SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Lone Survivor should prevail on top.

Four films in limited release with Oscar aspirations expand wide this weekend at the box office led by Lone Survivor [LSURV] starring Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL]. The R-rated action drama is based on the true story of an ill-fated U.S. Navy SEAL mission in Afghanistan. Universal has played up the heroism in its marketing campaign, while the real-life lone survivor Marcus Luttrell has been making the publicity rounds with director Peter Berg [PEBER]. Two years ago, Act of Valor featuring real-life SEALs debuted with $24.5 million, though in the less crowded late February. Football playoffs and a really cold winter could hold back some of the mainstream audiences.  Playing in 2786 theaters, Lone Survivor could pull out $20 million.

Not even the ‘polar vortex’ could cool down Frozen [FROZE.BW], which is likely to finished second in its eighth week with another $12 million.

After earning $3 million in 3 weeks of limited release, Her [HERSJ] expands wide into 1729 theaters. Joaquin Phoenix [JPHOE] plays a man who falls in love with the artificial female voice of his smartphone.  Directed by Spike Jonze [SJONZ], the offbeat drama has earned rave reviews and critical awards. With buzz among hipsters yound and old, Her could download $9 million.

Summit slotted the low-budgeted The Legend of Hercules [HRCLB] into release just two months ago to beat Paramount’s big-budgeted Hercules. Although Kellan Lutz [KLUTZ] appeared in the Twilight series, he lacks any drawing starpower.  Marketed as Gladiator meets 300, the R-rated actioner will only appeal to young men. Playing in 2104 theaters, The Legend of Hercules may grab $6 million.

As with most horror sequels, Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones [OXNRD] looks to drop around 60% in its second session to around $7 million.

The two other acclaimed films expanding wide this weekend are courting older moviegoers. August, Osage County [AUGOC] starring Meryl Streep [MSTRE] and Julia Roberts [JROBE] may gather $6 million from 905 locations. Inside Llewyn Davis [INSLD] directed by the Coen brothers [COEN] could tune up $3 million from 729 theaters.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): LSURV, MWAHL, PEBER, HERSJ, JPHOE, SJONZ, HRCLB, KLUTZ, OXNRD, AUGOC, MSTRE, JROBE, INSLD, COEN

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 9, 2014 @ 04:01 PM 2627 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Frozen III (FROZ3) 1411 275.81 (0.00)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 7008 99.77 (-0.24)          Babes (BABS) 10000 3.25 (-0.10)          Hitpig (HITPG) 150000 5.30 (+0.03)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 150000 36.46 (-1.16)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 150000 84.54 (-0.57)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 150000 36.46 (-1.16)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 150000 36.46 (-1.16)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 141848 69.09 (+0.14)          Novocaine (NOVCN) 50000 24.39 (+0.02)          Nonnas (NONAS) 50000 8.61 (-0.01)          Nobody Nothing Nowhere (NBNTN) 50000 6.50 (-0.01)          Nobody 2 (NOBO2) 50000 17.07 (+0.02)          Mickey 17 aka Mickey7 (MCKY7) 20000 121.00 (-0.04)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 10000 263.01 (-0.17)          Mission: Impossible 8 (MISS8) 25000 154.63 (+0.05)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 2700 99.77 (-0.24)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 30000 36.46 (-1.16)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 100000 99.77 (-0.24)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 25000 263.01 (-0.17)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 150000 16.12 (-0.12)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 150000 16.12 (-0.12)          I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 149999 24.71 (+0.05)          The Nickel Boys (NICKB) 100000 5.89 (+0.02)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 150000 36.46 (-1.16)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 150000 36.46 (-1.16)          Ryan's World the Movie: Titan Un (RYANW) 150000 6.03 (+0.41)          Ryan's World the Movie: Titan Un (RYANW) 150000 6.03 (+0.41)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 17.52 (+0.56)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 17.52 (+0.56)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 150000 13.43 (+0.56)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 150000 13.43 (+0.56)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 19.01 (+0.63)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 19.01 (+0.63)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 150000 84.54 (-0.57)          Clue (CLUE) 149000 17.79 (+0.05)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 100000 69.29 (-0.10)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 10000 84.54 (-0.57)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 15000 84.54 (-0.57)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 6.72 (+0.30)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 32232 22.82 (+0.02)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 21461 22.82 (+0.02)          Eternity (ETERN) 15000 17.52 (+0.56)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 15000 13.43 (+0.56)          Maya Hawke (MHAWK) 25000 55.05 (+0.16)          Ti West (TWEST) 25000 6.04 (+0.05)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 150000 13.43 (+0.56)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 150000 13.43 (+0.56)          MaXXXine (XTW3) 149000 11.04 (+0.06)          Mia Goth (MGOTH) 25000 8.98 (+0.05)