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Whisper Numbers: Ghost Rider looks to burn up the box office

Three new wide releases face strong holdovers during the President’s Day holiday weekend. Nicolas Cage [NCAGE] looks to bounce back from a string of recent flops by reprising his role as the demonic antihero in the sequel Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance [GHST2]. The original Ghost Rider debuted at $45.4 million in 2007, but flamed out quickly due to poor word of mouth. As in their other genre series, Sony has added 3D to entice fans back for another go-around. The PG-13 rated film should connect with its target audience of young men, which should be enough to propel the film to first place. Burning up 3174 theaters, Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance could scorch $34 million over the 4-day weekend.

Safe House [SAFEH] exceeded expectations in its debut and older moviegoers should continue to support the film. The actioner could preside over another $27 million over the long weekend.

Couples and women helped The Vow [THVOW] conquered the box office last weekend. With Valentine’s Day over, the romance looks to decay greater than Safe House to around $26 million over the holiday weekend.

The PG-13 rated This Means War [TMWAR] stars Chris Pine [CPINE] and Tom Hardy [THARD] as partners in espionage competing to win the affection of the same woman, played by Reese Witherspoon [RWITH]. Fox has been marketing the film as a romantic comedy when perhaps they should have gone with action bromance. The McG [MCG] directed film has earned horrible reviews and terrible trackings. Opening in 3189 theater, This Means War may bank $23 million over the 4-day weekend.

With kids off for the long holiday weekend, Journey 2: The Mysterious Island [MYSTR] should experience a small drop-off. The 3D sequel spectacle could bring home another $22 million from Friday to Monday.

The Secret World of Arrietty [ARITY] is the latest Studio Ghibli release from Disney. The G-rated animated film looks more accessible than 2009’s Ponyo which managed just a $3.6 million debut. Opening in 1511 theaters, Arrietty could stash $6 million over the long holiday weeekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): NCAGE, GHST2, SAFEH, THVOW, TMWAR, CPINE, THARD, RWITH, MCG, MYSTR, ARITY

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, February 16, 2012 @ 03:50 PM 10273 views

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Fall 2 (FALL2) 450 3.74 (-0.03)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 10000 51.69 (+0.09)          They Will Kill You (TWKYU) 4 24.41 (+0.02)          Not Bloody Likely (NBLKL) 150000 0.05 (+0.02)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 4 31.83 (+0.04)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 9 191.56 (+1.16)          Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 19 105.67 (-0.32)          Not Bloody Likely (NBLKL) 150000 0.05 (+0.02)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 4 146.05 (+0.05)          Panopticon (PANOP) 150000 0.05 (+0.01)          Highlander (HIGHL) 19000 36.46 (-0.06)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 229.05 (-1.16)          Perfect (PFECT) 150000 0.18 (+0.02)          Orphan (ORPAN) 150000 0.26 (+0.01)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 4 44.95 (+0.05)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 1 18.00 (0.00)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 14 81.51 (+0.89)          Nobody’s Heart (NOBDH) 150000 0.04 (+0.01)          My Father's Shadow (MFSHD) 150000 0.26 (0.00)          Dreams (DREMS) 2000 0.80 (-0.01)          Mega Man (MGAMN) 150000 0.14 (+0.03)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 4.98 (+0.47)          From the World of John Wick: Cai (FJWCN) 10000 38.78 (+0.01)          How to Make a Killing (HNGTN) 4 19.54 (-0.01)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 5 87.83 (-0.21)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 5 18.35 (-0.06)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Melania (MLNIA) 4504 12.75 (+1.70)          Deeper (DEPER) 10000 36.85 (+0.01)          Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 11552 105.67 (-0.32)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Clue (CLUE) 1 14.81 (+1.07)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 150000 13.67 (+1.12)          Shiver (SHVER) 31229 62.28 (+4.88)          Clue (CLUE) 35000 14.81 (+1.07)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Sender (SENDR) 150000 8.97 (-0.76)          Sender (SENDR) 150000 8.97 (-0.76)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 10000 36.86 (-0.03)          Shiver (SHVER) 20000 62.28 (+4.88)          Josephine (JSPHN) 150000 8.37 (-0.30)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 150000 3.92 (+0.71)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 19288 141.66 (+0.91)          Mega Man (MGAMN) 150000 0.14 (+0.03)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 5 44.95 (+0.05)          Tangled (TANGL) 10000 118.96 (+0.09)          Mother Nature (MONAT) 150000 0.05 (+0.01)          Mark Ruffalo (MRUFF) 12560 105.67 (-0.32)          Primate (PRIMT) 1656 24.72 (+0.15)          Muzzle: City of Wolves (MUZL2) 150000 0.12 (0.00)