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<div class="aolReplacedBody" style="background-color: transparent; color: #000000; font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 13.33px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; position: relative; text-align: left; text-decoration: none; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;"><span style="color: black; font-size: x-small; position: relative;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="text-align: left; color: #000000; text-transform: none; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: normal; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: transparent;">T</span><span style="list-style: none; text-align: left; color: #3c3c3c; text-transform: none; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: normal; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; word-spacing: 0px; display: inline; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; float: none; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: transparent;">ake a look at this </span><a style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; border-image: none; text-align: left; color: #3c3c3c; text-transform: none; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: normal; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; cursor: pointer; box-sizing: border-box; orphans: 2; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: transparent; border: 0px 0px 1px none none solid #3c3c3c #3c3c3c #f72210;" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="http://money.cnn.com/2016/11/01/news/economy/hillary-clinton-win-forecast-moodys-analytics" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: small;"> Moody’s Analytics model</span></a><span style="list-style: none; text-align: left; color: #3c3c3c; text-transform: none; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: normal; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; word-spacing: 0px; display: inline; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; float: none; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: transparent;"><span style="font-size: small;">. </span>The model, which has correctly predicted the winner of every presidential race since 1980, predicts that Clinton will win next week. More specifically, the model forecasts that she’ll take </span><strong style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; border: 0px #3c3c3c; border-image: none; text-align: left; color: #3c3c3c; text-transform: none; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: normal; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 700; text-decoration: none; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; box-sizing: border-box; orphans: 2; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: transparent;"> 332 electoral votes</strong><span style="list-style: none; text-align: left; color: #3c3c3c; text-transform: none; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: normal; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; word-spacing: 0px; display: inline; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; float: none; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: transparent;">, while Trump will receive </span><strong style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; outline: 0px; border: 0px #3c3c3c; border-image: none; text-align: left; color: #3c3c3c; text-transform: none; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: normal; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 700; text-decoration: none; word-spacing: 0px; white-space: normal; box-sizing: border-box; orphans: 2; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: transparent;"> 206</strong><span style="list-style: none; text-align: left; color: #3c3c3c; text-transform: none; text-indent: 0px; letter-spacing: normal; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 400; text-decoration: none; word-spacing: 0px; display: inline; white-space: normal; orphans: 2; float: none; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: transparent;">. Swing states Ohio, Pennsylvania, Colorado and Florida are all set for Democratic victories, according to the model, which is based on three economic factors and three political factors.</span></span></span></div>
GOP Tax Reform in gaining popularity now that they see opposition was lying. >90% of middle income quintile will receive a tax cut.
PhoneHome
Feb 27, 05:46
. . . is gaining
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PhoneHome
Feb 27, 07:13
op-ed from a right-wing hack. unsupported by the actual poll numbers, i.e., facts
slipping jimmy
Feb 27, 08:50
his article doesn't link to it, but poll numbers on the tax break are greatly improving. However, its still incredibly divisive and
Moviesnob
Feb 27, 08:56
let's see how they look after April 15th
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slipping jimmy
Feb 27, 09:10
(my impression is that all the "Bonus!" stories in the media gave it a short-term bump but the average voter will not see great benefits
slipping jimmy
Feb 27, 10:56
you are right, its very likely the opinion on the tax cut will fluctuate over time so no intelligent conclusion about how the masses view it
Moviesnob
Feb 27, 11:00
Cut taxes, more take home pay, companies hand out bonuses, increased wages, 3% GDP growth, low unemployment, low inflation, ... {nm}
TJNFL1
Feb 27, 10:56
Polls and opinions distort facts, math tells the truth. The tax bill is beneficial. Trump's character flaws will override at election though
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PhoneHome
Feb 27, 09:37
polls are math.
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Moviesnob
Feb 27, 10:20
They can be, but they can also be worded to achieve a desired result, and asked of a known audience to achieve the same. {nm}
TJNFL1
Feb 27, 10:31
+1 - and they're also polling opinions
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PhoneHome
Feb 27, 10:45
because opinions have tremendous value
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Moviesnob
Feb 27, 10:52
what did you think of this product? should marijuana be legal? Are planing on doing a specific activity? Answers to these questions can be
Moviesnob
Feb 27, 10:55
because influenced and shaped opinions have tremendous value to those that want to influence and shape your opinions. {nm}
TJNFL1
Feb 27, 11:09
without citing specific examples, thats a heavily agenda driven statement that is part of your personal struggle with confirmation bias
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Moviesnob
Feb 27, 11:43
2016 Judgment Day: Hillary Clinton has a 90% chance of winning, polls show.
TJNFL1
Feb 27, 21:57
correct, but not all polls are biased and the ones that are dismissed or if they are from pollsters with known biases can be normalized in
Moviesnob
Feb 27, 10:52
Get what you're trying to say and that's ok, just don't fall into the trap of not realizing many polls are simply political motivators. {nm}
TJNFL1
Feb 27, 11:02
It's disporportionally benefical to the very wealthy and corporations. Tax couldn've been spent on infrastructure...etc.
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Antibody
Feb 27, 11:29
There will be money spent on infrastructure, but this gets businesses back, bonuses out, wages up, economy strong, unemployment low. {nm}
TJNFL1
Feb 27, 21:16