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Whisper Numbers: Ghost Rider looks to burn up the box office

Three new wide releases face strong holdovers during the President’s Day holiday weekend. Nicolas Cage [NCAGE] looks to bounce back from a string of recent flops by reprising his role as the demonic antihero in the sequel Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance [GHST2]. The original Ghost Rider debuted at $45.4 million in 2007, but flamed out quickly due to poor word of mouth. As in their other genre series, Sony has added 3D to entice fans back for another go-around. The PG-13 rated film should connect with its target audience of young men, which should be enough to propel the film to first place. Burning up 3174 theaters, Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance could scorch $34 million over the 4-day weekend.

Safe House [SAFEH] exceeded expectations in its debut and older moviegoers should continue to support the film. The actioner could preside over another $27 million over the long weekend.

Couples and women helped The Vow [THVOW] conquered the box office last weekend. With Valentine’s Day over, the romance looks to decay greater than Safe House to around $26 million over the holiday weekend.

The PG-13 rated This Means War [TMWAR] stars Chris Pine [CPINE] and Tom Hardy [THARD] as partners in espionage competing to win the affection of the same woman, played by Reese Witherspoon [RWITH]. Fox has been marketing the film as a romantic comedy when perhaps they should have gone with action bromance. The McG [MCG] directed film has earned horrible reviews and terrible trackings. Opening in 3189 theater, This Means War may bank $23 million over the 4-day weekend.

With kids off for the long holiday weekend, Journey 2: The Mysterious Island [MYSTR] should experience a small drop-off. The 3D sequel spectacle could bring home another $22 million from Friday to Monday.

The Secret World of Arrietty [ARITY] is the latest Studio Ghibli release from Disney. The G-rated animated film looks more accessible than 2009’s Ponyo which managed just a $3.6 million debut. Opening in 1511 theaters, Arrietty could stash $6 million over the long holiday weeekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): NCAGE, GHST2, SAFEH, THVOW, TMWAR, CPINE, THARD, RWITH, MCG, MYSTR, ARITY

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, February 16, 2012 @ 03:50 PM 10487 views

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Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 25000 120.46 (+0.33)          River (RIVE1) 20588 10.40 (-0.88)          Paul Rudd (PRUDD) 25000 53.72 (+0.33)          Paul Rudd (PRUDD) 25000 53.72 (+0.33)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 89.32 (+0.66)          Patricia Clarkson (PCLAR) 25000 2.01 (+0.02)          Patrick Wilson (PWILS) 25000 91.87 (-0.75)          Patrick Wilson (PWILS) 25000 91.87 (-0.75)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 150000 42.53 (+0.15)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 11515 155.99 (+0.02)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 150000 8.36 (+0.03)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 150000 4.47 (+0.30)          Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 25000 107.81 (+0.66)          The Uprising (THOOD) 150000 8.16 (-0.10)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 72.87 (-0.25)          Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 18.61 (+0.57)          Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 18.61 (+0.57)          Still Life (STILF) 150000 6.18 (-0.03)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 150000 18.35 (+0.04)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 77.39 (-0.67)          River (RIVE1) 150000 10.40 (-0.88)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 77.39 (-0.67)          River (RIVE1) 150000 10.40 (-0.88)          Evil Genius (EVILG) 150000 5.26 (+0.40)          Evil Genius (EVILG) 150000 5.26 (+0.40)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 150000 24.85 (-0.50)          Artificial (AIFIC) 83164 21.52 (+0.59)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 21.52 (+0.59)          River (RIVE1) 150000 10.40 (-0.88)          Digger (DIGER) 100000 77.39 (-0.67)          Paul Mescal (PMESC) 25000 39.39 (0.00)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 150000 22.39 (+0.29)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 150000 22.39 (+0.29)          Paul Dano (PDANO) 25000 56.78 (-0.16)          Paul Bettany (PBETT) 25000 132.09 (-0.33)          Benedict Wong (BWONG) 25000 178.63 (+1.50)          Benedict Wong (BWONG) 25000 178.63 (+1.50)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 2 4.47 (+0.30)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 2 4.47 (+0.30)          Evil Genius (EVILG) 2 5.26 (+0.40)          Evil Genius (EVILG) 2 5.26 (+0.40)          Wicker (WCKER) 3 8.55 (+0.13)          Wicker (WCKER) 3 8.55 (+0.13)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 3 24.85 (-0.50)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 3 24.85 (-0.50)          Patty Jenkins (PJENK) 25000 96.40 (-0.25)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 3 5.10 (+0.07)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 3 5.10 (+0.07)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 3 16.93 (+0.43)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 3 16.93 (+0.43)