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Whisper Numbers: Ghost Rider looks to burn up the box office

Three new wide releases face strong holdovers during the President’s Day holiday weekend. Nicolas Cage [NCAGE] looks to bounce back from a string of recent flops by reprising his role as the demonic antihero in the sequel Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance [GHST2]. The original Ghost Rider debuted at $45.4 million in 2007, but flamed out quickly due to poor word of mouth. As in their other genre series, Sony has added 3D to entice fans back for another go-around. The PG-13 rated film should connect with its target audience of young men, which should be enough to propel the film to first place. Burning up 3174 theaters, Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance could scorch $34 million over the 4-day weekend.

Safe House [SAFEH] exceeded expectations in its debut and older moviegoers should continue to support the film. The actioner could preside over another $27 million over the long weekend.

Couples and women helped The Vow [THVOW] conquered the box office last weekend. With Valentine’s Day over, the romance looks to decay greater than Safe House to around $26 million over the holiday weekend.

The PG-13 rated This Means War [TMWAR] stars Chris Pine [CPINE] and Tom Hardy [THARD] as partners in espionage competing to win the affection of the same woman, played by Reese Witherspoon [RWITH]. Fox has been marketing the film as a romantic comedy when perhaps they should have gone with action bromance. The McG [MCG] directed film has earned horrible reviews and terrible trackings. Opening in 3189 theater, This Means War may bank $23 million over the 4-day weekend.

With kids off for the long holiday weekend, Journey 2: The Mysterious Island [MYSTR] should experience a small drop-off. The 3D sequel spectacle could bring home another $22 million from Friday to Monday.

The Secret World of Arrietty [ARITY] is the latest Studio Ghibli release from Disney. The G-rated animated film looks more accessible than 2009’s Ponyo which managed just a $3.6 million debut. Opening in 1511 theaters, Arrietty could stash $6 million over the long holiday weeekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): NCAGE, GHST2, SAFEH, THVOW, TMWAR, CPINE, THARD, RWITH, MCG, MYSTR, ARITY

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, February 16, 2012 @ 03:50 PM 10411 views

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Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 1 138.74 (-4.06)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 1 138.74 (-4.06)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 1 138.74 (-4.06)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 27.51 (-0.72)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 138.74 (-4.06)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 105000 9.17 (-2.08)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 43901 27.51 (-0.72)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 90000 49.32 (-2.82)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 22.86 (+0.12)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 150000 3.69 (+0.02)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 150000 24.62 (-0.31)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 6 3.91 (-0.02)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 3 10.26 (-0.02)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 3 206.17 (-0.51)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 60 17.32 (-0.98)          Urban Legend (URBN3) 4 4.82 (-0.02)          Voltron (VOLTN) 5 21.15 (+0.09)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 3 66.41 (-0.04)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 3 37.55 (+0.03)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 6 46.50 (+0.26)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 20000 138.74 (-4.06)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 57 56.61 (-0.05)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 60 43.88 (-0.06)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 60000 49.32 (-2.82)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 3 8.76 (+0.01)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 7 166.88 (+1.16)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 150000 49.32 (-2.82)          Stephen Graham (SGRAH) 4 78.14 (-0.25)          Rachel Brosnahan (RBROS) 5 93.16 (-0.25)          Meryl Streep (MSTRE) 3 144.95 (-0.33)          Melissa Barrera (MBARR) 30 44.43 (-0.02)          Charlize Theron (CTHER) 5 131.36 (-0.33)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 5 121.24 (-0.33)          Lice (LICE) 1 4.00 (0.00)          Nobody Nothing Nowhere (NBNTN) 1 1.17 (-0.03)          Vanessa Kirby (VKIRB) 6 110.56 (-0.65)          Nobody Nothing Nowhere (NBNTN) 1 1.17 (-0.03)          Michael Sarnoski (MSARN) 50 55.15 (-0.33)          Dinner With Audrey (DWAUD) 149999 4.14 (-0.18)          Dinner With Audrey (DWAUD) 150000 4.14 (-0.18)          Fede Alvarez (FALVA) 14 70.00 (-0.74)          Jessica Henwick (JHENW) 18 10.70 (-0.19)          Broadsword (BROSW) 1 42.38 (-0.44)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.BW) 25000 7.02 (+0.51)          Broadsword (BROSW) 1 42.38 (-0.44)          Milly Alcock (MALCO) 500 64.89 (-1.20)