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Whisper Numbers: Thor plays the game of box office throne

Marvel returns to conquer the box office with its superhero sequel Thor: The Dark World [THOR2]. The first Thor opened at $65.7 million in May 2011. Chris Hemsworth [CHEMS] and Tom Hiddleston [THIDD] then took their Norse mythological sibling rivalry to 2012’s The Avengers, which as everyone knows is now the all-time opening weekend champion. The Avengers gave the Iron Man franchise a 36% boost from Iron Man 2’s $128.1 million to Iron Man 3’s $174.1 million. A similar uptick would put the Thor sequel debut at $90 million. The PG-13 rated Disney film opened overseas last week and the buzz has been mostly positive. Comic fanboys are already sold on the fantasy epic, while the film is also tracking well with women.  Opening in 3841 theaters, Thor: The Dark World looks to hammer out at least $92 million and set a new high for November.

The sci-fi adaptation Ender’s Game [EGAME] did not broaden its audience beyond older fans of the book. With Thor crowding out the better screens, Ender’s Game will tumble more than 50% to $13 million.

Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa [JCKA4] held better than anyone expected.   Against better competition, the comedy will likely decline to $11 million in its third outing, putting it in a three-way race with sophomore pics Last Vegas [LASTV] and Free Birds [TURKY].

Fox Searchlight expands the historical drama 12 Years A Slave [12SLV] wide into 1144 theaters after 3 weeks of limited release. The R-rated film has earned rave reviews and serious buzz as one of this year's leading Oscar contenders. That should entice older adults despite the difficult subject matter. The film averaged $11,688 per theater last weekend in 410 theaters. An average of $9,000 per theater this weekend would put 12 Years A Slave around $10 million.

About Time [ABTIM] also expands wide this weekend to 1200 theaters. Unfortunately, the R-rated romantic comedy failed to connect with audiences in its limited opening last weekend. About Time may tally $4 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): THOR2, CHEMS, THIDD, EGAME, JCKA4, LASTV, TURKY, 12SLV, ABTIM

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, November 7, 2013 @ 03:35 PM 3230 views

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Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 11 38.22 (+0.37)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 11 38.22 (+0.37)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 5 136.42 (-0.56)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 10000 103.17 (-0.64)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 15 23.48 (-0.24)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 1 164.12 (-1.17)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 5000 23.60 (-0.05)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 29637 372.98 (+0.93)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 7.01 (+1.04)          Star Trek (TREK4) 10000 22.23 (-0.24)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 150000 75.16 (-0.47)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 7.01 (+1.04)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 3000 35.80 (-0.03)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 3.95 (+0.47)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 3.95 (+0.47)          The Weight (THEWT) 75000 7.01 (+1.04)          Jack Champion (JCHAM) 25000 150.76 (-1.00)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 35000 16.67 (0.00)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 100000 26.14 (-0.26)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 26.14 (-0.26)          Russell Crowe (RCROW) 25000 15.51 (-0.20)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 10153 372.98 (+0.93)          Ethan Hawke (EHAWK) 25000 15.74 (+0.20)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 7.01 (+1.04)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 20.59 (+0.02)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 1500 52.42 (+0.34)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 100000 253.50 (+1.62)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 8.53 (-3.63)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 140000 372.98 (+0.93)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 133433 164.90 (+0.29)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 100000 243.64 (+0.89)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 100000 243.64 (+0.89)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 150000 495.03 (-0.53)          Helldivers (HELDV) 64480 99.96 (+0.46)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 10000 372.98 (+0.93)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 50000 253.50 (+1.62)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 50000 243.64 (+0.89)          They Will Kill You - Opening Wee (TWKYU.OW) 100000 7.70 (-0.13)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.CA) 25000 2.94 (-0.19)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 72973 23.48 (-0.24)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.CA) 25000 2.94 (-0.19)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 50000 100.41 (-2.74)