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I would welcome a return to the old rules. Man's game ****es. {nm}

Posted by: lhayes37 on Apr 13, 10:44 in response to secretstalker's post With all of this advance discussion of openers, I see no...

I scream, you scream, everybody's posting bout 4scream. Any thoughts on Rio ? ( mine inside ) JMT-NL Apr 13, 09:08

As detailed in xiayun's post below, its BOM poll and Twitter activity is pointing to $40-45m. Anything above that would be a surprise. Rolling_Thunder Apr 13, 09:49

being new here i think 6pm on sat is crazy late. winstonman78 Apr 13, 10:17

even an early saturday cutoff would make more sense than a cutoff when 3/4ths of the weekend is over. {nm} winstonman78 Apr 13, 10:18

as much as I respect Xiayuns predictions, they are only predictions. Both Scream and Rio will do better. And next year... JMT-NL Apr 13, 10:20

but the real question is do you still think Fast5 is opening less thna 50? :) {nm} lobogotti Apr 13, 10:29

Haha... Yes 40-45 {nm} JMT-NL Apr 13, 10:50

Hold that question until next week, I'm all out of money. :) {nm} PVL Admin Apr 13, 11:19

xiayun runs hot and cold. He was trippin' on ADJBU. But he showed a real acumen with his LMTLS prediction. {nm} lhayes37 Apr 13, 10:34

...with an accuracy rate ONLY beat by MTC, and followed very closely by BO.com. Those have been the top 3 for a while now. {nm} PVL Admin Apr 13, 11:09

Credit where credit is due, is all I'm saying. His accuracy clearly demonstrate the insightfulness of the considerations in his analyses. {nm} PVL Admin Apr 13, 11:14

If comparing accuracy, you need to consider timing. CS puts out his numbers on Tues whereas Xiayun is often on Friday. Respect both but GMov Apr 13, 18:38

First rule of box office predictions - no one really knows anything. Second rule is some people still know more than others. {nm} RogerMore Apr 13, 10:48

With all of this advance discussion of openers, I see no reason why halt shouldn't go back to 1PM on Friday. {nm} secretstalker Apr 13, 09:55

agreed. I wonder how much difference they are seeing with the changes having been in effect a few months now? {nm} lobogotti Apr 13, 09:58

agreed. {nm} JMT-NL Apr 13, 10:07

And O.W. halts should be 1 PM thursday ! Also, D-mac, if saturdaytrading is the worry, there are other solutions... JMT-NL Apr 13, 11:12

The reason the halt was pushed back was to capture the additional trading from Fri to Sat. {nm} Antibody Apr 13, 10:24

how is that going? you guys seeing better results? any stats? {nm} lobogotti Apr 13, 10:28

Is there really that much trading of openers once numbers come out? secretstalker Apr 13, 10:31

I've been known to trade when Nikki's first numbers come out, then flip when the HSX price has caught up to Nikki's prediction... RogerMore Apr 13, 10:45

It has regularly caught up and surpassed the projection for the weekend... secretstalker Apr 13, 13:11

Changing the halt has changed the emphasis of the game - it's now more about trading and less about predicting box office. cp6ap Apr 13, 10:41

I would welcome a return to the old rules. Man's game ****es. lhayes37 Apr 13, 10:44

agreed. {nm} GMov Apr 13, 18:40





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Stephen Graham (SGRAH) 25000 95.00 (0.00)          Heel (HEEL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 100 29.38 (0.00)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 27.36 (-0.39)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 20.34 (+0.25)          Michael (MJACK) 5000 172.04 (+1.96)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 39 39.54 (+1.09)          Outcome (OUTCM) 150000 4.98 (-4.88)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 1249 499.60 (+1.28)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 1000 29.38 (0.00)          Outcome (OUTCM) 148596 4.98 (-4.88)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 17.89 (+1.22)          Sender (SENDR) 150000 9.92 (+0.73)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 4.53 (+0.32)          Outcome (OUTCM) 150000 4.98 (-4.88)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 4.53 (+0.32)          Fuze (FUZE) 4 13.59 (+0.01)          First Warrior (FWARR) 15 3.97 (-0.07)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 17.89 (+1.22)          Night Patrol (NPTRL) 150000 1.61 (-0.11)          This Is Not a Test (TINAT) 150000 1.97 (0.00)          Night Patrol (NPTRL) 150000 1.61 (-0.11)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 32 351.57 (+1.24)          A Magnificent Life (MLOMP) 18395 0.94 (-0.08)          The Christophers (CHRIS) 10000 8.13 (-0.03)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 37323 351.57 (+1.24)          A Magnificent Life (MLOMP) 54690 0.94 (-0.08)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 150000 5.89 (+0.10)          Sender (SENDR) 150000 9.92 (+0.73)          Hokum (HOKUM) 30000 8.45 (+0.01)          Wuthering Heights - Opening Week (WUTHR.OW) 100000 51.07 (+1.20)          A Magnificent Life (MLOMP) 150000 0.94 (-0.08)          Pressure (PRSUR) 149999 15.57 (0.00)          The Christophers (CHRIS) 21000 8.13 (-0.03)          Wuthering Heights H$45 Call Fri- (WUTHR.CA) 25000 2.50 (+0.28)          A Magnificent Life (MLOMP) 76915 0.94 (-0.08)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 40000 4.99 (+0.01)          Heel (HEEL) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 17.89 (+1.22)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 150000 5.89 (+0.10)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 20000 106.98 (-1.18)          Dolly (DOLLY) 150000 2.30 (+0.12)          Josephine (JSPHN) 150000 8.24 (+0.14)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 150000 3.75 (+0.29)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 4.53 (+0.32)          Over Your Dead Body aka The Trip (TETRP) 150000 7.01 (+0.53)          Wuthering Heights H$45 Put Fri-M (WUTHR.PU) 25000 2.26 (-0.20)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 4.53 (+0.32)          All That I Am (ATIAM) 150000 0.05 (+0.03)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 5000 111.54 (+2.51)