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Take a look at this Moody’s Analytics model. The model, which has correctly predicted the winner of every presidential race since 1980, predicts that Clinton will win next week. More specifically, the model forecasts that she’ll take 332 electoral votes, while Trump will receive 206. Swing states Ohio, Pennsylvania, Colorado and Florida are all set for Democratic victories, according to the model, which is based on three economic factors and three political factors.
GOP Tax Reform in gaining popularity now that they see opposition was lying. >90% of middle income quintile will receive a tax cut.
PhoneHome
Feb 27, 05:46
. . . is gaining
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PhoneHome
Feb 27, 07:13
op-ed from a right-wing hack. unsupported by the actual poll numbers, i.e., facts
slipping jimmy
Feb 27, 08:50
his article doesn't link to it, but poll numbers on the tax break are greatly improving. However, its still incredibly divisive and
Moviesnob
Feb 27, 08:56
let's see how they look after April 15th
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slipping jimmy
Feb 27, 09:10
(my impression is that all the "Bonus!" stories in the media gave it a short-term bump but the average voter will not see great benefits
slipping jimmy
Feb 27, 10:56
you are right, its very likely the opinion on the tax cut will fluctuate over time so no intelligent conclusion about how the masses view it
Moviesnob
Feb 27, 11:00
Cut taxes, more take home pay, companies hand out bonuses, increased wages, 3% GDP growth, low unemployment, low inflation, ... {nm}
TJNFL1
Feb 27, 10:56
Polls and opinions distort facts, math tells the truth. The tax bill is beneficial. Trump's character flaws will override at election though
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PhoneHome
Feb 27, 09:37
polls are math.
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Moviesnob
Feb 27, 10:20
They can be, but they can also be worded to achieve a desired result, and asked of a known audience to achieve the same. {nm}
TJNFL1
Feb 27, 10:31
+1 - and they're also polling opinions
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PhoneHome
Feb 27, 10:45
because opinions have tremendous value
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Moviesnob
Feb 27, 10:52
what did you think of this product? should marijuana be legal? Are planing on doing a specific activity? Answers to these questions can be
Moviesnob
Feb 27, 10:55
because influenced and shaped opinions have tremendous value to those that want to influence and shape your opinions. {nm}
TJNFL1
Feb 27, 11:09
without citing specific examples, thats a heavily agenda driven statement that is part of your personal struggle with confirmation bias
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Moviesnob
Feb 27, 11:43
2016 Judgment Day: Hillary Clinton has a 90% chance of winning, polls show.
TJNFL1
Feb 27, 21:57
correct, but not all polls are biased and the ones that are dismissed or if they are from pollsters with known biases can be normalized in
Moviesnob
Feb 27, 10:52
Get what you're trying to say and that's ok, just don't fall into the trap of not realizing many polls are simply political motivators. {nm}
TJNFL1
Feb 27, 11:02
It's disporportionally benefical to the very wealthy and corporations. Tax couldn've been spent on infrastructure...etc.
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Antibody
Feb 27, 11:29
There will be money spent on infrastructure, but this gets businesses back, bonuses out, wages up, economy strong, unemployment low. {nm}
TJNFL1
Feb 27, 21:16
