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but the real question is do you still think Fast5 is opening less thna 50? :) {nm}

Posted by: lobogotti on Apr 13, 10:29 in response to JMT-NL's post as much as I respect Xiayuns predictions, they are only...

I scream, you scream, everybody's posting bout 4scream. Any thoughts on Rio ? ( mine inside ) JMT-NL Apr 13, 09:08

As detailed in xiayun's post below, its BOM poll and Twitter activity is pointing to $40-45m. Anything above that would be a surprise. Rolling_Thunder Apr 13, 09:49

being new here i think 6pm on sat is crazy late. winstonman78 Apr 13, 10:17

even an early saturday cutoff would make more sense than a cutoff when 3/4ths of the weekend is over. {nm} winstonman78 Apr 13, 10:18

as much as I respect Xiayuns predictions, they are only predictions. Both Scream and Rio will do better. And next year... JMT-NL Apr 13, 10:20

but the real question is do you still think Fast5 is opening less thna 50? :) lobogotti Apr 13, 10:29

Haha... Yes 40-45 {nm} JMT-NL Apr 13, 10:50

Hold that question until next week, I'm all out of money. :) {nm} PVL Admin Apr 13, 11:19

xiayun runs hot and cold. He was trippin' on ADJBU. But he showed a real acumen with his LMTLS prediction. {nm} lhayes37 Apr 13, 10:34

...with an accuracy rate ONLY beat by MTC, and followed very closely by BO.com. Those have been the top 3 for a while now. {nm} PVL Admin Apr 13, 11:09

Credit where credit is due, is all I'm saying. His accuracy clearly demonstrate the insightfulness of the considerations in his analyses. {nm} PVL Admin Apr 13, 11:14

If comparing accuracy, you need to consider timing. CS puts out his numbers on Tues whereas Xiayun is often on Friday. Respect both but GMov Apr 13, 18:38

First rule of box office predictions - no one really knows anything. Second rule is some people still know more than others. {nm} RogerMore Apr 13, 10:48

With all of this advance discussion of openers, I see no reason why halt shouldn't go back to 1PM on Friday. {nm} secretstalker Apr 13, 09:55

agreed. I wonder how much difference they are seeing with the changes having been in effect a few months now? {nm} lobogotti Apr 13, 09:58

agreed. {nm} JMT-NL Apr 13, 10:07

And O.W. halts should be 1 PM thursday ! Also, D-mac, if saturdaytrading is the worry, there are other solutions... JMT-NL Apr 13, 11:12

The reason the halt was pushed back was to capture the additional trading from Fri to Sat. {nm} Antibody Apr 13, 10:24

how is that going? you guys seeing better results? any stats? {nm} lobogotti Apr 13, 10:28

Is there really that much trading of openers once numbers come out? secretstalker Apr 13, 10:31

I've been known to trade when Nikki's first numbers come out, then flip when the HSX price has caught up to Nikki's prediction... RogerMore Apr 13, 10:45

It has regularly caught up and surpassed the projection for the weekend... secretstalker Apr 13, 13:11

Changing the halt has changed the emphasis of the game - it's now more about trading and less about predicting box office. cp6ap Apr 13, 10:41

I would welcome a return to the old rules. Man's game ****es. {nm} lhayes37 Apr 13, 10:44

agreed. {nm} GMov Apr 13, 18:40





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Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.54 (+0.54)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 10.55 (+0.55)          Golden aka Atlantis (ATLNT) 5000 4.01 (+0.03)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 10.55 (+0.55)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 237.23 (-1.43)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 237.23 (-1.43)          Young Washington H$10 Put (YWASH.PU) 25000 1.71 (-0.29)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.54 (+0.54)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 10.55 (+0.55)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 1.61 (-0.39)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.84 (+0.84)          Lice (LICE) 149999 4.10 (+0.10)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 77.28 (+2.28)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 20000 10.00 (0.00)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 149999 10.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.84 (+0.84)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 77.28 (+2.28)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.BW) 25000 7.32 (+0.33)          Wicker (WCKER) 30 5.44 (+0.52)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 100 1.61 (-0.39)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 144.68 (+5.95)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 39310 117.97 (+1.01)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 421.24 (+3.18)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 9981 236.01 (+0.47)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 1000 29.02 (+1.51)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.84 (+0.84)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 77.28 (+2.28)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 149999 144.68 (+5.95)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.BW) 25000 7.32 (+0.33)          Verity (VERTY) 46861 51.34 (-0.09)          Wildwood (WILDW) 611 16.45 (-0.03)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 25000 79.27 (-0.25)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 10000 10.00 (0.00)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 149999 79.35 (+0.88)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 100000 40.57 (+0.15)          The Exorcist Film Directed by Mi (TEXO2) 50000 51.94 (+0.19)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 149970 10.00 (0.00)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 41.05 (+0.99)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 41.05 (+0.99)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.10 (+0.10)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 21626 144.68 (+5.95)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 46328 67.23 (+0.27)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 30000 29.02 (+1.51)          Peddi (PEDDI) 150000 4.60 (-0.09)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 30000 44.49 (-0.02)          Peddi (PEDDI) 150000 4.60 (-0.09)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 133000 96.36 (+0.21)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 120000 305.18 (-2.09)