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Whisper Numbers: Django aims to dethrone The Hobbit

The first weekend of 2013 brings a couple of wide openers, but a couple of holdovers from 2012 are likely to be in a close fight for first place. After finishing second through Tuesday, Django Unchained [DJANG] finally rose to first place on Wednesday at the box office. Quentin Tarantino’s Southern western has garnered excellent reviews and word of mouth. Django Unchained could decline 40% in its second weekend to around $18 million. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey [HOBIT] has already amassed $238 million through New Year’s Day and looks to uncover about $18 million as well.

Even with a built-in audience that front-loaded opening day on Christmas, Les Miserables [LESMS] has held up through the New Year. With strong reviews to bring in older women, the musical could decline 40% in its sophomore session to $16 million.

Lionsgate is resurrecting The Texas Chainsaw Massacre horror franchise with a sequel which continues the story of the original 1974 film. Texas Chainsaw 3D [TXCM3] stars Alexandra Daddario [ADADD] as a young woman who inherits a house still inhabited by her cousin, who is Leatherface. While New Line’s 2003 reboot debuted with $28 million, the 2006 prequel The Texas Chainsaw Massacre: The Beginning managed just $18.5 million. The 3D may entice fans to return, but the series is late to the 3D party compared to other horror franchises. Lionsgate dropped the word ‘Massacre’ from the title since it’s been in the news for all the wrong reasons. Even with a lack of competition in a month that supports horror, the R-rated slasher film seems like a horror retread in the new world of found footage films. Revving into 2654 theaters, Texas Chainsaw 3D could cut through $15 million.

After a lukewarm reception in limited release, Promised Land [PRMSD] expands wide into 1675 theaters. Matt Damon [MDAMO] stars as a gas company representative who tangles with an environmentalist, played by John Krasinski [JKRAS], for the minds of a small town over the issue of fracking. With mixed reviews and little award recognition thus far, the Focus release is unlikely to appeal to the discerning adult moviegoers. Promised Land may settle with $6 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): DJANG, HOBIT, LESMS, TXCM3, ADADD, PRMSD, MDAMO, JKRAS

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 3, 2013 @ 03:56 PM 3690 views

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The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 10000 76.60 (-0.13)          NBC: The Fall and Rise of Reggie (FARORD) 5000 8.99 (+0.99)          Clue (CLUE) 55000 15.14 (+1.40)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 1000 362.45 (+0.12)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 150000 8.59 (-0.07)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 100000 8.59 (-0.07)          Grendel (GREND) 45000 15.74 (+1.58)          & Sons (ASONS) 20000 2.03 (-0.01)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 150000 4.47 (+1.26)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 150000 4.47 (+1.26)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 10000 146.03 (+0.03)          Melania (MLNIA) 1000 13.82 (+2.77)          King (KING) 8000 4.22 (+0.02)          Shiver (SHVER) 1500 63.09 (+5.69)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 25000 3.66 (-0.71)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 11260 362.45 (+0.12)          Josephine (JSPHN) 25000 8.19 (-0.48)          Dhurandhar 2 (DHUR2) 150000 9.39 (-0.02)          Melania (MLNIA) 75000 13.82 (+2.77)          Sender (SENDR) 1 8.84 (-0.89)          Sender (SENDR) 25000 8.84 (-0.89)          Josh O'Connor (JOOCO) 25000 10.87 (+0.29)          Josh O'Connor (JOOCO) 25000 10.87 (+0.29)          In the Grey (NGREY) 119000 17.20 (+0.09)          Shiver (SHVER) 150000 63.09 (+5.69)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 20000 13.59 (+1.04)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 0.80 (-0.01)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 25000 3.66 (-0.71)          Marty Supreme - Original Screenp (A6OMSU) 10000 3.93 (-0.23)          Rebuilding (RBULD) 150000 0.44 (-0.04)          Christmas Karma (CHKRM) 150000 1.17 (-0.16)          Sender (SENDR) 25000 8.84 (-0.89)          Marty Supreme - Original Screenp (A6OMSU) 15000 3.93 (-0.23)          In Cold Light (INCLT) 150000 1.03 (0.00)          Wagner Moura - The Secret Agent (A6AWMO) 85 2.37 (0.00)          Dust Bunny (DUSTB) 150000 1.60 (+0.01)          The Choral (CHORL) 150000 1.93 (-0.04)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 12740 362.45 (+0.12)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 2.17 (0.00)          Harmonia (HARMO) 150000 3.53 (+0.04)          Static Shock (STATC) 150000 2.95 (+0.01)          Toxic: A Fairy Tale for Grown-Up (TOXIC) 4000 1.81 (+0.02)          Alma (ALMA) 150000 3.31 (+0.02)          Epiphany (EPHNY) 150000 4.74 (-0.01)          Toto (TOTO) 150000 2.94 (0.00)          GOAT - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon (TGOAT.OW) 30000 26.64 (+0.17)          Musk (MUSK) 150000 3.18 (+0.02)          A Long Winter (ALWNT) 150000 3.28 (-0.02)          GOAT - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon (TGOAT.OW) 20000 26.64 (+0.17)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)