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If MTC is bigger than RS by a significant amount, the film will end bigger than MTC; if MTC is smaller by a large margin, the film will go

Posted by: xiayun on Mar 14, 13:34 in response to krapnek's post can anyone tell me "the rule" please? I always...

lower than MTC.  When the two trackings are reasonably close, the end result could go anywhere.  So for this week, Limitless is looking the best since RS only has it at high single digit.

MTC confirms what I said earlier [PAUL] and [LMTLS] $15 million, [LNLAW] $13 million secretstalker Mar 14, 11:59

Doesn't mean you're both right. :) {nm} Antibody Mar 14, 12:10

I meant the part about all of the movies being very close this week. Never switched placement on three new movies this much possibly ever. {nm} secretstalker Mar 14, 12:18

This is the kind of weekend to separate the pros from the wannabes. :) {nm} Antibody Mar 14, 12:21

Still no RS futures? {nm} tribefan695 Mar 14, 12:19

Nope... notfabio hasn't received yet. {nm} secretstalker Mar 14, 12:24

I can make up some "Red Riding Hood - 40M+" type projections to tide everyone over if you want. BionicMoron Mar 14, 12:38

What interests me are trends. RRH went down each week, I want to know what direction SUCKP is going in {nm} tribefan695 Mar 14, 12:46

Heh - I was looking over RS {nm} RogerMore Mar 14, 12:47

RS's predictions over the last year or so. Here's my picks for their ten most ridiculous (in hindsight, and in no patricular order) RogerMore Mar 14, 12:53

that gets a WOW....horrible {nm} lobogotti Mar 14, 13:19

can anyone tell me "the rule" please? I always forget and I want to save it now {nm} krapnek Mar 14, 13:13

If MTC is bigger than RS by a significant amount, the film will end bigger than MTC; if MTC is smaller by a large margin, the film will go xiayun Mar 14, 13:34

By what margin do you consider "significant"? Haven't seen RS's numbers but it seems like the diff. ranges from 2 to 4 million between them {nm} secretstalker Mar 14, 14:01

Normally I'd go with like 30% {nm} xiayun Mar 14, 14:03

This version of the rule picks the direction of the adjust correctly about 64% of the time, slightly better than MTC does. RogerMore Mar 14, 14:50

I predict a lot of disappointment this week. {nm} not2fast Mar 14, 13:17

I predict a short weekend again. ( at least for me and the other pros ;-) {nm} JMT Mar 14, 13:57

although LMTLS could surprise {nm} JMT Mar 14, 14:25

Why that one? Have you seen it? Is there anything very special about it.. ? {nm} Facto Mar 14, 17:35

The other films look lame in comparison. Limitless ( the trailer that is ) looks interesting , the story, the actors, the Niro {nm} JMT Mar 14, 23:46

battle la, rango, and riding hood should all be in a better position this weekend. don't see any of these getting higher than #3 {nm} the_steveinator Mar 15, 13:50

Paul is actually really good, just playing to a crowd that no longer really goes to theaters....see Scott Pilgrim. {nm} Lucky856 Mar 17, 08:18





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Savage Hunters aka Deathstroke & (DSTRK) 149999 42.50 (+4.63)          The Rule of Three (RULO3) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Renny Harlin (RHARL) 25000 16.28 (-0.10)          Samuel L. Jackson (SLJAC) 25000 46.82 (-0.66)          Samuel L. Jackson (SLJAC) 25000 46.82 (-0.66)          Bitcoin: Killing Satoshi (KSATO) 150000 15.80 (-0.04)          Musk (MUSK) 150000 3.43 (-0.12)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 148500 4.72 (0.00)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 140000 7.77 (-0.36)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 7.96 (+0.02)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 6.84 (-0.26)          Wildwood (WILDW) 69501 27.46 (+0.09)          Love of Your Life (LOYLF) 150000 1.38 (-0.05)          Savage Hunters aka Deathstroke & (DSTRK) 1 42.50 (+4.63)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 43.96 (+0.46)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 90000 168.67 (-0.23)          Will Poulter (WPOUL) 25000 46.57 (-0.83)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 50000 167.82 (+0.89)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 50000 194.91 (+0.82)          Game of Thrones: Aegon’s Conqu (GOTAC) 89345 135.82 (+0.94)          Other Mommy H$25 Put (IATHS.PU) 25000 1.76 (+0.46)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 140000 107.82 (-1.34)          Other Mommy H$25 Put (IATHS.PU) 25000 1.76 (+0.46)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 140000 126.79 (+0.28)          Other Mommy H$25 Call (IATHS.CA) 25000 2.49 (-0.90)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 112500 131.46 (+0.96)          Other Mommy - Opening Weekend (IATHS.OW) 100000 25.97 (-0.97)          Other Mommy - Opening Weekend (IATHS.OW) 100000 25.97 (-0.97)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 140000 187.32 (+0.33)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 125000 288.91 (+1.24)          A Minecraft Movie Squared (MINE2) 136000 336.47 (+0.68)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 21.53 (+0.02)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 149000 666.08 (+1.41)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 149999 56.90 (-2.20)          Other Mommy H$25 Put (IATHS.PU) 25000 1.76 (+0.46)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 56.90 (-2.20)          Other Mommy - Opening Weekend (IATHS.OW) 100000 25.97 (-0.97)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 150000 21.25 (-0.02)          The Social Reckoning - Opening W (SOCI2.OW) 100000 11.98 (-1.00)          The Rule of Three (RULO3) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Clayface H$25 Put (CLAYF.PU) 25000 1.64 (-0.36)          Clayface H$25 Call (CLAYF.CA) 25000 2.71 (+0.71)          Klara and the Sun H$10 Put (KLARA.PU) 25000 2.52 (+0.52)          Klara and the Sun H$10 Put (KLARA.PU) 25000 2.52 (+0.52)          Klara and the Sun H$10 Call (KLARA.CA) 25000 1.43 (-0.57)          Wildwood H$10 Call (WILDW.CA) 25000 2.52 (+0.52)          Wildwood - Opening Weekend (WILDW.OW) 100000 11.16 (+1.16)          Klara and the Sun - Opening Week (KLARA.OW) 100000 8.81 (-1.19)          The Night House (NITHS) 149999 7.87 (-0.13)          Clayface - Opening Weekend (CLAYF.OW) 100000 27.54 (+2.54)