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Whisper Numbers: Lone Survivor should prevail on top.

Four films in limited release with Oscar aspirations expand wide this weekend at the box office led by Lone Survivor [LSURV] starring Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL]. The R-rated action drama is based on the true story of an ill-fated U.S. Navy SEAL mission in Afghanistan. Universal has played up the heroism in its marketing campaign, while the real-life lone survivor Marcus Luttrell has been making the publicity rounds with director Peter Berg [PEBER]. Two years ago, Act of Valor featuring real-life SEALs debuted with $24.5 million, though in the less crowded late February. Football playoffs and a really cold winter could hold back some of the mainstream audiences.  Playing in 2786 theaters, Lone Survivor could pull out $20 million.

Not even the ‘polar vortex’ could cool down Frozen [FROZE.BW], which is likely to finished second in its eighth week with another $12 million.

After earning $3 million in 3 weeks of limited release, Her [HERSJ] expands wide into 1729 theaters. Joaquin Phoenix [JPHOE] plays a man who falls in love with the artificial female voice of his smartphone.  Directed by Spike Jonze [SJONZ], the offbeat drama has earned rave reviews and critical awards. With buzz among hipsters yound and old, Her could download $9 million.

Summit slotted the low-budgeted The Legend of Hercules [HRCLB] into release just two months ago to beat Paramount’s big-budgeted Hercules. Although Kellan Lutz [KLUTZ] appeared in the Twilight series, he lacks any drawing starpower.  Marketed as Gladiator meets 300, the R-rated actioner will only appeal to young men. Playing in 2104 theaters, The Legend of Hercules may grab $6 million.

As with most horror sequels, Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones [OXNRD] looks to drop around 60% in its second session to around $7 million.

The two other acclaimed films expanding wide this weekend are courting older moviegoers. August, Osage County [AUGOC] starring Meryl Streep [MSTRE] and Julia Roberts [JROBE] may gather $6 million from 905 locations. Inside Llewyn Davis [INSLD] directed by the Coen brothers [COEN] could tune up $3 million from 729 theaters.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): LSURV, MWAHL, PEBER, HERSJ, JPHOE, SJONZ, HRCLB, KLUTZ, OXNRD, AUGOC, MSTRE, JROBE, INSLD, COEN

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 9, 2014 @ 04:01 PM 3017 views

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The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 300 498.02 (-0.20)          They Will Kill You (TWKYU) 20000 24.41 (+0.02)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 5 78.80 (+0.58)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 10000 18.00 (0.00)          Shiver (SHVER) 21 63.79 (+6.39)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 10000 120.41 (-0.23)          Daisy Ridley (DRIDL) 25000 2.42 (+0.09)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 10039 46.33 (-0.11)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 10000 109.75 (-0.84)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 2000 317.45 (-0.16)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 500 18.00 (0.00)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 2 349.58 (-0.23)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 50000 65.26 (-0.23)          Bambi (BAMBI) 150 13.74 (-0.04)          Assassination (ASSNT) 4 8.09 (+0.01)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 5.07 (+0.56)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 5.07 (+0.56)          Bermuda (BTRIA) 2000 0.87 (-0.01)          Bermuda (BTRIA) 15 0.87 (-0.01)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 150000 13.08 (+0.53)          Starship Troopers (STRPR) 5000 39.98 (+0.03)          ABC: RJ Decker (RJDECK) 25000 8.99 (+0.99)          NBC: The Fall and Rise of Reggie (FARORD) 25000 9.06 (+1.06)          Miss Piggy (MSPIG) 1270 33.37 (+0.02)          Planes, Trains and Automobiles (PTAUT) 210 8.68 (0.00)          Deeper (DEPER) 10000 36.84 (0.00)          District 10 (DIS10) 6179 16.25 (0.00)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 3.86 (-0.51)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 3.86 (-0.51)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 75 22.68 (0.00)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 30000 45.03 (+0.13)          Painter (PANTR) 335 6.64 (0.00)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 99 14.02 (-0.08)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 159 31.01 (+0.03)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 2493 81.52 (+0.90)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 6.41 (+0.55)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 6.41 (+0.55)          The One (THEON) 300 3.56 (+0.02)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 4 46.44 (-0.07)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 12.84 (+0.95)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 12.84 (+0.95)          El Muerto (MUERT) 200 4.80 (-0.02)          El Muerto (MUERT) 5 4.80 (-0.02)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 5003 317.45 (-0.16)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 150000 13.08 (+0.53)          Shelter (SELTR) 50000 13.43 (+0.63)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 450 3.65 (-0.02)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 4 8.52 (+0.01)          I Heart Murder (IHMUR) 1400 1.58 (+0.01)