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Whisper Numbers: Thor plays the game of box office throne

Marvel returns to conquer the box office with its superhero sequel Thor: The Dark World [THOR2]. The first Thor opened at $65.7 million in May 2011. Chris Hemsworth [CHEMS] and Tom Hiddleston [THIDD] then took their Norse mythological sibling rivalry to 2012’s The Avengers, which as everyone knows is now the all-time opening weekend champion. The Avengers gave the Iron Man franchise a 36% boost from Iron Man 2’s $128.1 million to Iron Man 3’s $174.1 million. A similar uptick would put the Thor sequel debut at $90 million. The PG-13 rated Disney film opened overseas last week and the buzz has been mostly positive. Comic fanboys are already sold on the fantasy epic, while the film is also tracking well with women.  Opening in 3841 theaters, Thor: The Dark World looks to hammer out at least $92 million and set a new high for November.

The sci-fi adaptation Ender’s Game [EGAME] did not broaden its audience beyond older fans of the book. With Thor crowding out the better screens, Ender’s Game will tumble more than 50% to $13 million.

Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa [JCKA4] held better than anyone expected.   Against better competition, the comedy will likely decline to $11 million in its third outing, putting it in a three-way race with sophomore pics Last Vegas [LASTV] and Free Birds [TURKY].

Fox Searchlight expands the historical drama 12 Years A Slave [12SLV] wide into 1144 theaters after 3 weeks of limited release. The R-rated film has earned rave reviews and serious buzz as one of this year's leading Oscar contenders. That should entice older adults despite the difficult subject matter. The film averaged $11,688 per theater last weekend in 410 theaters. An average of $9,000 per theater this weekend would put 12 Years A Slave around $10 million.

About Time [ABTIM] also expands wide this weekend to 1200 theaters. Unfortunately, the R-rated romantic comedy failed to connect with audiences in its limited opening last weekend. About Time may tally $4 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): THOR2, CHEMS, THIDD, EGAME, JCKA4, LASTV, TURKY, 12SLV, ABTIM

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, November 7, 2013 @ 03:35 PM 3168 views

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The Young People (TYPEP) 1 19.04 (-0.02)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 50000 10.55 (+1.03)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 1 66.72 (-0.09)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.42 (-1.23)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 1 66.72 (-0.09)          David (DAVID) 150000 72.22 (-1.60)          Starship Troopers (STRPR) 1 49.18 (-0.07)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 12500 54.15 (-0.06)          Starship Troopers (STRPR) 1 49.18 (-0.07)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 1.69 (-0.24)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 1.69 (-0.24)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 1 41.52 (+0.94)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 110.74 (-1.00)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 12500 41.17 (-0.41)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 110.74 (-1.00)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 1 41.52 (+0.94)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.42 (-1.23)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 4.71 (+0.27)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 437.87 (-1.29)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 437.87 (-1.29)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 1 69.51 (0.00)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.47 (-0.53)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 25000 64.94 (-0.28)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.42 (-1.23)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 25000 64.94 (-0.28)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 7.95 (-0.37)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 7.95 (-0.37)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 17.70 (+0.32)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 17.70 (+0.32)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 1 69.51 (0.00)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 6.22 (-0.06)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 150000 6.22 (-0.06)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 22.68 (-0.20)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 7.95 (-0.37)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 5000 37.04 (-0.07)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 7.95 (-0.37)          Chloe (CHLO) 25000 6.20 (-0.05)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.14 (-0.02)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.14 (-0.02)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 6.09 (+1.28)          Ballerina Overdrive (BALOD) 1831 7.57 (0.00)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 6.09 (+1.28)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 22.78 (-0.15)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 5000 64.00 (-0.05)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 22.78 (-0.15)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 10000 50.71 (-0.26)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 64.94 (-0.28)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 64.94 (-0.28)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 49 281.40 (+0.25)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 5000 159.22 (+0.14)