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Whisper Numbers: Django aims to dethrone The Hobbit

The first weekend of 2013 brings a couple of wide openers, but a couple of holdovers from 2012 are likely to be in a close fight for first place. After finishing second through Tuesday, Django Unchained [DJANG] finally rose to first place on Wednesday at the box office. Quentin Tarantino’s Southern western has garnered excellent reviews and word of mouth. Django Unchained could decline 40% in its second weekend to around $18 million. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey [HOBIT] has already amassed $238 million through New Year’s Day and looks to uncover about $18 million as well.

Even with a built-in audience that front-loaded opening day on Christmas, Les Miserables [LESMS] has held up through the New Year. With strong reviews to bring in older women, the musical could decline 40% in its sophomore session to $16 million.

Lionsgate is resurrecting The Texas Chainsaw Massacre horror franchise with a sequel which continues the story of the original 1974 film. Texas Chainsaw 3D [TXCM3] stars Alexandra Daddario [ADADD] as a young woman who inherits a house still inhabited by her cousin, who is Leatherface. While New Line’s 2003 reboot debuted with $28 million, the 2006 prequel The Texas Chainsaw Massacre: The Beginning managed just $18.5 million. The 3D may entice fans to return, but the series is late to the 3D party compared to other horror franchises. Lionsgate dropped the word ‘Massacre’ from the title since it’s been in the news for all the wrong reasons. Even with a lack of competition in a month that supports horror, the R-rated slasher film seems like a horror retread in the new world of found footage films. Revving into 2654 theaters, Texas Chainsaw 3D could cut through $15 million.

After a lukewarm reception in limited release, Promised Land [PRMSD] expands wide into 1675 theaters. Matt Damon [MDAMO] stars as a gas company representative who tangles with an environmentalist, played by John Krasinski [JKRAS], for the minds of a small town over the issue of fracking. With mixed reviews and little award recognition thus far, the Focus release is unlikely to appeal to the discerning adult moviegoers. Promised Land may settle with $6 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): DJANG, HOBIT, LESMS, TXCM3, ADADD, PRMSD, MDAMO, JKRAS

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 3, 2013 @ 03:56 PM 4091 views

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The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 31000 16.31 (0.00)          Ghost Soldier - Opening Weekend (ARCNG.OW) 99999 5.09 (-0.04)          Nasty (NASTY) 25000 16.53 (+1.37)          Nasty (NASTY) 50000 16.53 (+1.37)          Slayground (OCTOB) 150000 15.60 (+0.60)          Seasons (SEASN) 3000 32.37 (+0.10)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 30000 199.62 (+0.26)          Ebenezer - Opening Weekend (EBNZR.OW) 100000 34.91 (-0.21)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 3000 82.48 (0.00)          Wildwood (WILDW) 1 30.69 (+0.61)          I Heart Murder (IHMUR) 150000 0.27 (+0.02)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 10000 101.83 (-0.88)          Naughty (NAUTY) 3000 44.86 (-0.25)          Wildwood (WILDW) 1 30.69 (+0.61)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 30.69 (+0.61)          Ebenezer - Opening Weekend (EBNZR.OW) 99000 34.91 (-0.21)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 20000 81.15 (-0.28)          Ebenezer - Opening Weekend (EBNZR.OW) 999 34.91 (-0.21)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 4000 148.72 (+0.12)          Wicker (WCKER) 1 18.82 (-0.17)          Wicker (WCKER) 1 18.82 (-0.17)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 18.82 (-0.17)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 150000 10.02 (+0.36)          Molepeople (MOLEP) 150000 22.88 (+0.70)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 4.35 (+0.76)          Ghost Market (ONOGM) 4000 106.68 (+0.12)          The Partner (PRTNR) 37500 44.66 (-0.03)          Ian McKellen (IMCKE) 433 17.30 (+0.10)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 4.35 (+0.76)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 4000 93.15 (-0.16)          Wildwood (WILDW) 150000 30.69 (+0.61)          Savage Hunters aka Deathstroke & (DSTRK) 37500 43.75 (+0.02)          Wildwood (WILDW) 104831 30.69 (+0.61)          Molepeople (MOLEP) 150000 22.88 (+0.70)          Tangled (TANGL) 4000 129.99 (+0.12)          Single Female (SIFEM) 150000 21.00 (+1.18)          Ebenezer - Opening Weekend (EBNZR.OW) 100000 34.91 (-0.21)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 825 278.64 (+0.27)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 20000 59.76 (-0.12)          Channing Tatum (CTATU) 25000 60.38 (+0.50)          Sam Mendes (SMEND) 25000 129.35 (+0.66)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 4000 112.20 (-0.05)          James Cameron (JCAME) 25000 109.90 (+0.66)          Amy Madigan (AMADI) 25000 40.94 (+0.50)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 60.42 (-0.51)          Kelly Marie Tran (KMTRA) 25000 75.87 (+0.75)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 100000 2.71 (0.00)          Adam McKay (AMCKA) 25000 66.26 (+0.75)          Baz Luhrmann (BLUHR) 25000 76.83 (+0.75)          Fear the Reaper (FREPR) 60000 17.70 (-0.02)