 (PIKA2) 100 19.37 (+0.02)          Perfect (PFECT) 100 0.19 (-0.01)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 25000 23.95 (+1.17)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 128.65 (+1.51)          Obsession (OBSSN) 20000 16.71 (-0.93)          The Ploughmen (PLOUM) 140000 0.02 (-0.02)          Audition (AUDTN) 80 4.00 (0.00)          Love Child (LOVCH) 140000 0.03 (0.00)