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Whisper Numbers: Ghost Rider looks to burn up the box office

Three new wide releases face strong holdovers during the President’s Day holiday weekend. Nicolas Cage [NCAGE] looks to bounce back from a string of recent flops by reprising his role as the demonic antihero in the sequel Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance [GHST2]. The original Ghost Rider debuted at $45.4 million in 2007, but flamed out quickly due to poor word of mouth. As in their other genre series, Sony has added 3D to entice fans back for another go-around. The PG-13 rated film should connect with its target audience of young men, which should be enough to propel the film to first place. Burning up 3174 theaters, Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance could scorch $34 million over the 4-day weekend.

Safe House [SAFEH] exceeded expectations in its debut and older moviegoers should continue to support the film. The actioner could preside over another $27 million over the long weekend.

Couples and women helped The Vow [THVOW] conquered the box office last weekend. With Valentine’s Day over, the romance looks to decay greater than Safe House to around $26 million over the holiday weekend.

The PG-13 rated This Means War [TMWAR] stars Chris Pine [CPINE] and Tom Hardy [THARD] as partners in espionage competing to win the affection of the same woman, played by Reese Witherspoon [RWITH]. Fox has been marketing the film as a romantic comedy when perhaps they should have gone with action bromance. The McG [MCG] directed film has earned horrible reviews and terrible trackings. Opening in 3189 theater, This Means War may bank $23 million over the 4-day weekend.

With kids off for the long holiday weekend, Journey 2: The Mysterious Island [MYSTR] should experience a small drop-off. The 3D sequel spectacle could bring home another $22 million from Friday to Monday.

The Secret World of Arrietty [ARITY] is the latest Studio Ghibli release from Disney. The G-rated animated film looks more accessible than 2009’s Ponyo which managed just a $3.6 million debut. Opening in 1511 theaters, Arrietty could stash $6 million over the long holiday weeekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): NCAGE, GHST2, SAFEH, THVOW, TMWAR, CPINE, THARD, RWITH, MCG, MYSTR, ARITY

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, February 16, 2012 @ 03:50 PM 10305 views

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American Psycho (APSYC) 21140 20.00 (0.00)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 4000 35.45 (-4.06)          American Psycho (APSYC) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 4 20.78 (+0.02)          District 10 (DIS10) 4 16.22 (-0.03)          Bag Man (BAGMN) 50 0.25 (-0.01)          Giant (GIANT) 150000 1.20 (+0.04)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 149999 10.61 (+0.39)          How to Make a Killing (HNGTN) 790 16.40 (-0.94)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 6 45.77 (-0.26)          The One (THEON) 4 3.62 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 3 220.70 (+0.41)          The Island (ISLAN) 45 0.68 (+0.02)          American Psycho (APSYC) 34093 20.00 (0.00)          I Heart Murder (IHMUR) 1500 1.39 (-0.02)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 150000 84.18 (-0.76)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 450 3.73 (0.00)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150 13.04 (-0.03)          Wind of Change (WNDOC) 95 4.99 (-0.01)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 5 104.63 (-0.88)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 150000 35.45 (-4.06)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 6 104.63 (-0.88)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 4 32.98 (-0.01)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 5 35.95 (-0.14)          Without Blood (WOBLD) 800 2.69 (+0.01)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 3 58.25 (+0.07)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 49 63.91 (-0.07)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 99 10.24 (-0.10)          The Wizard of Kremlin (WZKRM) 3 5.75 (+0.01)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 3 166.15 (-0.18)          Zatanna (ZATAN) 150 3.90 (-0.02)          New York Will Eat You Alive aka (ZMBRO) 5090 0.51 (-0.05)          Pom Klementieff (PKLEM) 2 146.39 (-0.06)          Margaret Qualley (MQUAL) 7 8.92 (-0.05)          Cate Blanchett (CBLAN) 12 9.48 (-0.10)          Jessica Henwick (JHENW) 14 14.75 (-0.10)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 150000 84.18 (-0.76)          Aaron Sorkin (ASORK) 100 11.99 (0.00)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 4734 47.68 (+0.34)          Julia Butters (JBUTT) 8 78.35 (0.00)          Phoebe Waller-Bridge (PWALL) 3 91.49 (+0.21)          Stephen Graham (SGRAH) 3 93.32 (+0.25)          Ariana Grande (AGRAN) 4 173.06 (+0.50)          Kiernan Shipka (KSHIP) 4 85.64 (+0.25)          Emma Corrin (EMCOR) 5 111.87 (+0.33)          Jonathan Bailey (JBAIL) 1 150.61 (+0.50)          Florence Pugh (FPUGH) 6 150.58 (+0.50)          Himesh Patel (HPATE) 6 46.69 (+0.17)          Monica Barbaro (MBARB) 6 118.40 (+0.67)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 8 13.82 (+0.10)