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Changing the halt has changed the emphasis of the game - it's now more about trading and less about predicting box office.

Posted by: cp6ap on Apr 13, 10:41 in response to Antibody's post The reason the halt was pushed back was to capture the...

It also rewards being in front of your cpu on a Saturday - which is pretty anti- social. Bring back Friday halts!

I scream, you scream, everybody's posting bout 4scream. Any thoughts on Rio ? ( mine inside ) JMT-NL Apr 13, 09:08

As detailed in xiayun's post below, its BOM poll and Twitter activity is pointing to $40-45m. Anything above that would be a surprise. Rolling_Thunder Apr 13, 09:49

being new here i think 6pm on sat is crazy late. winstonman78 Apr 13, 10:17

even an early saturday cutoff would make more sense than a cutoff when 3/4ths of the weekend is over. {nm} winstonman78 Apr 13, 10:18

as much as I respect Xiayuns predictions, they are only predictions. Both Scream and Rio will do better. And next year... JMT-NL Apr 13, 10:20

but the real question is do you still think Fast5 is opening less thna 50? :) {nm} lobogotti Apr 13, 10:29

Haha... Yes 40-45 {nm} JMT-NL Apr 13, 10:50

Hold that question until next week, I'm all out of money. :) {nm} PVL Admin Apr 13, 11:19

xiayun runs hot and cold. He was trippin' on ADJBU. But he showed a real acumen with his LMTLS prediction. {nm} lhayes37 Apr 13, 10:34

...with an accuracy rate ONLY beat by MTC, and followed very closely by BO.com. Those have been the top 3 for a while now. {nm} PVL Admin Apr 13, 11:09

Credit where credit is due, is all I'm saying. His accuracy clearly demonstrate the insightfulness of the considerations in his analyses. {nm} PVL Admin Apr 13, 11:14

If comparing accuracy, you need to consider timing. CS puts out his numbers on Tues whereas Xiayun is often on Friday. Respect both but GMov Apr 13, 18:38

First rule of box office predictions - no one really knows anything. Second rule is some people still know more than others. {nm} RogerMore Apr 13, 10:48

With all of this advance discussion of openers, I see no reason why halt shouldn't go back to 1PM on Friday. {nm} secretstalker Apr 13, 09:55

agreed. I wonder how much difference they are seeing with the changes having been in effect a few months now? {nm} lobogotti Apr 13, 09:58

agreed. {nm} JMT-NL Apr 13, 10:07

And O.W. halts should be 1 PM thursday ! Also, D-mac, if saturdaytrading is the worry, there are other solutions... JMT-NL Apr 13, 11:12

The reason the halt was pushed back was to capture the additional trading from Fri to Sat. {nm} Antibody Apr 13, 10:24

how is that going? you guys seeing better results? any stats? {nm} lobogotti Apr 13, 10:28

Is there really that much trading of openers once numbers come out? secretstalker Apr 13, 10:31

I've been known to trade when Nikki's first numbers come out, then flip when the HSX price has caught up to Nikki's prediction... RogerMore Apr 13, 10:45

It has regularly caught up and surpassed the projection for the weekend... secretstalker Apr 13, 13:11

Changing the halt has changed the emphasis of the game - it's now more about trading and less about predicting box office. cp6ap Apr 13, 10:41

I would welcome a return to the old rules. Man's game ****es. {nm} lhayes37 Apr 13, 10:44

agreed. {nm} GMov Apr 13, 18:40





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The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 67.12 (-0.44)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 62.00 (+0.23)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 10000 175.95 (-0.77)          Audition (AUDTN) 149996 4.67 (+0.03)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 44.56 (+4.56)          Audition (AUDTN) 149998 4.67 (+0.03)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 25.25 (+0.22)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 25.25 (+0.22)          One Night Only (ONTON) 150000 29.51 (-0.10)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 448.81 (-0.91)          Anaconda - Opening Weekend (ANAC3.OW) 100000 25.91 (+0.50)          The Edge Of Normal (TEONM) 50000 4.17 (0.00)          Anaconda - Opening Weekend (ANAC3.OW) 100000 25.91 (+0.50)          David (DAVID) 150000 76.69 (-0.28)          Joni Mitchell biopic (JONIM) 150000 12.18 (-0.12)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 22.09 (+0.33)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 12000 175.95 (-0.77)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 50000 22.09 (+0.33)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 50000 22.09 (+0.33)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 50000 22.09 (+0.33)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 50000 22.09 (+0.33)          Alpha Gang (ALPHG) 150000 4.35 (-0.06)          Christine (CRSTN) 50000 16.49 (-0.63)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 50000 22.09 (+0.33)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 50000 22.09 (+0.33)          Evel Knievel on Tour (EVKNV) 100000 25.27 (+0.64)          Switzerland (SWITZ) 150000 1.56 (-0.02)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 9999 26.46 (+0.54)          Snoop Dogg Biopic (SNOOP) 100000 27.41 (+0.98)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 1 26.46 (+0.54)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 3.82 (-0.06)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 100000 57.24 (-0.10)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 122.89 (-0.92)          Normal (NORML) 40000 20.06 (-0.94)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 2.94 (+0.08)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 150000 26.46 (+0.54)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 150000 119.93 (+0.72)          And Then There Were None (ATTWN) 150000 0.81 (+0.02)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 3.82 (-0.06)          Dust Bunny (DUSTB) 150000 2.87 (+0.04)          And Then There Were None (ATTWN) 150000 0.81 (+0.02)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 20000 3.36 (+0.13)          Rebuilding (RBULD) 150000 1.57 (+0.01)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 10000 119.93 (+0.72)          Sentimental Value (SENTV) 150000 4.07 (+0.01)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 5 299.18 (-0.02)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 8 175.95 (-0.77)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 5 344.15 (-0.25)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 5 253.02 (+0.10)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 aka Reve (PRAD2) 5 155.65 (-0.11)