SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Tyler Perry takes on Navy Seals

As Hollywood prepares for the annual Academy Awards on Sunday, four new releases hope to catch the attention of moviegoers. Good Deeds [GDEED] is the latest original drama from filmmaker Tyler Perry [TPERR]. His reliable fanbase of older black women will turn out like clockwork even without the benefit of the Madea character. Opening in 2132 theaters, Good Deeds may translate into about $19 million and first place at the weekend box office.

Real life, active Navy Seals are the star of the fictional actioner Act of Valor [AOVAL]. Relativity snapped up the completed film in the aftermath of the Seals raid that killed Osama Bin Laden.  The R-rated film plays like a first-person shooter videogame which will appeal to the male demographic. Diving into 3039 theaters, Act of Valor may score around $17 million.

After enjoying a holiday bump in their second weekend, Safe House [SAFEH], Journey 2: The Mysterious Island [MYSTR] and The Vow [THVOW] could all drop down between $13 million and $12 million.

Jennifer Aniston [JANIS] and Paul Rudd [PRUDD] team up for the R-rated comedy Wanderlust [WLUST]. The Judd Apatow produced film has received good reviews, which should help with its target audience of older couples. Playing in just 2001 locations, Wanderlust may settle with $11 million.

After finding success in romance, Amanda Seyfried [ASEYF] tries a different genre with Gone [GONE]. Summit’s marketing has not made the PG-13 rated thriller look any better than the average TV movie. Witrh the appeal limited to young women, Gone could earn just $5.5 million from 2186 theaters.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor. A reminder, AwardOptions will halt on Sunday at 1 pm Pacific. Get your final trades in now and profit from your predictions!



Tag(s): GDEED, TPERR, AOVAL, SAFEH, MYSTR, THVOW, JANIS, PRUDD, WLUST, ASEYF, GONE

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, February 23, 2012 @ 04:30 PM 10302 views

Recent Comments

arf
Friday, February 24 at 12:27 PM Pacific
... all of which should lead to a debut around $20 million (Relativity is more modestly projecting between $15 and $17 million). http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3376&p=.htm



Jason Statham (JSTAT) 25000 29.80 (+0.12)          Gillian Anderson (GANDE) 25000 23.75 (-0.12)          Emilia Jones (EJONE) 25000 17.35 (-0.10)          Ridley Scott (RSCOT) 25000 62.81 (+0.25)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 25000 5.40 (+0.05)          Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 25000 84.20 (-0.75)          Peter Dinklage (PDINK) 25000 84.20 (-0.75)          Antonio Banderas (ABAND) 25000 53.82 (-0.16)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 150000 22.27 (+0.17)          Resident Evil H$40 Put (RESE8.PU) 25000 1.20 (-0.02)          Resident Evil - Opening Weekend (RESE8.OW) 100000 46.45 (0.00)          Resident Evil H$40 Call (RESE8.CA) 25000 4.09 (+0.03)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 150000 4.43 (+0.26)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 31.51 (+0.19)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 150000 22.27 (+0.17)          Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 18.49 (+0.45)          Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 18.49 (+0.45)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 150000 27.62 (-0.70)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 150000 27.62 (-0.70)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 150000 24.95 (-0.40)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 150000 24.95 (-0.40)          Patrick Schwarzenegger (PSCHW) 25000 5.14 (+0.14)          Clay (CLAY) 1000 101.18 (-0.33)          Run Amok (RAMOK) 150000 0.94 (-0.06)          The Graveyard Book (GRVBK) 100000 0.19 (-0.01)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 51.47 (-0.15)          Steve Buscemi (SBUSC) 25000 35.79 (-0.12)          Patton Oswalt (POSWA) 25000 52.60 (0.00)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 101.18 (-0.33)          Oprah Winfrey (OWINF) 25000 50.71 (-0.01)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 150000 16.93 (+0.43)          Mason Thames (MTHAM) 25000 89.08 (0.00)          Steve Buscemi (SBUSC) 25000 35.79 (-0.12)          Luis Guzman (LGUZM) 20000 58.81 (0.00)          Lana Condor (LCOND) 25000 47.20 (0.00)